TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Monte vs NIP (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Monteof Monte, NIP
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$465,239
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$510,547

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $465,239 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 372 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x26f8…3452backed NIP72c29,999$21,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,599.3219849.5%98 W · 100 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked NIP47c27,421$12,934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,934.0575452.7%397 W · 357 L+27.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Monte28c25,612$7,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,440.5422049.1%108 W · 112 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Monte51c17,436$8,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,514.0867041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Monte52c16,977$8,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,072.471,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed Monte48c15,342$7,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,989.3521842.7%93 W · 125 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked NIP52c14,765$7,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,672.2218350.8%93 W · 90 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed NIP51c14,161$7,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,278.28043.8%35 W · 45 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed NIP46c12,644$5,753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,752.9510044%44 W · 56 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-21%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed NIP52c10,860$5,686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,685.923848.3%115 W · 123 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked Monte50c8,676$4,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,315.365250.5%329 W · 323 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked NIP55c6,226$3,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,449.345,02855%2,763 W · 2,265 L+112.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Monte24c5,632$1,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,280.667,89250.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L+182.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked NIP53c4,892$2,576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,576.2984454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfee…ed1fbacked Monte24c4,756$1,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,595.1316920.1%34 W · 135 L-16.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-46.2%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x7193…ae51backed Monte33c4,617$1,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,089.8929858.4%174 W · 124 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Monte50c4,324$2,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,177.5649646.6%231 W · 265 L+1.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked NIP49c4,045$1,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,997.2910442.3%44 W · 60 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-19.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked NIP53c3,817$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,040.361,62144.8%726 W · 895 L+3.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24c2…3696backed Monte52c3,281$1,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,574.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b9b…3de2backed Monte46c3,138$1,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,694.488842%37 W · 51 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Monte40c3,136$1,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,891.16,46642.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L-78.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbc1…0d15backed Monte53c3,000$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4101100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Monte50c2,910$1,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4554854.2%26 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1711…5698backed Monte52c2,879$1,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,381.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked Monte29c2,755$811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,943.539232.6%30 W · 62 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c45…2160backed Monte52c2,742$1,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,316.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Monte51c2,574$1,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,270.2756732.5%184 W · 383 L-30.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-36.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Monte38c2,563$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,582.352,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb0e…b995backed Monte46c2,434$1,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,316.592272.7%16 W · 6 L+4.3wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+29.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x54ea…f74abacked Monte48c2,392$1,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,243.725344.3%112 W · 141 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed Monte44c2,300$1,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,28876546.7%357 W · 408 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec92…6b59backed Monte29c2,253$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,601.12616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-42.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc99…e947backed Monte47c2,091$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,108.42055%11 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd68…b4d8backed Monte47c2,067$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,095.57333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-29.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked Monte48c2,018$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.5326045%117 W · 143 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffc7…2259backed NIP51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0205442.6%23 W · 31 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2814…2941backed Monte52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9601100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x329c…2485backed Monte49c2,000$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0302055%11 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked NIP2c2,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301943.6%7 W · 187 L-0.1wins0.00per pick4cpaid-48.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xceb1…bd4fbacked NIP2c2,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30310%0 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f7b…440fbacked NIP2c2,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30320%0 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed Monte54c1,795$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.7172453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Monte43c1,758$757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,001.143,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked NIP55c1,730$957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956.582,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x462d…ce9bbacked Monte57c1,710$974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.454731.9%15 W · 32 L-7.0wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-40.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xde8f…2c72backed Monte50c1,682$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$837.5628056.4%158 W · 122 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf160…c3e7backed Monte47c1,660$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.95250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Monte40c1,600$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.9666446.4%308 W · 356 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked NIP56c1,589$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$889.351,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48b8…4b69backed NIP49c1,582$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775.3320249%99 W · 103 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Monte50c1,557$774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.657641.5%239 W · 337 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x310d…d698backed NIP64c1,539$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980.173842.1%16 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed NIP52c1,500$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78060748.1%292 W · 315 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x013d…0574backed NIP1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15620%0 W · 62 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x196b…4151backed NIP1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151080.9%1 W · 107 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-76.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed NIP49c1,500$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.9860248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed Monte32c1,491$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.131,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked NIP60c1,408$847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847.412,77037.4%1,036 W · 1,734 L-139.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Monte48c1,352$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.0652951.4%272 W · 257 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x135f…528cbacked Monte22c1,300$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,013.868232.9%27 W · 55 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked NIP53c1,283$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.820458.3%119 W · 85 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Monte52c1,271$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.441,76859.2%1,047 W · 721 L+105.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed NIP70c1,245$878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$877.654,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed NIP51c1,177$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.7425145.8%115 W · 136 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Monte46c1,148$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.452,49141.1%1,023 W · 1,468 L-114.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x568e…6980backed Monte48c1,138$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.943627.8%10 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc694…1171backed Monte39c1,114$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.8747441.6%197 W · 277 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Monte46c1,112$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.285,26231.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L-381.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcbd2…f8a0backed NIP54c1,111$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.9318752.4%98 W · 89 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60e3…57b5backed Monte50c1,051$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.4820859.6%124 W · 84 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc617…25e8backed Monte39c1,037$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.465655.4%31 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed Monte52c1,020$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.63354.5%18 W · 15 L+5.2wins+0.16per pick39cpaid+23.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x91db…6fb2backed Monte52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4801100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed NIP1c1,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131030%0 W · 103 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed NIP51c984.48$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.091,08050.9%550 W · 530 L+38.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a5e…81ffbacked Monte30c916.6$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.82231.8%7 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x802b…7d57backed Monte49c910.36$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.518032.5%26 W · 54 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa382…d301backed Monte45c827.54$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.151127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-45.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1bac…d241backed Monte34c811.16$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.840439.6%160 W · 244 L-1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb12e…8c6cbacked Monte53c800$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7491…ada0backed Monte53c800$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6447…8075backed Monte45c798.79$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.33560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed NIP63c777.74$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.22630.8%8 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-47.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x64a7…2133backed NIP74c750$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.5825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-29.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked NIP58c747.19$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.4338942.4%165 W · 224 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa369…3ad6backed Monte48c734.35$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.8632746.5%152 W · 175 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1430…a753backed Monte48c726.8$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.033655.6%20 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+41.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa094…3f07backed Monte33c701$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.6724942.2%105 W · 144 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d8…0175backed NIP2c700$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11313.2%1 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+67.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83b3…b3a2backed NIP54c680.97$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.7218547%87 W · 98 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked NIP60c651.38$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.3853545%241 W · 294 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x483a…01d6backed Monte39c649.86$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.7920349.3%100 W · 103 L-12.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8bb4…a903backed Monte53c634.09$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.961464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed NIP52c627.71$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.0416935.5%60 W · 109 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked NIP48c621.6$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.593,88836.6%1,423 W · 2,465 L-197.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8ca2…5d25backed NIP58c617.48$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.8217759.9%106 W · 71 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked Monte49c600$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30629739.4%117 W · 180 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Monte41c599.99$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35214650.7%74 W · 72 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87ed…b497backed Monte49c599$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.4918352.5%96 W · 87 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.