Tennis · resolved market
Madrid Open: Karolina Pliskova vs Maria Sakkari
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x927cee735c8edf733abe71922ebfe0d1c86ec8c3713f4351ec9032216d43e1ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Karolina Pliskovaof Karolina Pliskova, Maria Sakkari
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $305,389
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $360,061
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $305,389 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 219 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Karolina Pliskova | 65c | 17,360$11,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,067.11 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…cb1abacked Maria Sakkari | 59c | 16,630$9,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,751.84 | 310 | 56.1%174 W · 136 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Maria Sakkari | 15c | 12,132$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,819.76 | 341 | 36.4%124 W · 217 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Maria Sakkari | 21c | 11,309$2,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,341.65 | 278 | 46%128 W · 150 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Maria Sakkari | 30c | 8,056$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.99 | 2,069 | 46.7%966 W · 1,103 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3234…8b1abacked Karolina Pliskova | 65c | 7,771$5,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,707.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Maria Sakkari | 57c | 6,838$3,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,897.68 | 798 | 55.9%446 W · 352 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Maria Sakkari | 18c | 4,942$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.71 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Karolina Pliskova | 68c | 4,727$3,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,514.9 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x820a…ca12backed Maria Sakkari | 40c | 3,768$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,506.75 | 334 | 42.5%142 W · 192 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Karolina Pliskova | 41c | 3,500$1,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,065 | 538 | 43.5%234 W · 304 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Maria Sakkari | 34c | 3,246$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.29 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Maria Sakkari | 38c | 3,194$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.78 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7b…7f37backed Maria Sakkari | 31c | 2,970$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.64 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Maria Sakkari | 39c | 2,903$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.79 | 4,760 | 49.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L | +176.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Maria Sakkari | 35c | 2,596$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.85 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Karolina Pliskova | 42c | 2,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450 | 4,082 | 39.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L | +93.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Karolina Pliskova | 57c | 2,360$1,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.01 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Karolina Pliskova | 67c | 2,232$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.39 | 620 | 61.9%384 W · 236 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Karolina Pliskova | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 587 | 34.6%203 W · 384 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Maria Sakkari | 9c | 1,471$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.36 | 975 | 7.9%77 W · 898 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Karolina Pliskova | 58c | 1,373$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.02 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Maria Sakkari | 24c | 1,348$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.84 | 380 | 13.9%53 W · 327 L | -38.3wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Karolina Pliskova | 65c | 1,330$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.03 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Karolina Pliskova | 74c | 1,277$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.26 | 4,602 | 67.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L | +309.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Maria Sakkari | 41c | 1,277$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.6 | 1,123 | 50.3%565 W · 558 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Karolina Pliskova | 42c | 1,184$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.9 | 785 | 36.1%283 W · 502 L | +36.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…2f90backed Maria Sakkari | 28c | 1,113$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.01 | 130 | 42.3%55 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Karolina Pliskova | 44c | 1,108$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.6 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Karolina Pliskova | 42c | 1,070$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.58 | 2,521 | 38.4%969 W · 1,552 L | +93.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f01…0d90backed Maria Sakkari | 56c | 1,022$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.14 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Maria Sakkari | 36c | 1,015$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.41 | 542 | 49.3%267 W · 275 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2a…1fcabacked Karolina Pliskova | 66c | 1,010$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.4 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Maria Sakkari | 2c | 1,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 82 | 1.2%1 W · 81 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…91d5backed Karolina Pliskova | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Karolina Pliskova | 43c | 999.83$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.9 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551d…9326backed Maria Sakkari | 59c | 991.93$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.24 | 277 | 39%108 W · 169 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ce…99f6backed Maria Sakkari | 39c | 988.68$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.35 | 179 | 36.9%66 W · 113 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb002…103dbacked Maria Sakkari | 59c | 978.4$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.26 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Karolina Pliskova | 43c | 961.17$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.87 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Maria Sakkari | 43c | 862.6$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.16 | 457 | 37.9%173 W · 284 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…b46abacked Maria Sakkari | 56c | 862.47$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.93 | 255 | 44.7%114 W · 141 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Karolina Pliskova | 64c | 857.99$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Maria Sakkari | 36c | 832.23$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.17 | 161 | 36%58 W · 103 L | -14.5wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d99…9675backed Maria Sakkari | 32c | 738.88$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.44 | 155 | 30.3%47 W · 108 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Karolina Pliskova | 42c | 714.28$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.28 | 988 | 41.3%408 W · 580 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Maria Sakkari | 39c | 653.04$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.69 | 1,678 | 50.8%852 W · 826 L | +30.