TailMyPicks
Market

La Liga · resolved market

Real Madrid CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$103,054
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$111,202

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,054 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Over16c21,374$3,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,355.793,46143%1,489 W · 1,972 L+31.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11cf…2674backed Over35c12,136$4,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,232.612259.1%13 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Over31c4,801$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,480.4460147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over18c4,554$804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803.71,66243.7%727 W · 935 L-23.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3234…8b1abacked Under78c3,119$2,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698.194141.5%17 W · 24 L-4.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-29%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under74c2,966$2,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.176858.8%40 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked Under67c1,334$894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.3214250.7%72 W · 70 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over34c1,271$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.186550.8%33 W · 32 L+5.5wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+21%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a89…8e52backed Under66c1,113$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.482665.4%17 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked Under78c1,034$807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.971283.3%10 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick76cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under67c983.61$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.034,75347.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L-21.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under78c849.79$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.9913251.5%68 W · 64 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Over21c765.26$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.710418.3%19 W · 85 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa920…ccfdbacked Under80c717.18$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31d8…a9cebacked Over26c716.55$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.932416.7%4 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-33.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x64f7…afa6backed Over21c571.56$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.03333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over30c570.76$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.1749252.6%259 W · 233 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under74c532.11$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.355166.7%34 W · 17 L+5.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under66c496$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.2548251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under73c494.43$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.8490843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf294…7967backed Under70c467.69$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.951553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.19per pick34cpaid+56.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4920…2ef4backed Under77c448.52$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.363053.3%16 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x46dc…92c3backed Over16c392.68$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.643751.4%19 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Over28c382.71$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.739262%57 W · 35 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a5a…3427backed Under70c336.46$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.146956.5%39 W · 30 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-14.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa64c…34f2backed Under71c313.8$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.755154.9%28 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over33c300.37$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.8817663.1%111 W · 65 L+32.7wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+64.9%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Over14c300$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429330.1%28 W · 65 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Under73c295.14$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.6942557.9%246 W · 179 L+1.5wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b1f…f549backed Under69c294.42$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.272070%14 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over16c284.88$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.589423.4%22 W · 72 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46d2…6805backed Over20c267.98$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.584445.5%20 W · 24 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over30c258.66$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.638748.1%186 W · 201 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over18c242.5$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6534044.4%151 W · 189 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over19c219.63$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5327958.8%164 W · 115 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac7e…4768backed Over28c205.03$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.411250%6 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1105…09d0backed Under74c200.9$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.235570.9%39 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick69cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43bc…d3ddbacked Under70c197.51$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.234100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6af6…296ebacked Under80c185.56$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.37475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+20.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Over31c157.65$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9792345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Over31c154.69$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.919555.9%109 W · 86 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75ba…cf3fbacked Under64c152.93$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.092100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff77…1be5backed Over13c149.48$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.961250%6 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a67…af26backed Under69c142.23$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.091957.9%11 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick70cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over26c126.92$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338756.3%49 W · 38 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ab1…b4ecbacked Under80c121.26$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.25944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-31.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over20c120.07$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3844524.3%108 W · 337 L-49.5wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-47.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over21c115.91$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.354942.9%21 W · 28 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-21%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ffe…9150backed Over15c111.68$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.275251.9%27 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe42d…62febacked Under74c109.08$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.36666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Over30c108.41$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9820350.7%103 W · 100 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over30c102.59$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9519260.9%117 W · 75 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf472…fd6ebacked Over18c100.81$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.157231.9%23 W · 49 L-8.8wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-39.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Over16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167852.6%41 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9006…385abacked Under77c98.62$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.684085%34 W · 6 L+6.9wins+0.17per pick68cpaid+27.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3ec2…80c0backed Over35c82.37$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.83425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-67.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4214…1749backed Over29c79.27$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.991010%1 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick34cpaid-33.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Over15c76.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.863215.6%5 W · 27 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-40.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under71c74.99$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3724546.9%115 W · 130 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cd1…34efbacked Over27c72.68$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7950%0 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Under79c70.33$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0328138.8%109 W · 172 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under77c68.58$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4446040.9%188 W · 272 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under69c65.52$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.311,18651.7%613 W · 573 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x73f2…3140backed Under77c64.04$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe91c…317ebacked Under68c57.66$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.421963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under72c52.98$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.611,57751.4%811 W · 766 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked Under65c52.84$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4916860.1%101 W · 67 L-0.4wins0.00per pick60cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a29…16c5backed Over28c51.26$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.357647.4%36 W · 40 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd28e…a78fbacked Over28c51.26$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.354254.8%23 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1517455.2%96 W · 78 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e17…84b7backed Under74c49.22$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3aab…9765backed Over26c47.78$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.42616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-59.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f86…ef4ebacked Over27c44.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.091735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-34.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x314b…3be0backed Over28c44.42$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.44450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64b1…f556backed Over27c41.84$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4830%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd243…56e5backed Under73c40.42$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.913354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4f9…f619backed Under69c39.5$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.361172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Under69c39.43$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.327263.9%46 W · 26 L+6.8wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+13.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under67c37$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2113062.3%81 W · 49 L+8.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x317a…d6f5backed Over31c33.67$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.582245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb446…2daabacked Under67c30.69$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.132259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under72c29.84$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.3610168.3%69 W · 32 L+13.8wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+30.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xeed9…ca77backed Under66c29.68$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Under67c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.712964.3%83 W · 46 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8736…dfaebacked Under67c29.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.661747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86b5…2ee9backed Under69c27.02$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.38475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under72c26.76$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4920241.6%84 W · 118 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd82f…aba0backed Under74c26.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.921631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-37.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x088e…bc56backed Under80c24.86$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.97837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-33%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c75…45febacked Under66c22.26$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.572100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+76.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2463…f5b5backed Under66c19.59$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6613760.6%83 W · 54 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2d3…aafbbacked Under68c19.04$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.092138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Under67c16.54$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.4726154.4%142 W · 119 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.