CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Monte vs NIP - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x325ca31d9f30cf77417ff6f50cf37d04f22ee019873d166e54d5c0461664b485
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NIPof Monte, NIP
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,206
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,663
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,206 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Monte | 48c | 9,590$4,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,637.31 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6a…4119backed NIP | 66c | 2,225$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.81 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked NIP | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Monte | 62c | 1,912$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177.54 | 496 | 46.6%231 W · 265 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Monte | 49c | 1,617$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.32 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Monte | 34c | 1,249$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.05 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Monte | 52c | 1,192$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.4 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce80…08edbacked NIP | 47c | 1,031$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.49 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked NIP | 46c | 955.4$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.92 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…d02bbacked Monte | 40c | 939.3$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.01 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked NIP | 54c | 881.8$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.27 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked Monte | 58c | 872.56$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.09 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -7.0wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed NIP | 54c | 791.33$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.04 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed NIP | 24c | 774.17$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.34 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Monte | 48c | 750$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.5 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked NIP | 29c | 709.78$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.07 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked NIP | 51c | 666.1$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.39 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed Monte | 51c | 544.65$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.13 | 385 | 52.7%203 W · 182 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa094…3f07backed NIP | 37c | 536.84$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.5 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed NIP | 57c | 516.98$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.81 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked NIP | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 318 | 52.8%168 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed NIP | 47c | 433.62$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.12 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed NIP | 45c | 426.07$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.62 | 299 | 34.4%103 W · 196 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed NIP | 46c | 409.54$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.63 | 573 | 22.3%128 W · 445 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Monte | 45c | 379.86$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.69 | 534 | 44.9%240 W · 294 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…3c43backed Monte | 43c | 345.47$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.75 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fab…afd6backed Monte | 47c | 339.01$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed NIP | 42c | 324.82$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.95 | 476 | 41.6%198 W · 278 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Monte | 65c | 271.18$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.11 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52f8…ad19backed Monte | 55c | 264.05$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.29 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Monte | 39c | 253.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.02 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe80c…f3e6backed NIP | 44c | 249.79$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.88 | 419 | 38.9%163 W · 256 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Monte | 54c | 221.75$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.93 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Monte | 64c | 220.52$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.35 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed NIP | 55c | 214.86$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.69 | 266 | 24.4%65 W · 201 L | -26.9wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed Monte | 46c | 209.49$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.36 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7a…a930backed NIP | 21c | 190.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.51 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Monte | 28c | 186.23$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.36 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked NIP | 35c | 183.5$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.69 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked NIP | 78c | 177.26$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.31 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed NIP | 47c | 168.18$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.13 | 613 | 38.2%234 W · 379 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a21…ba51backed NIP | 59c | 165.32$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.78 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed NIP | 14c | 161.4$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.8 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87c0…244ebacked Monte | 52c | 160.71$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.06 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…fb3dbacked NIP | 73c | 151.45$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.11 | 354 | 66.1%234 W · 120 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d5…26eabacked Monte | 29c | 145.31$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.13 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Monte | 43c | 145.22$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.89 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3491…d64ebacked Monte | 45c | 136.94$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.22 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Monte | 39c | 128.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…dca3backed Monte | 47c | 120.77$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.06 | 302 | 54.3%164 W · 138 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed NIP | 44c | 117.76$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.38 | 250 | 42.8%107 W · 143 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe547…a35abacked Monte | 48c | 116.98$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.67 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Monte | 44c | 116$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.04 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc400…21a7backed NIP | 43c | 112.3$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.01 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed NIP | 48c | 110.63$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.38 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Monte | 48c | 107.97$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.73 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed NIP | 41c | 99.08$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.46 | 428 | 45.6%195 W · 233 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Monte | 50c | 97.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.49 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Monte | 46c | 97.06$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.78 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Monte | 77c | 80.9$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.05 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed NIP | 46c | 80.45$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed NIP | 41c | 80.02$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.9 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe549…ea83backed Monte | 52c | 79.72$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.78 | 325 | 61.2%199 W · 126 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed Monte | 58c | 78.47$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.51 | 314 | 52.2%164 W · 150 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Monte | 54c | 73.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.12 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4f…6e10backed NIP | 61c | 67.79$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 188 | 71.8%135 W · 53 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb7…dd4bbacked NIP | 46c | 66.79$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.06 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Monte | 45c | 66.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8701…2075backed NIP | 21c | 65.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.13 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bba…6596backed Monte | 45c | 65.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed NIP | 35c | 65.22$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a49…4022backed NIP | 63c | 61.11$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.47 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf48e…428fbacked Monte | 51c | 57.14$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3600…f72bbacked Monte | 52c | 56.03$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 319 | 50.5%161 W · 158 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1d…7ff3backed NIP | 72c | 54.68$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.31 | 176 | 54.5%96 W · 80 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed NIP | 50c | 53.03$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.47 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Monte | 38c | 51.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 270 | 15.2%41 W · 229 L | -41.9wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Monte | 47c | 51.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c49…c6c2backed Monte | 51c | 50.79$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | -7.9wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf99e…bde6backed NIP | 65c | 49.57$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 587 | 62.2%365 W · 222 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed NIP | 50c | 44.56$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 217 | 41.5%90 W · 127 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed NIP | 56c | 36.68$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.14 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed NIP | 55c | 36.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb238…4961backed NIP | 56c | 35.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba27…6a7ebacked Monte | 46c | 31.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked NIP | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…e722backed NIP | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed NIP | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x675f…aa0bbacked Monte | 56c | 25.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked NIP | 56c | 24.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 265 | 46.8%124 W · 141 L | -18.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0076…b1b6backed NIP | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd1…1acebacked NIP | 72c | 18.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f37…1857backed Monte | 80c | 17.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Monte vs NIP - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Monte vs NIP (BO3) - CCT Global Finals PlayoffsMonte won
- Counter-Strike: Monte vs NIP - Map 2 WinnerMonte won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: MNTE (-1.5) vs NIP (+1.5)NIP won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.