TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Leo Team - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Leo Teamof fnatic, Leo Team
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$35,445
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$41,887

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,445 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Leo Team42c2,261$949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,312.382,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked fnatic1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151943.6%7 W · 187 L-0.1wins0.00per pick4cpaid-48.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x928a…8044backed fnatic53c1,449$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.320358.6%119 W · 84 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Leo Team36c1,153$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.794,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e35…2614backed Leo Team64c898.3$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.685735.1%20 W · 37 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3cf5…8483backed Leo Team38c748.3$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.9911061.8%68 W · 42 L+0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cab…a8cfbacked fnatic66c744.93$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.7425070.8%177 W · 73 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick70cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40cf…2748backed fnatic62c701.73$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.0716155.9%90 W · 71 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf376…516cbacked Leo Team63c622.42$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.321478.6%11 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick71cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce42…5cddbacked fnatic74c599.99$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4441546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed fnatic40c597.68$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.456,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Leo Team44c574.26$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.357,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc694…1171backed fnatic50c428.54$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.6547641.6%198 W · 278 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6518…1aecbacked fnatic59c404.27$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.49475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00f8…2c23backed fnatic52c370.91$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.2929934.4%103 W · 196 L-12.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Leo Team49c329.91$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.6423245.3%105 W · 127 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed fnatic44c328.53$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.45,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x63ff…5f94backed fnatic70c315.64$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.0615259.9%91 W · 61 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed fnatic66c296.85$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.9248350.9%246 W · 237 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5cee…dfadbacked fnatic32c296.02$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.948844.3%39 W · 49 L-0.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Leo Team46c293.32$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.5240137.2%149 W · 252 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed fnatic37c291.43$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.762,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf56c…fcbdbacked Leo Team79c290.23$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.8435449.7%176 W · 178 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x847e…3c43backed fnatic57c256.39$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.1329052.4%152 W · 138 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Leo Team48c251.17$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.614,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Leo Team49c248.89$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.895,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb600…4440backed fnatic28c243.88$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.9416546.1%76 W · 89 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e53…eaebbacked Leo Team43c200.3$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.226045%27 W · 33 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Leo Team34c198.98$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.471,39848.4%676 W · 722 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed fnatic66c198.11$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.431,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked fnatic49c196.3$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.7922534.2%77 W · 148 L-19.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-36.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x681b…3d79backed Leo Team61c195.27$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.654546.7%21 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x92f5…13e5backed fnatic46c193.52$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.0215142.4%64 W · 87 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb29a…bbdebacked fnatic39c189.56$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.622642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked fnatic63c186.9$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.8427947.3%132 W · 147 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7e0…0d8abacked Leo Team56c172.49$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.1133057.3%189 W · 141 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Leo Team34c140$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.451252.3%268 W · 244 L+16.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde4b…3b7dbacked fnatic62c133.45$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.9831852.8%168 W · 150 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x299f…2c50backed Leo Team57c124.3$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.0172139.7%286 W · 435 L-25.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8044…358ebacked Leo Team58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426960.9%42 W · 27 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe5bd…f03ebacked fnatic50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-55.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed Leo Team64c99.34$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.6457358.8%337 W · 236 L+16.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfe9…4a83backed Leo Team43c97.43$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.548134.6%28 W · 53 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24eb…75eebacked Leo Team35c93.72$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.0518043.3%78 W · 102 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x91e8…f1abbacked fnatic42c87.22$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0318654.8%102 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked Leo Team49c83.62$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8210950.5%55 W · 54 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked fnatic41c80.34$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.083,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Leo Team75c80.28$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.071,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80bd…7acdbacked fnatic63c76.45$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.042450%12 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1418…a265backed Leo Team60c75.26$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3418943.9%83 W · 106 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1709…c148backed fnatic50c75.15$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.766144.3%27 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a9d…69fbbacked fnatic37c71.49$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.45825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-48.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed fnatic49c70.03$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.331,54733.9%524 W · 1,023 L-73.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x62f9…ae42backed Leo Team79c62.49$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.1214751%75 W · 72 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed fnatic54c61.97$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.732,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Leo Team68c61$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.472,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Leo Team34c58.73$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.662,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked fnatic76c54.21$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.22,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d30…9702backed fnatic55c53.44$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1820%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked fnatic49c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.380741.3%333 W · 474 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86e6…e722backed Leo Team33c50$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.526245.8%120 W · 142 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fc8…f527backed fnatic55c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.548826.2%128 W · 360 L-44.3wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-30.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x94f1…b9e7backed fnatic43c48.29$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8134848.3%168 W · 180 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed fnatic61c47.73$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.331,48558%862 W · 623 L+66.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked fnatic56c46.38$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.22,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6933…7ea3backed fnatic43c41.93$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.037739%30 W · 47 L-7.7wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-23.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed fnatic40c40.47$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.212,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa516…235cbacked fnatic66c39.18$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8620851.9%108 W · 100 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Leo Team61c38.03$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.964,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed Leo Team45c34.26$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8465546.9%307 W · 348 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec85…8ba8backed fnatic57c34.18$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.481656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba27…6a7ebacked fnatic40c33.74$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.55248.1%25 W · 27 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x595c…3b03backed Leo Team44c32.46$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1815157%86 W · 65 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7344…98f6backed fnatic67c32.19$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5618043.3%78 W · 102 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ca5…9988backed fnatic42c31.07$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.05520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-27.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbfa…27b2backed Leo Team43c28.86$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.36250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd505…c232backed fnatic73c27.15$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b88…8b2dbacked Leo Team49c24.53$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.612556%14 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd533…d6a1backed fnatic65c24.1$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6639840.5%161 W · 237 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee16…16a2backed fnatic65c22.52$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6429752.2%155 W · 142 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed fnatic72c17.9$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.861,36566.3%905 W · 460 L+76.1wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ee8…7406backed Leo Team78c14.3$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.2121741.5%90 W · 127 L-11.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.