Bundesliga · resolved market
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ecf71c122a97dfd9549589877ccd8ed8ee17e52caaad2708ba84c351ddc8e9d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $297,479
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $316,890
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $297,479 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes | 23c | 103,877$23,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,844.32 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95de…c9b2backed No | 77c | 50,000$38,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 78c | 20,628$16,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,596.08 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 16c | 12,759$2,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,061.06 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6204…0b06backed Yes | 9c | 9,999$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.95 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +154.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 78c | 8,745$6,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,923.82 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 77c | 8,000$6,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c1…d98bbacked Yes | 21c | 7,258$1,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,524.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 22c | 6,625$1,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,431.48 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 77c | 6,000$4,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Yes | 18c | 5,416$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.53 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +106.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4b…541bbacked No | 78c | 5,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 21c | 4,879$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.51 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf63a…90e6backed Yes | 10c | 4,753$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.99 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes | 17c | 4,510$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.32 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97f9…0aebbacked No | 79c | 4,348$3,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.07 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 77c | 3,500$2,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3636…4a00backed Yes | 19c | 3,255$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 77c | 3,000$2,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked No | 77c | 2,079$1,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.96 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +5.1wins | +0.27per pick | 42cpaid | +128.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed No | 79c | 2,000$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 79c | 1,947$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.24 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 77c | 1,778$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.08 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Yes | 10c | 1,439$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.97 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 20c | 1,395$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes | 6c | 1,347$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.84 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed No | 71c | 1,322$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.3 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 14c | 1,242$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.73 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 9c | 1,050$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.54 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 47c | 999.99$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.99 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed Yes | 22c | 964.99$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.31 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 14c | 960.08$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.94 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e65…0b57backed Yes | 7c | 936.92$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 77c | 900$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35d6…679abacked Yes | 14c | 886.81$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 9cpaid | +220.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 78c | 819.97$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.79 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 77c | 800$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 77c | 800$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 77c | 800$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb553…457bbacked Yes | 15c | 764.42$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.98 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 20cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…c46abacked Yes | 50c | 754.71$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.71 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebb5…ec99backed Yes | 19c | 740.25$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.79 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Yes | 18c | 686.69$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.6 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f4…6e5dbacked Yes | 29c | 648.69$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.12 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5db…f982backed Yes | 17c | 608.41$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.43 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bad…4d53backed Yes | 12c | 599.97$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes | 25c | 574.36$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.28 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c8…0cecbacked Yes | 17c | 570.12$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 80c | 566.84$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.37 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Yes | 11c | 555.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.21 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 18c | 543.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 10c | 531.69$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.04 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…5fefbacked Yes | 18c | 528.22$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.08 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Yes | 22c | 517.65$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.88 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked No | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked No | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 78c | 499.99$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.09 | 119 | 56.3%67 W · 52 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 9c | 498.81$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.53 | 264 | 33.3%88 W · 176 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 29c | 478.7$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.82 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1de9…9499backed Yes | 29c | 472.1$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked No | 77c | 460$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.8 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 21c | 457.2$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.01 | 208 | 45.7%95 W · 113 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 22c | 433.27$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.32 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 67c | 423.87$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.16 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d1fabacked Yes | 12c | 407.44$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.35 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9678…b4bfbacked Yes | 7c | 400$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed5d…2668backed Yes | 13c | 364.54$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.39 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Yes | 8c | 354.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 72c | 346.25$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.34 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8b…517cbacked Yes | 29c | 330.14$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.74 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 39cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 29c | 320.23$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.87 | 241 | 32%77 W · 164 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc21b…e29fbacked Yes | 17c | 315.15$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 25c | 306.5$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.92 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6606…a628backed Yes | 23c | 304.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed No | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 8c | 295.25$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -7.5wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 52c | 291.4$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.12 | 194 | 58.2%113 W · 81 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5d…de85backed Yes | 16c | 290.22$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 18c | 264.11$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.54 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Yes | 29c | 260.81$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.63 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 51c | 254.76$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.93 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 78c | 246.69$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.27 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Yes | 20c | 243.83$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.77 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2057…af78backed Yes | 29c | 234.86$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.11 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +85%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed No | 49c | 227$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.77 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed No | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Yes | 51c | 189.55$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.67 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a62…1cb9backed Yes | 51c | 188.41$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes | 17c | 180$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 115 | 39.1%45 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?this page
- Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-04-25?No won
- Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.