La Liga · resolved market
Real Madrid CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xabb43239ba3d22f228f2242452e64c67f86e4132fbf49b7dadba35d8cd8285f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,038
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,642
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,038 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 8c | 18,602$1,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,402.64 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 11c | 4,702$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.04 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 9c | 2,585$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.66 | 357 | 59.4%212 W · 145 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Under | 10c | 2,318$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.77 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 9c | 1,200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.96 | 335 | 44.2%148 W · 187 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 11c | 545.03$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.47 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f86…ef4ebacked Under | 10c | 463.54$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.35 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 9c | 451.9$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.67 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 11c | 410.31$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.22 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Under | 9c | 337.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf830…cab8backed Under | 18c | 295.61$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Under | 13c | 229$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.77 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff77…1be5backed Under | 10c | 170.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc93c…95cabacked Under | 13c | 140.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 10c | 139.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 13c | 116.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Under | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecda…6f0abacked Under | 14c | 86.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…682bbacked Under | 19c | 75.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +44%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Madrid CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 1.5this page
- Real Madrid CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 3.5Under won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-1.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)Deportivo Alavés won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)Deportivo Alavés won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.