TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 7.5 Corners

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,405
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,337

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,405 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfdbf…e028backed Under2c999.99$20 inLost-$207335.6%26 W · 47 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under64c602.94$383 inLost-$382.9469534.8%242 W · 453 L-48.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Under65c501.08$327 inLost-$326.891,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8b8…36ddbacked Under62c435.48$270 inLost-$2707064.3%45 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a90…7bf8backed Under47c408$194 inLost-$193.745651.8%29 W · 27 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e5e…2c32backed Over32c308.74$100 inWon+$208.748942.7%38 W · 51 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d8…100dbacked Over35c284.11$100 inWon+$184.1132739.1%128 W · 199 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over43c276.4$119 inWon+$157.551,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over36c223.91$81 inWon+$142.618,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e26…8991backed Over46c216.3$100 inWon+$116.316136%58 W · 103 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Over38c210.57$79 inWon+$131.5567354.7%368 W · 305 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d47…25c5backed Over37c200$74 inWon+$1265347.2%25 W · 28 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under61c171.07$104 inLost-$104.413,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3670…18e8backed Over38c155$59 inWon+$96.16113.1%8 W · 53 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick23cpaid-60.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x786d…b89bbacked Over35c142.86$50 inWon+$92.8652217.4%91 W · 431 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd220…fc0bbacked Over35c142.86$50 inWon+$92.8610432.7%34 W · 70 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d82…244dbacked Over78c100$78 inWon+$225078%39 W · 11 L+9.5wins+0.19per pick59cpaid+31.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under59c85$50 inLost-$49.943,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under65c75$49 inLost-$49.0586656.4%488 W · 378 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7770…f99bbacked Under62c33.18$21 inLost-$20.573053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc16a…c60fbacked Under67c25.37$17 inLost-$17366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+59.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d5b…1578backed Under53c22.61$12 inLost-$11.9823858%138 W · 100 L+14.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.