La Liga · resolved market
Real Madrid CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89c8e7d89f977f83582fad3a025710ed405959533f10c21496326016be338d2d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $201,859
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $225,815
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $201,859 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 234 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 24c | 16,031$3,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,842.51 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 71c | 13,354$9,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,883.33 | 177 | 31.1%55 W · 122 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 35c | 9,935$3,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,449.79 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 30c | 9,791$2,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,954.95 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a91…c6b1backed Over | 66c | 9,358$6,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,181.78 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Under | 32c | 4,997$1,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,591.28 | 136 | 45.6%62 W · 74 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x055a…12ddbacked Over | 70c | 4,676$3,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,402.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +79%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 70c | 3,527$2,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.04 | 208 | 57.7%120 W · 88 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Over | 55c | 3,516$1,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,569.1 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Over | 72c | 3,301$2,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.48 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Over | 71c | 3,000$2,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.99 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 33c | 2,807$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.64 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb00d…af5fbacked Under | 43c | 2,260$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.32 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 27c | 2,231$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.84 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11cf…2674backed Over | 63c | 2,204$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.47 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 31c | 2,029$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.04 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 31c | 1,906$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.59 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53fa…83f9backed Over | 13c | 1,896$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,644.51 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +5.0wins | +0.26per pick | 48cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 34c | 1,866$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.72 | 357 | 59.4%212 W · 145 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a84…0138backed Over | 72c | 1,764$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 28c | 1,662$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.49 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…c46abacked Over | 69c | 1,657$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.53 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 35c | 1,594$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.13 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e68…16c7backed Over | 69c | 1,486$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.63 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Under | 33c | 1,453$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.49 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5d…adc4backed Under | 31c | 1,433$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.78 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 30c | 1,306$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.22 | 644 | 57%367 W · 277 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7587…3afebacked Over | 78c | 1,283$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.22 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Under | 31c | 1,256$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.54 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2480…c148backed Under | 7c | 1,200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 65 | 12.3%8 W · 57 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked Over | 66c | 1,176$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.7 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 30c | 1,157$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.47 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 42c | 1,049$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.56 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 30c | 1,031$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.63 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa56f…ee5fbacked Under | 59c | 1,017$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Under | 32c | 999.94$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.98 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…0df5backed Under | 29c | 984.31$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.22 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Under | 27c | 836.19$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.17 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 76c | 760.79$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.83 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 67c | 731.49$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.39 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 33c | 576.79$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.94 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 74c | 568$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.68 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9660…ba56backed Over | 69c | 566.35$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…04a7backed Over | 78c | 566.12$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.88 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 67c | 554.79$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.2 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 66c | 543.08$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.16 | 124 | 70.2%87 W · 37 L | +30.3wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +70%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 70c | 509.98$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.99 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Over | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…e32bbacked Under | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Over | 55c | 499.97$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.99 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 34c | 494.79$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.23 | 326 | 45.4%148 W · 178 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 28c | 487.5$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.97 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Over | 17c | 475.1$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.26 | 118 | 19.5%23 W · 95 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70d8…a237backed Over | 66c | 464.07$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.78 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9c…4695backed Over | 44c | 454.21$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.36 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1150…abe0backed Over | 65c | 441.21$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Under | 57c | 427.19$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.75 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc329…0b75backed Over | 70c | 419.13$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…3455backed Under | 26c | 415.32$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.98 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb143…cadebacked Over | 63c | 399.98$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.99 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99ec…0da5backed Over | 67c | 398.46$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.49 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 29c | 392.25$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.21 | 101 | 68.3%69 W · 32 L | +13.8wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 34c | 391.83$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.07 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf209…15b9backed Under | 32c | 383.68$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.78 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 30c | 375.86$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.1 | 104 | 18.3%19 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed Over | 80c | 370.5$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.1 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 69c | 360.58$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.7 | 335 | 44.2%148 W · 187 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc3…0b17backed Over | 76c | 352.74$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.66 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 22c | 331.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.38 | 201 | 42.8%86 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 27c | 324.56$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.33 | 754 | 51.2%386 W · 368 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 34c | 310.43$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.54 | 239 | 57.7%138 W · 101 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Under | 14c | 304.56$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.37 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Over | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef3a…dc6bbacked Over | 76c | 299.52$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.88 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 72c | 299.06$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.74 | 387 | 48.1%186 W · 201 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a5d5backed Over | 66c | 296.85$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 34c | 296.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.01 | 192 | 60.9%117 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x319f…500bbacked Over | 77c | 293.27$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.39 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Over | 68c | 288.47$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c74…0d16backed Over | 21c | 285.78$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.77 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 34c | 281.59$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.74 | 331 | 61.3%203 W · 128 L | +12.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Over | 51c | 266.73$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 69c | 265.96$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.45 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc454…8c31backed Under | 15c | 264.77$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.72 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -46%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee43…ae9dbacked Over | 75c | 262.67$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.67 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1b…09aebacked Over | 75c | 262.67$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.67 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 66cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x078e…3ebdbacked Over | 76c | 259.37$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 25c | 257.04$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.75 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 80c | 247$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 66c | 244.89$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.26 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff1…c554backed Over | 66c | 233.03$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.23 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 45c | 225$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.75 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…e0c1backed Over | 42c | 221.88$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.69 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 35c | 218.05$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.11 | 227 | 29.1%66 W · 161 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 53c | 216.36$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.69 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | +14.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Over | 67c | 214.14$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.67 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 32c | 206.1$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.43 | 444 | 24.1%107 W · 337 L | -50.1wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…e7e0backed Over | 72c | 204.83$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.35 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf064…54a4backed Over | 71c | 196.52$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.99 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed Over | 68c | 195.94$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.7 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Madrid CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5this page
- Real Madrid CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 3.5Under won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-1.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)Deportivo Alavés won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)Deportivo Alavés won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.