La Liga · resolved market
Real Madrid CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61245e28143012783027c4a0a6c2c820f49e0859af0595bab1905acad3dde6dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $239,363
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $258,809
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $239,363 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 241 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3fd9…1ef0backed Under | 45c | 100,000$45,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,999.95 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Over | 55c | 22,114$12,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,162.5 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 36c | 20,050$7,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,171.16 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 50c | 16,396$8,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,125.26 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Over | 55c | 15,568$8,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,562.4 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 54c | 11,735$6,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,365.32 | 841 | 44.8%377 W · 464 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf209…15b9backed Under | 46c | 9,398$4,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,075.27 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…84c5backed Over | 55c | 9,219$5,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,059.24 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Over | 55c | 6,811$3,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,746.05 | 107 | 60.7%65 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 54c | 6,409$3,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,925.16 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Over | 55c | 5,838$3,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,210.9 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Over | 55c | 5,838$3,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,210.9 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…70d4backed Over | 55c | 4,458$2,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,451.96 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb00d…af5fbacked Under | 53c | 4,365$2,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,060.79 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Under | 45c | 4,156$1,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,286.06 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 48c | 3,872$1,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,018.86 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e01…0875backed Over | 55c | 3,538$1,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,946 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Over | 55c | 3,184$1,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,751.4 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Over | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,619.96 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64f7…afa6backed Over | 51c | 2,963$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,503.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Under | 46c | 2,628$1,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419.38 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 60c | 2,602$1,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.62 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 57c | 2,546$1,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.25 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4da5…e32ebacked Over | 53c | 2,405$1,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,281.76 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -71%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over | 54c | 2,015$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.91 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Under | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 143 | 48.3%69 W · 74 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Over | 55c | 1,946$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.3 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 49c | 1,892$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.5 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2840…fb26backed Over | 49c | 1,890$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.89 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 54cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6638…0b09backed Under | 57c | 1,658$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.88 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…1204backed Over | 55c | 1,652$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.78 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Over | 55c | 1,557$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.24 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Under | 45c | 1,467$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa566…72debacked Under | 37c | 1,351$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.74 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Over | 43c | 1,230$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.25 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 52c | 1,204$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.83 | 1,186 | 51.7%613 W · 573 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 55c | 1,028$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.79 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Over | 48c | 1,019$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.68 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 66c | 999.3$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.78 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 47c | 984.54$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.23 | 1,662 | 43.7%727 W · 935 L | -23.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 55c | 973$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.15 | 111 | 20.7%23 W · 88 L | -10.9wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Over | 55c | 973$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.15 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +13.9wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Over | 55c | 973$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.15 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Over | 55c | 973$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.15 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Over | 55c | 973$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.15 | 102 | 57.8%59 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Over | 50c | 970$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6af9…a022backed Under | 50c | 970$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c0…44febacked Under | 54c | 885.94$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Over | 55c | 875.7$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.64 | 108 | 59.3%64 W · 44 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Under | 60c | 870.33$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.38 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 11c | 831.83$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.3 | 104 | 18.3%19 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked Under | 60c | 823.69$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.41 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -6.9wins | -0.27per pick | 50cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdf…7c07backed Over | 55c | 778.4$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Over | 55c | 778.4$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.12 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Over | 55c | 778.4$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.12 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Over | 45c | 739.92$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.12 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Under | 54c | 720.3$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.34 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked Over | 55c | 720.02$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.01 | 121 | 66.1%80 W · 41 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 72c | 682.78$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.18 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked Under | 61c | 675.74$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.58 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Over | 47c | 628.3$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.3 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90e…107abacked Under | 53c | 616.88$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.75 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 58c | 615.14$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.04 | 124 | 70.2%87 W · 37 L | +30.3wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +70%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x3234…8b1abacked Under | 56c | 600$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Over | 55c | 583.8$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.09 | 87 | 58.6%51 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Over | 55c | 583.8$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.09 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8c…6a99backed Under | 50c | 582.19$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.1 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Under | 47c | 562.79$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.28 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 47c | 562.79$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.28 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 47c | 562.79$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.28 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 61c | 544.99$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.65 | 340 | 44.4%151 W · 189 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 38c | 531.85$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.91 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 50c | 512.08$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.7 | 460 | 40.9%188 W · 272 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 39c | 499.99$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 108 | 20.4%22 W · 86 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Over | 55c | 486.5$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.58 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Over | 46c | 434.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.1 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 42c | 434.52$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.41 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fa…546bbacked Over | 47c | 422.3$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.48 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Under | 46c | 420.7$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.18 | 229 | 39.3%90 W · 139 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf63…ba76backed Under | 46c | 420.7$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.18 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Under | 46c | 420.7$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.18 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Over | 46c | 418.26$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.09 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Over | 55c | 408.66$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.76 | 133 | 62.4%83 W · 50 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Over | 55c | 408.66$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.76 | 130 | 62.3%81 W · 49 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb143…cadebacked Over | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 45c | 400$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 653 | 56.5%369 W · 284 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 57c | 397.83$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.53 | 163 | 63.8%104 W · 59 L | +32.3wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…3455backed Over | 45c | 391.1$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.99 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Over | 55c | 389.2$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.06 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Over | 55c | 389.2$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.06 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 48c | 381.47$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.1 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 38c | 379.81$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.73 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Under | 52c | 373.54$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.3 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…e628backed Over | 55c | 353.82$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6556…5c7cbacked Under | 54c | 345.45$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.91 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Over | 36c | 337.03$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.73 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 60c | 329.58$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.37 | 239 | 57.7%138 W · 101 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5d…adc4backed Under | 51c | 294.75$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.77 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over | 55c | 291.9$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.55 | 290 | 53.4%155 W · 135 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Madrid CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 3.5this page
- Real Madrid CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-1.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)Deportivo Alavés won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)Deportivo Alavés won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.