TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Monte vs NIP - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
NIPof Monte, NIP
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$70,206
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$82,663

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,206 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Monte48c9,590$4,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,637.311,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd6a…4119backed NIP66c2,225$1,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.813056.7%17 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69bf…0c5dbacked NIP71c2,000$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58017148%82 W · 89 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Monte62c1,912$1,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,177.5449646.6%231 W · 265 L+1.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Monte49c1,617$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795.325,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Monte34c1,249$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.053,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Monte52c1,192$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.41,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xce80…08edbacked NIP47c1,031$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.4911947.1%56 W · 63 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked NIP46c955.4$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.927,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5903…d02bbacked Monte40c939.3$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.015230.8%16 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick37cpaid+18.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked NIP54c881.8$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.275,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x462d…ce9bbacked Monte58c872.56$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.094731.9%15 W · 32 L-7.0wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-40.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed NIP54c791.33$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.044,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed NIP24c774.17$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.341,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Monte48c750$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.514650.7%74 W · 72 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked NIP29c709.78$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.072,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked NIP51c666.1$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.3953545%241 W · 294 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb31b…d703backed Monte51c544.65$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.1338552.7%203 W · 182 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa094…3f07backed NIP37c536.84$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.524942.2%105 W · 144 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed NIP57c516.98$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.811,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde4b…3b7dbacked NIP45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27531852.8%168 W · 150 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed NIP47c433.62$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.126,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00f8…2c23backed NIP45c426.07$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.6229934.4%103 W · 196 L-12.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed NIP46c409.54$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.6357322.3%128 W · 445 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Monte45c379.86$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.6953444.9%240 W · 294 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x847e…3c43backed Monte43c345.47$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.7529052.4%152 W · 138 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fab…afd6backed Monte47c339.01$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc694…1171backed NIP42c324.82$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.9547641.6%198 W · 278 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Monte65c271.18$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.112,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52f8…ad19backed Monte55c264.05$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.295536.4%20 W · 35 L-5.3wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-34.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Monte39c253.28$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.022,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe80c…f3e6backed NIP44c249.79$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.8841938.9%163 W · 256 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed Monte54c221.75$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.9355950.3%281 W · 278 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa073…a3babacked Monte64c220.52$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.351,11768.6%766 W · 351 L+20.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed NIP55c214.86$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.6926624.4%65 W · 201 L-26.9wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-33.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x66ea…6791backed Monte46c209.49$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.3617948%86 W · 93 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe7a…a930backed NIP21c190.52$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.512634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Monte28c186.23$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.3636334.2%124 W · 239 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked NIP35c183.5$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.693,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked NIP78c177.26$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.3178963.8%503 W · 286 L-2.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed NIP47c168.18$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.1361338.2%234 W · 379 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a21…ba51backed NIP59c165.32$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.783641.7%15 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed NIP14c161.4$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.816935.5%60 W · 109 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x87c0…244ebacked Monte52c160.71$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.0612839.8%51 W · 77 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe881…fb3dbacked NIP73c151.45$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1135466.1%234 W · 120 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4d5…26eabacked Monte29c145.31$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.131225%3 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-37.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed Monte43c145.22$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.8978348.4%379 W · 404 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3491…d64ebacked Monte45c136.94$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.225141.2%21 W · 30 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+24.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Monte39c128.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.952,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xa442…dca3backed Monte47c120.77$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.0630254.3%164 W · 138 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed NIP44c117.76$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.3825042.8%107 W · 143 L-9.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe547…a35abacked Monte48c116.98$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.67633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid+50.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x87ed…b497backed Monte44c116$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.0418352.5%96 W · 87 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc400…21a7backed NIP43c112.3$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.016946.4%32 W · 37 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9be…a0c1backed NIP48c110.63$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.3844748.1%215 W · 232 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Monte48c107.97$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.7318850%94 W · 94 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf035…0924backed NIP41c99.08$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.4642845.6%195 W · 233 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed Monte50c97.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.491,24841.3%516 W · 732 L+5.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Monte46c97.06$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.784,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Monte77c80.9$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.052,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed NIP46c80.45$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.752,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed NIP41c80.02$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.92,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe549…ea83backed Monte52c79.72$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.7832561.2%199 W · 126 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b8…5379backed Monte58c78.47$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5131452.2%164 W · 150 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Monte54c73.89$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.125,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb4f…6e10backed NIP61c67.79$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.418871.8%135 W · 53 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6bb7…dd4bbacked NIP46c66.79$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.063562.9%22 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Monte45c66.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.681,30426.5%345 W · 959 L-89.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8701…2075backed NIP21c65.89$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.132544%11 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bba…6596backed Monte45c65.68$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.566855.9%38 W · 30 L-0.3wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed NIP35c65.22$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.564439.8%256 W · 388 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a49…4022backed NIP63c61.11$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.471241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf48e…428fbacked Monte51c57.14$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1411147.7%53 W · 58 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3600…f72bbacked Monte52c56.03$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1431950.5%161 W · 158 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f1d…7ff3backed NIP72c54.68$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3117654.5%96 W · 80 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed NIP50c53.03$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.472,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Monte38c51.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7327015.2%41 W · 229 L-41.9wins-0.16per pick31cpaid-54.7%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Monte47c51.54$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2541054.6%224 W · 186 L-2.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-8.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5c49…c6c2backed Monte51c50.79$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.919952.5%52 W · 47 L-7.9wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-14.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf99e…bde6backed NIP65c49.57$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5458762.2%365 W · 222 L+20.9wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+0.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ee8…7406backed NIP50c44.56$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2621741.5%90 W · 127 L-11.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed NIP56c36.68$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.141,00869.3%699 W · 309 L+152.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed NIP55c36.02$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.31,00355.7%559 W · 444 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb238…4961backed NIP56c35.07$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5913142%55 W · 76 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba27…6a7ebacked Monte46c31.55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.515248.1%25 W · 27 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8044…358ebacked NIP60c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.956960.9%42 W · 27 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x86e6…e722backed NIP55c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.526245.8%120 W · 142 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ae…0864backed NIP80c30$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693261.7%575 W · 357 L-4.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x675f…aa0bbacked Monte56c25.05$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.035747.4%27 W · 30 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa79a…d72abacked NIP56c24.35$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7226546.8%124 W · 141 L-18.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0076…b1b6backed NIP73c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.45257.7%30 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcfd1…1acebacked NIP72c18.98$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.313100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+54.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f37…1857backed Monte80c17.44$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.951369.2%9 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick70cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.