Fifa International · resolved market
Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 4.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04a0b8eb0d6d8e1e0e17b22ed389e61792c55f13cd9c4641cf528989709ae8a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,957
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,350
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,957 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaf4e…bd80backed Over | 80c | 2,504$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.71 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 19c | 1,192$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.51 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Under | 22c | 730.94$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.81 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 78c | 529.48$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.08 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 23c | 501.15$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.02 | 695 | 34.8%242 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Under | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 335 | 55.5%186 W · 149 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Over | 75c | 429.52$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.52 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 74c | 284.31$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.69 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked Under | 21c | 280.38$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.44 | 434 | 60.4%262 W · 172 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…9299backed Under | 24c | 257.05$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.29 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd62…39eabacked Over | 68c | 229.68$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac5a…1ac8backed Under | 18c | 221.08$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.79 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +42%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Over | 68c | 201.91$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.01 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +7.4wins | +0.26per pick | 43cpaid | +130.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf96b…9c4cbacked Under | 19c | 176.48$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.94 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +21.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 26c | 172.72$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.42 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 26c | 152.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.24 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3396…2448backed Under | 26c | 140$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57d8…a490backed Over | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 205 | 39%80 W · 125 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8138…80acbacked Under | 26c | 134.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 135 | 28.1%38 W · 97 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 32c | 129.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee6…07cabacked Over | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 26c | 106.12$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.48 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x806a…62d7backed Over | 68c | 102.87$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.07 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 25c | 85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42e7…d4ccbacked Over | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 119 | 65.5%78 W · 41 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbecf…0f51backed Over | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 128 | 60.2%77 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…9592backed Over | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 338 | 47.9%162 W · 176 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Under | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 90 | 64.4%58 W · 32 L | +11.7wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 78c | 28.31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 4.5 Cornersthis page
- Germany vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 6.5 CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 7.5 CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 10.5 Total CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 11.5 Total CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 12.5 Total CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 1.5 CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Take First CornerParaguay won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Total Corners Odd or Even?Even won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.