TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Monte vs NIP - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Monteof Monte, NIP
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$52,645
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$63,947

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,645 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0e1b…ecafbacked NIP63c6,871$4,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,303.112,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d22…4b50backed Monte56c3,432$1,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,514.4220554.1%111 W · 94 L+17.3wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+65.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed NIP44c3,133$1,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,368.2949646.6%231 W · 265 L+1.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa16b…b541backed Monte36c2,750$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,76043954.9%241 W · 198 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69bf…0c5dbacked Monte48c2,264$1,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,168.1417148%82 W · 89 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked NIP50c1,750$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.561,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked NIP34c1,514$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.517,99050.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L+180.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed Monte54c1,199$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.051,17854.5%642 W · 536 L-36.7wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c93…33d5backed Monte39c1,011$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.7748437.6%182 W · 302 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+42%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f12…3e35backed NIP24c992.24$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.3531642.1%133 W · 183 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Monte54c940.85$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.636,50142.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L-79.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce80…08edbacked Monte56c925.54$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.5811947.1%56 W · 63 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7193…ae51backed Monte67c873.49$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.2529858.4%174 W · 124 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed NIP59c773.26$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.474,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed NIP44c731.64$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.9225749%126 W · 131 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Monte26c600$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4441,28322%282 W · 1,001 L-24.2wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40cf…2748backed NIP65c561.65$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.6616155.9%90 W · 71 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked NIP42c493.85$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.713,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed NIP39c487.01$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.772630.8%8 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-47.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb31b…d703backed Monte53c465.45$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.8438552.7%203 W · 182 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bac…d241backed Monte56c420.73$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.1240839.2%160 W · 248 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed NIP54c400.58$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.165,34131.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L-390.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xde4b…3b7dbacked Monte58c391.19$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.4431852.8%168 W · 150 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa094…3f07backed Monte46c391.18$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.2424942.2%105 W · 144 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed Monte54c383.28$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.7226624.4%65 W · 201 L-26.9wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-33.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed NIP46c369.99$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.195,87637.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L+71.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00f8…2c23backed NIP54c358.89$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.529934.4%103 W · 196 L-12.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc694…1171backed Monte51c343.54$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.0147741.7%199 W · 278 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x473f…9892backed NIP44c340.91$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020344.3%90 W · 113 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Monte49c325.14$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.582,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a21…ba51backed Monte52c310.04$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.823641.7%15 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe7a…a930backed NIP25c300$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked NIP50c297.59$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.2353545%241 W · 294 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1033…b76ebacked NIP5c284.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x847e…3c43backed Monte52c282.12$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.4829052.4%152 W · 138 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c2…eef4backed Monte67c274.86$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.1514151.8%73 W · 68 L+0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Monte36c274.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.451,79059.2%1,060 W · 730 L+106.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed NIP28c265.87$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.144,09951%2,091 W · 2,008 L+74.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed NIP50c236.46$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.132,45644.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L-67.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked NIP37c233.46$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.683,94936.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L-201.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc793…f66fbacked Monte47c205.78$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.964131.7%13 W · 28 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb600…4440backed Monte39c192.68$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.5316546.1%76 W · 89 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe80c…f3e6backed NIP52c187.03$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.6342538.6%164 W · 261 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ec…7307backed Monte60c162.3$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.6913267.4%89 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed NIP41c161.08$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.0453945.5%245 W · 294 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf035…0924backed Monte65c146.86$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.1742845.6%195 W · 233 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked Monte51c144.23$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.5310950.5%55 W · 54 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed NIP17c142.53$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2362350.9%317 W · 306 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc99…ce7ebacked NIP51c136.96$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.1818933.9%64 W · 125 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Monte53c131.1$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.6238942.4%165 W · 224 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed NIP45c130.83$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.9960143.1%259 W · 342 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8044…358ebacked Monte49c129.99$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.96960.9%42 W · 27 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed Monte55c123.6$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.481,24841.3%516 W · 732 L+5.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a49…4022backed NIP34c111.6$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.951241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d9a…4e25backed Monte46c108$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.3214148.9%69 W · 72 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fe0…fb5bbacked NIP54c107.21$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.3641254.9%226 W · 186 L-1.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb569…6fe0backed NIP41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4138552.2%201 W · 184 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed Monte56c97.36$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8439258.2%228 W · 164 L+18.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7600…4478backed Monte48c94.71$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.928248.9%138 W · 144 L+21.4wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf9be…a0c1backed NIP52c94.04$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5444748.1%215 W · 232 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed NIP41c87.28$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.082,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xde7f…d8dbbacked Monte36c85.48$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.720744%91 W · 116 L-0.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb4f…6e10backed Monte52c85.45$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.218871.8%135 W · 53 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf99e…bde6backed Monte57c79.09$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0859262.2%368 W · 224 L+21.4wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+0.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xadaf…aefdbacked Monte72c69.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.584937.8%321 W · 528 L-20.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked NIP71c68.45$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.660953.4%325 W · 284 L-31.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa717…3bbebacked NIP50c68.02$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9538452.1%200 W · 184 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked NIP37c64.37$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.865,58047.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L+47.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7344…98f6backed Monte53c61.91$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8518043.3%78 W · 102 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Monte46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.41,54833.9%524 W · 1,024 L-73.9wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x12bc…bf2fbacked NIP34c56.26$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2137441.7%156 W · 218 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b9a…73fabacked Monte50c53.43$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.7139353.2%209 W · 184 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Monte42c53.09$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.791,30526.4%345 W · 960 L-89.7wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7e0b…4dd5backed NIP40c52.06$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.969645.8%44 W · 52 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fc8…f527backed NIP45c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.549226%128 W · 364 L-45.2wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-30.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8701…2075backed Monte59c41.33$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.952544%11 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed Monte74c40.91$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5357358.8%337 W · 236 L+16.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6795…4a4cbacked NIP64c38.22$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.464339.5%17 W · 26 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f0c…51dbbacked NIP55c36.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7440148.4%194 W · 207 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6859…2d79backed Monte56c33.36$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.682259.1%13 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+26.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf2ae…0864backed Monte70c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$993261.7%575 W · 357 L-4.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb238…4961backed NIP66c29.68$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5913142%55 W · 76 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed Monte48c29.68$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4387351.2%447 W · 426 L-2.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8772…982dbacked NIP62c28.59$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7313753.3%73 W · 64 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a76…8d8fbacked NIP69c28.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.63333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-45.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b0d…37a2backed Monte51c22.84$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.193250%16 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.