CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Leo Team - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2b5ef8aedfbcd6c73aa0e6d889faf5bfdd0293f7419e82de9079de2dcc9e4d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- fnaticof fnatic, Leo Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,785
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,030
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,785 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5454…ceadbacked fnatic | 78c | 1,271$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.85 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Leo Team | 21c | 583.14$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.12 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Leo Team | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Leo Team | 22c | 426.88$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.36 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Leo Team | 43c | 223.24$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Leo Team | 29c | 212.16$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.11 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x63ff…5f94backed Leo Team | 29c | 171.29$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.1 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed fnatic | 78c | 167.77$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.91 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed fnatic | 57c | 142.52$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.28 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked fnatic | 71c | 133.59$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.37 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Leo Team | 19c | 93.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Leo Team | 19c | 87.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -19.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Leo Team | 18c | 72.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 250 | 42.8%107 W · 143 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6518…1aecbacked fnatic | 78c | 59.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Leo Team | 22c | 58.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…f4a0backed Leo Team | 43c | 56.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 838 | 56.1%470 W · 368 L | +31.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed fnatic | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed fnatic | 64c | 46.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed fnatic | 58c | 45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked fnatic | 67c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked fnatic | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.37 | 445 | 63.8%284 W · 161 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Leo Team - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Leo Team (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffsfnatic won
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Leo Team - Map 2 WinnerLeo Team won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.