TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 2.5 Corners

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$58,451
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$66,070

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,451 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdd5e…9040backed Over56c8,457$4,713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,744.252,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed Under43c6,152$2,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,645.2529154%157 W · 134 L+21.1wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over62c4,074$2,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,558.472,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Over54c2,534$1,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,177.316546.1%76 W · 89 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe459…737dbacked Over57c2,350$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,010.525445.3%115 W · 139 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Over52c2,290$1,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,099.3785851.2%439 W · 419 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bcf…c767backed Under43c2,286$983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983.1811552.2%60 W · 55 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37f4…49afbacked Under45c2,222$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.919037.4%71 W · 119 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under47c2,141$1,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,016.8946550.3%234 W · 231 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under34c2,117$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.231,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Under49c1,758$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8546857.4%39 W · 29 L+7.9wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+25.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over67c1,532$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.431,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over60c1,463$882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.831,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cc2…5003backed Under41c1,449$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.271822.2%4 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.19per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9ff4…d731backed Under36c1,364$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.222157.1%12 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+13%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb40e…7787backed Under46c1,318$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.194841.7%20 W · 28 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-19.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over53c1,204$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56469534.8%242 W · 453 L-48.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under47c1,151$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.1537959.1%224 W · 155 L+20.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over67c1,111$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.331,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b97…0efebacked Under47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4701338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Over64c935.32$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.4227554.5%150 W · 125 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88b3…3d44backed Under5c905.09$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.113813%18 W · 120 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick10cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb014…a357backed Over54c903.89$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.7915642.9%67 W · 89 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff88…bcd5backed Under6c896.23$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.135223.1%12 W · 40 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick15cpaid+37.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Under46c815$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.914134.8%49 W · 92 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Under29c754.97$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.5715459.7%92 W · 62 L+20.0wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+32.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over55c699.99$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.953,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1262…2fc9backed Over74c678.94$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.3527466.4%182 W · 92 L+28.8wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+23.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Under38c635.06$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.5177051.3%395 W · 375 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Over53c600$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28239951.6%206 W · 193 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00da…d262backed Under50c595.1$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2958045%36 W · 44 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5e8…fafcbacked Under46c586$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.567251.4%37 W · 35 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Under46c499.99$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23023251.7%120 W · 112 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Over53c499.99$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23570648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54fe…5850backed Over53c498.3$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.21450%7 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9f…f04abacked Over60c495.47$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.19666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+34.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over65c493.54$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.112,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over55c491.01$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.443,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa23f…7f29backed Over64c465$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.7315745.9%72 W · 85 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb185…48c1backed Over65c464$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.465253.8%28 W · 24 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+19.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over69c463.29$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.878,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Over52c461.25$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.476551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b85…55f5backed Under7c400$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289912.1%12 W · 87 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick9cpaid+30.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under46c353.87$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.633,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05e0…e2cbbacked Over53c301.89$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.8913247%62 W · 70 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ba3…9a44backed Under5c299.96$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152218.2%4 W · 18 L+3.1wins+0.14per pick4cpaid+547.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x189e…5aaebacked Under36c293.79$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.4841551.8%215 W · 200 L+21.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked Under40c277.99$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.941637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfdc…0c65backed Under25c255.96$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under38c252.06$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.6163745.4%289 W · 348 L-2.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x403c…7f06backed Over53c249.99$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.533154.4%180 W · 151 L+25.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Under42c246.1$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.2479149.2%389 W · 402 L+28.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Under36c241.71$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.9845548.6%221 W · 234 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d66…6c79backed Under45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004136.6%15 W · 26 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under35c214$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.792,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc593…ea8cbacked Under37c211$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.2637352.5%196 W · 177 L+16.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed Under45c199.99$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9025352.6%133 W · 120 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf610…741cbacked Under30c196.79$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.486050%30 W · 30 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over53c185$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.9538960.7%236 W · 153 L+24.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under19c172.37$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.962,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under45c171.19$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.624,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbe2…004dbacked Under7c152.43$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1711114.4%16 W · 95 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick10cpaid+51.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6136…64f8backed Under29c135.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92db…68d2backed Under39c123.24$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under35c117.87$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.852,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed Under43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5047049.4%232 W · 238 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd42d…621cbacked Under12c114.71$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.762729.6%8 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick18cpaid+42.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d47…25c5backed Under44c113.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.975347.2%25 W · 28 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Under45c107.31$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2936247.2%171 W · 191 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Under49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4917162%106 W · 65 L+9.1wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x24ae…d35bbacked Under44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4416427.4%45 W · 119 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ccb…6cb3backed Under17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.517645.5%80 W · 96 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Over54c90.72$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.9672247.2%341 W · 381 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba56…140dbacked Under34c88$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.65961%36 W · 23 L+8.6wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+36.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe83a…8355backed Under39c81.86$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3231853.1%169 W · 149 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over61c81.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.652,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x660c…7f7abacked Under39c80$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.219047.4%90 W · 100 L-9.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Under38c79.62$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9814955%82 W · 67 L+13.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+21.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over52c78.25$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.482,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1edb…a60bbacked Under30c77.07$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1213243.2%57 W · 75 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe086…0450backed Under47c75$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.0432044.1%141 W · 179 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdec4…046fbacked Over65c74.15$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.1534526.1%90 W · 255 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fb5…0542backed Under39c73.57$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.93850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Over59c71$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9615252.6%80 W · 72 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Over53c70$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.611,29353.6%693 W · 600 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6e2…2e0abacked Under43c69.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020451.5%105 W · 99 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3f6…bab8backed Over54c64.81$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.814856.3%27 W · 21 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe61a…292dbacked Under31c63.31$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.521330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-40.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x31a8…c9ccbacked Over66c60.61$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.613135.5%11 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-23.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Under48c59.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.855942.4%237 W · 322 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Under40c59.9$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1230547.2%144 W · 161 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1594…a834backed Over72c55.69$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.699454.3%51 W · 43 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…1d41backed Over60c55$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.27350.7%37 W · 36 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2754…1668backed Over62c52.47$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.0119064.2%122 W · 68 L+13.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+9.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed Under46c51.2$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7948055.2%265 W · 215 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ba1…88c1backed Over65c50.14$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5510252.9%54 W · 48 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7319…1a56backed Under46c48$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.084755.3%26 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56f6…cda7backed Under29c45.63$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.369956.6%56 W · 43 L+8.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+22.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8c04…79c8backed Under45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-37.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89ab…14e7backed Under33c43$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.191010%1 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick23cpaid-76.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.