Bundesliga · resolved market
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-04-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9cc039bdf25ccc4fc185739843222f35a79fe9f2dbb7947b68d266f0bbf22881
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $394,622
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $425,227
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $394,622 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 311 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Yes | 22c | 21,933$4,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,765.18 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 51c | 19,761$10,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,625.4 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 22c | 15,421$3,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,392.71 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 23c | 12,641$2,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,703.53 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 64c | 11,706$7,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,434.8 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Yes | 72c | 10,320$7,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,428.42 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ddd…bea6backed Yes | 73c | 10,075$7,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,354.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed No | 27c | 8,619$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,299.24 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 79c | 8,595$6,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,835.12 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 78c | 8,000$6,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked No | 22c | 7,675$1,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,968.4 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 80c | 6,839$5,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,367.79 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb585…53edbacked Yes | 74c | 6,654$4,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,921.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 71cpaid | -57%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 58c | 6,391$3,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,698.8 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 48c | 5,850$2,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,063.95 | 113 | 56.6%64 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…cbeabacked No | 76c | 5,242$3,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,257.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed No | 21c | 4,823$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,821.91 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 29c | 4,778$1,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,392.5 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 48c | 4,414$2,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,288.04 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…819ebacked No | 80c | 4,344$3,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.83 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 28c | 4,182$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,991.2 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 79c | 4,029$3,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.99 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e61…19bdbacked Yes | 69c | 3,838$2,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,647.91 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 78c | 3,779$2,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.33 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes | 44c | 3,429$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520.38 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +5.1wins | +0.27per pick | 42cpaid | +128.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 71c | 3,416$2,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.58 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed No | 11c | 3,313$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,948.66 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +46%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a91…c6b1backed Yes | 20c | 3,146$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.12 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 21c | 3,022$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,387.38 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed No | 60c | 3,006$1,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,211.82 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 79c | 2,962$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.06 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4b…541bbacked Yes | 39c | 2,929$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Yes | 21c | 2,679$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.77 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdee9…c110backed No | 79c | 2,623$2,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe970…d76abacked No | 80c | 2,471$1,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc198…6d2cbacked No | 60c | 2,440$1,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +28%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed No | 41c | 2,330$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Yes | 20c | 2,322$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.5 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed No | 78c | 2,290$1,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.65 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca2…134fbacked Yes | 61c | 2,262$1,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,377.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 68c | 2,135$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,455.1 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Yes | 1c | 2,126$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 49 | 16.3%8 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7053…25e4backed Yes | 25c | 2,099$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.64 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes | 23c | 2,066$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.93 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…e677backed Yes | 41c | 2,027$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 77c | 1,871$1,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.85 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 43c | 1,797$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.56 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 50c | 1,734$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.88 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 24c | 1,711$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.61 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 17c | 1,467$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.4 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa95…6ac7backed No | 61c | 1,443$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed No | 56c | 1,421$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.32 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 20c | 1,388$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.6 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6447…8075backed No | 16c | 1,305$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.26 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…b250backed No | 17c | 1,256$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.55 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.38per pick | 49cpaid | +108.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 78c | 1,227$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.99 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 21c | 1,206$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.65 | 435 | 32.2%140 W · 295 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 60c | 1,192$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.76 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 79c | 1,182$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.48 | 208 | 45.7%95 W · 113 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Yes | 24c | 1,100$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 53c | 1,077$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.87 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a7…0af9backed No | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 54c | 994.44$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.98 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e5…d3c7backed Yes | 62c | 969.2$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…8d97backed Yes | 75c | 943.84$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35d6…679abacked Yes | 2c | 940.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 9cpaid | +220.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 43c | 920.81$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.18 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 45c | 916.57$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.26 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 21c | 907.24$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.52 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1317backed No | 23c | 871.14$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.57 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +96.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 4c | 836.83$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.65 | 264 | 33.3%88 W · 176 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 75c | 827.4$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.55 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7f…12d5backed Yes | 22c | 783.36$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.29 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Yes | 14c | 758.58$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.91 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b13…e9f7backed No | 13c | 729.08$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +182.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 79c | 666.27$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.59 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0a…d357backed Yes | 74c | 665.14$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +287.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5760…40aabacked No | 79c | 627.99$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3188…870bbacked No | 14c | 609.96$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +126.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 40c | 600$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…a4fbbacked No | 17c | 600$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed No | 12c | 576.21$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.07 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefc8…4676backed No | 14c | 541.94$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.07 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +51%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 78c | 541.5$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.13 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…f8c7backed Yes | 22c | 538.61$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.49 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…934dbacked No | 23c | 509.22$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa461…878abacked No | 30c | 506.78$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74a3…3b73backed Yes | 73c | 502.79$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd179…74adbacked No | 79c | 500.01$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes | 71c | 499.99$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked No | 11c | 499.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.99 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 21c | 499.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 168 | 50%84 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…c46abacked No | 80c | 493.94$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.75 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8361…c9c9backed No | 80c | 487.7$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed No | 41c | 486.24$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.88 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked No | 28c | 486$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.18 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e8…9a67backed No | 40c | 482$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x016c…df21backed No | 29c | 478.7$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.88 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1e…f62bbacked Yes | 25c | 477.5$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.38 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1914…36f9backed Yes | 65c | 459.46$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-04-25?this page
- Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.