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Karolina Pliskova | 65c | 638.64$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.84 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Maria Sakkari | 41c | 592.9$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.14 | 243 | 29.6%72 W · 171 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Maria Sakkari | 38c | 572.61$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.59 | 543 | 45.3%246 W · 297 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3d…1702backed Karolina Pliskova | 45c | 558.33$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.84 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Karolina Pliskova | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 3,884 | 35%1,358 W · 2,526 L | +92.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed Maria Sakkari | 59c | 495.97$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.62 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Karolina Pliskova | 44c | 437.03$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.71 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3c15backed Maria Sakkari | 57c | 428.29$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.53 | 683 | 50.1%342 W · 341 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Karolina Pliskova | 60c | 422.58$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.03 | 661 | 39.3%260 W · 401 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa395…e703backed Karolina Pliskova | 43c | 404.81$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Karolina Pliskova | 43c | 404.81$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.74 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Maria Sakkari | 55c | 402.18$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.2 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Maria Sakkari | 50c | 394$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.17 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9172…af2fbacked Maria Sakkari | 38c | 382.93$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.41 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f6…615bbacked Karolina Pliskova | 66c | 374.03$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.22 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Maria Sakkari | 57c | 363.36$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.76 | 1,926 | 55.4%1,067 W · 859 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Karolina Pliskova | 61c | 359.09$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.56 | 2,868 | 49.5%1,419 W · 1,449 L | +23.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044e…28d3backed Karolina Pliskova | 44c | 350.34$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.19 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff8…d7fdbacked Maria Sakkari | 56c | 347.71$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.72 | 434 | 49.1%213 W · 221 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Karolina Pliskova | 61c | 337.78$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.22 | 853 | 48.7%415 W · 438 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Maria Sakkari | 59c | 330.63$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.07 | 1,881 | 45.7%860 W · 1,021 L | +51.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6167…a6cabacked Maria Sakkari | 20c | 329.33$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.44 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +7.3wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Karolina Pliskova | 45c | 312.25$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.98 | 2,150 | 54.1%1,164 W · 986 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Karolina Pliskova | 58c | 311.54$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.1 | 603 | 55.4%334 W · 269 L | +19.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Karolina Pliskova | 40c | 295.44$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.26 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Maria Sakkari | 36c | 291.06$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.03 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…83babacked Maria Sakkari | 34c | 286.35$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.04 | 847 | 36%305 W · 542 L | -35.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Karolina Pliskova | 69c | 285.62$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.59 | 283 | 48.4%137 W · 146 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Karolina Pliskova | 42c | 276.86$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.78 | 362 | 44.8%162 W · 200 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…61cfbacked Maria Sakkari | 35c | 274.57$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x214a…408abacked Maria Sakkari | 35c | 274.57$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.1 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Karolina Pliskova | 39c | 261.97$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.84 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Maria Sakkari | 60c | 253.15$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.15 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cc…78adbacked Karolina Pliskova | 77c | 249.03$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.06 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Maria Sakkari | 22c | 229.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 584 | 38.2%223 W · 361 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Maria Sakkari | 39c | 225.58$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.98 | 850 | 57.5%489 W · 361 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Karolina Pliskova | 40c | 223.7$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.22 | 569 | 27.2%155 W · 414 L | +22.8wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Karolina Pliskova | 45c | 216.97$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.17 | 606 | 41.6%252 W · 354 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed Karolina Pliskova | 43c | 215$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.55 | 336 | 47.3%159 W · 177 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e3…e61bbacked Maria Sakkari | 24c | 211.58$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.92 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x407d…574bbacked Karolina Pliskova | 48c | 209.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.82 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…ecdbbacked Karolina Pliskova | 45c | 207.79$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.51 | 489 | 35.8%175 W · 314 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Karolina Pliskova | 69c | 203$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.93 | 377 | 41.4%156 W · 221 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Maria Sakkari | 42c | 200.55$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.09 | 800 | 51%408 W · 392 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Karolina Pliskova | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Karolina Pliskova | 42c | 199.99$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.99 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Karolina Pliskova | 62c | 199.15$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.86 | 567 | 54.5%309 W · 258 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d87…abeabacked Karolina Pliskova | 71c | 190.87$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.35 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bac…f1a6backed Maria Sakkari | 59c | 165.32$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.54 | 104 | 61.5%64 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Karolina Pliskova | 62c | 165.11$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.28 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8858…ed3ebacked Karolina Pliskova | 44c | 164.73$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.25 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Karolina Pliskova | 62c | 158.33$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.7 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc274…86debacked Maria Sakkari | 31c | 157.41$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 493 | 42.8%211 W · 282 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Madrid Open: Karolina Pliskova vs Maria Sakkarithis page
- Set Handicap: Sakkari (-1.5) vs Pliskova (+1.5)Pliskova won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.