Fifa International · resolved market
Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 3.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xacfae7d40fa4746e1cce0527e1925d36272d1dd54721f1bccd64f2d3ed3d06c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,155
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,503
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,155 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Under | 62c | 1,284$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.14 | 141 | 34.8%49 W · 92 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 40c | 846.58$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.19 | 389 | 60.7%236 W · 153 L | +24.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 65c | 760.21$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.75 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked Over | 35c | 751.52$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.68 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +23%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a90…7bf8backed Over | 36c | 693.51$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.85 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1a…ba1ebacked Over | 33c | 593.73$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.8 | 343 | 57.7%198 W · 145 L | +26.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37f4…49afbacked Under | 65c | 561.92$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.25 | 190 | 37.4%71 W · 119 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c7…bf04backed Under | 67c | 502.99$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337 | 87 | 58.6%51 W · 36 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Under | 67c | 350$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.5 | 148 | 56.1%83 W · 65 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 66c | 270.14$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.29 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 33c | 262$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.54 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 33c | 256.91$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.13 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Under | 66c | 235.38$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.35 | 470 | 49.4%232 W · 238 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…9299backed Over | 34c | 211.27$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.44 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 695 | 34.8%242 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d47…25c5backed Under | 66c | 170.53$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 33c | 118.07$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.81 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x471c…9e94backed Under | 66c | 110.61$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc2…a9ebbacked Over | 31c | 108.75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.36 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeba1…44dfbacked Over | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e2…2e0abacked Under | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 204 | 51.5%105 W · 99 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 55c | 72.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.72 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…b31cbacked Over | 45c | 66.58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.58 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 33c | 63.7$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.54 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Over | 34c | 47.45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.44 | 274 | 66.4%182 W · 92 L | +28.8wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Over | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 215 | 25.1%54 W · 161 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…a5a7backed Over | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dff…7fecbacked Over | 34c | 42.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 139 | 56.8%79 W · 60 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 66c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa54…a251backed Under | 68c | 36.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 216 | 54.6%118 W · 98 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 33c | 31.05$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked Under | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 147 | 66%97 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3c…ca16backed Under | 69c | 25.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 3.5 Cornersthis page
- Germany vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 6.5 CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 7.5 CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 10.5 Total CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 11.5 Total CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 12.5 Total CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 1.5 CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Take First CornerParaguay won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Total Corners Odd or Even?Even won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.