CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Leo Team (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5de0c281a402ebd9fe0d81335a5d22a65950ffc434acfa969f2ee71cfb3eb35c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- fnaticof fnatic, Leo Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $135,750
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $160,325
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,750 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 228 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Leo Team | 39c | 8,930$3,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,447.28 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed Leo Team | 36c | 7,000$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,519.99 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6185…2965backed fnatic | 63c | 5,134$3,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,875.11 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48b8…4b69backed Leo Team | 28c | 4,801$1,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,351.43 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked fnatic | 64c | 4,612$2,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,660.51 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Leo Team | 34c | 4,003$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,352.96 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked Leo Team | 35c | 3,601$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.95 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e35…2614backed fnatic | 64c | 3,429$2,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241.16 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Leo Team | 25c | 3,051$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.12 | 401 | 37.2%149 W · 252 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked fnatic | 64c | 2,251$1,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.49 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Leo Team | 22c | 2,242$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.44 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Leo Team | 28c | 2,048$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.43 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Leo Team | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Leo Team | 42c | 1,994$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.51 | 161 | 52.8%85 W · 76 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44c8…a9ffbacked fnatic | 58c | 1,703$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.14 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked fnatic | 72c | 1,697$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.41 | 173 | 57.2%99 W · 74 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed fnatic | 61c | 1,664$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.31 | 608 | 38.2%232 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Leo Team | 36c | 1,605$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.48 | 608 | 48%292 W · 316 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Leo Team | 24c | 1,561$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.24 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Leo Team | 36c | 1,541$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.69 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85a4…9aabbacked fnatic | 75c | 1,468$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.54 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed fnatic | 68c | 1,444$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.97 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed fnatic | 61c | 1,417$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.82 | 282 | 48.9%138 W · 144 L | +21.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Leo Team | 24c | 1,400$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.6 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed fnatic | 69c | 1,314$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.4 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d3…3128backed fnatic | 64c | 1,306$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe30a…f6debacked Leo Team | 4c | 1,220$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed fnatic | 55c | 1,150$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.49 | 434 | 55.1%239 W · 195 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…7558backed fnatic | 64c | 1,147$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.76 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x115a…98e1backed fnatic | 75c | 994.19$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.37 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf5…8483backed fnatic | 76c | 994.08$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.3 | 110 | 61.8%68 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b5…c0aebacked fnatic | 63c | 977.59$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.18 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f01…0d90backed fnatic | 61c | 933.97$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.75 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed fnatic | 63c | 869.82$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.8 | 316 | 42.1%133 W · 183 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Leo Team | 35c | 868.44$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.65 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Leo Team | 36c | 866.51$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.94 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Leo Team | 35c | 861.19$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.42 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d6…6db0backed fnatic | 58c | 844.19$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.87 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked fnatic | 70c | 778.81$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.83 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked fnatic | 65c | 717.43$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.99 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Leo Team | 18c | 710.47$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.15 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Leo Team | 39c | 696.77$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.93 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -19.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc025…a11abacked Leo Team | 16c | 692.26$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.76 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed fnatic | 63c | 653.34$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.65 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed fnatic | 45c | 640.43$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.71 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdec9…b8abbacked Leo Team | 36c | 632.99$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.88 | 206 | 43.7%90 W · 116 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1237…06afbacked fnatic | 61c | 629.5$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.51 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +87.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Leo Team | 39c | 615.83$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.18 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cee…dfadbacked fnatic | 62c | 611.36$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.25 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Leo Team | 36c | 608.18$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.56 | 389 | 42.4%165 W · 224 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0e…b995backed fnatic | 63c | 605$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.9 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Leo Team | 35c | 602.26$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.04 | 401 | 41.6%167 W · 234 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked fnatic | 75c | 596.83$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.63 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Leo Team | 57c | 587.57$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.75 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab2…b321backed Leo Team | 37c | 585.09$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.48 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +64%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed fnatic | 62c | 574.05$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.57 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Leo Team | 42c | 560.42$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.17 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9901…e9b4backed fnatic | 75c | 557.16$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde4d…ca1abacked fnatic | 63c | 554.8$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed fnatic | 58c | 550.67$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.93 | 576 | 41.5%239 W · 337 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed fnatic | 64c | 550$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 149 | 55%82 W · 67 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Leo Team | 37c | 547.81$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.69 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aba…debfbacked Leo Team | 18c | 533.72$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.69 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2f…febcbacked fnatic | 73c | 501.13$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.95 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc006…3c94backed fnatic | 62c | 475.44$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.67 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -6.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24eb…75eebacked Leo Team | 36c | 474.68$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.88 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed fnatic | 63c | 465.62$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.28 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed Leo Team | 20c | 464.96$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.99 | 676 | 51.8%350 W · 326 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Leo Team | 40c | 453.29$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.53 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…6233backed fnatic | 78c | 448.68$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.57 | 143 | 63.6%91 W · 52 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed fnatic | 44c | 437.71$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.41 | 474 | 47.5%225 W · 249 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb600…4440backed Leo Team | 40c | 422.44$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.34 | 165 | 46.1%76 W · 89 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa964…cdbbbacked Leo Team | 26c | 418.99$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed fnatic | 64c | 408.64$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.95 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…954ebacked fnatic | 63c | 397.45$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.1 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed Leo Team | 37c | 393.81$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.71 | 648 | 54.3%352 W · 296 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a7…374abacked Leo Team | 44c | 383.56$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.14 | 278 | 48.6%135 W · 143 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked fnatic | 65c | 382.47$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.86 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf727…2aecbacked Leo Team | 38c | 370.5$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.49 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Leo Team | 36c | 351.22$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.96 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked fnatic | 62c | 348.81$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.41 | 359 | 47.9%172 W · 187 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Leo Team | 49c | 340.99$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.26 | 299 | 34.4%103 W · 196 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed fnatic | 70c | 331.58$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.87 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51f9…26f8backed fnatic | 65c | 316.14$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.65 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8018…125dbacked Leo Team | 19c | 306.35$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.21 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd456…aba4backed fnatic | 64c | 305.06$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +125%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61c6…d3d9backed Leo Team | 45c | 281.24$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.51 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d6…8f66backed fnatic | 53c | 277.75$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…0d5fbacked Leo Team | 16c | 270.64$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.3 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +39%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe9…4a83backed Leo Team | 36c | 264.57$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.25 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…0d8abacked fnatic | 65c | 263.05$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.07 | 330 | 57.3%189 W · 141 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed fnatic | 64c | 260$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 476 | 41.6%198 W · 278 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Leo Team | 13c | 250$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 512 | 52.3%268 W · 244 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Leo Team | 36c | 249.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 576 | 41.1%237 W · 339 L | -21.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Leo Team | 46c | 244$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.24 | 418 | 47.1%197 W · 221 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…c7a1backed Leo Team | 59c | 243.85$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.87 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 70cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed Leo Team | 51c | 241.68$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.39 | 721 | 39.7%286 W · 435 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16d8…ba9ebacked fnatic | 54c | 240.48$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.16 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked fnatic | 70c | 240$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.6 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63ff…5f94backed fnatic | 66c | 232.57$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.72 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Leo Team (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Leo Team - Map 1 Winnerfnatic won
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Leo Team - Map 2 WinnerLeo Team won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.