Fifa International · resolved market
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 7.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf551caa0a029e9ed3b3dcac70a852b5cec37ff96e3749c2766d1347766e7f351
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,403
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,208
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,403 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2320…4869backed Over | 71c | 3,999$2,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.43 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 28c | 2,367$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.16 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 28c | 1,817$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.77 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 29c | 1,496$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.81 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 72c | 792.26$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.76 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Under | 29c | 663.1$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.3 | 132 | 61.4%81 W · 51 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 71c | 613.17$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.62 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked Under | 20c | 491.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.22 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 72c | 399.39$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.54 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc337…5984backed Under | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 196 | 18.4%36 W · 160 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 79c | 354.92$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.89 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dde…24ecbacked Over | 79c | 327.89$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.93 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 70c | 314.99$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.68 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 70c | 284.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.87 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 14c | 262.5$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.95 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6780…4d12backed Under | 4c | 250.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 70c | 232.99$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.9 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…0550backed Under | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 356 | 14.3%51 W · 305 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Under | 30c | 158.7$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.61 | 257 | 27.2%70 W · 187 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb59…6ca3backed Over | 72c | 139.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.13 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed9…225fbacked Over | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -41%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9152…abfbbacked Under | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -7.3wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 72c | 129$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.12 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1864…6914backed Under | 31c | 112.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Over | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 326 | 42.9%140 W · 186 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…2948backed Under | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 260 | 42.3%110 W · 150 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 73c | 99.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 481 | 47.8%230 W · 251 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Under | 29c | 99.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 467 | 43.3%202 W · 265 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 14c | 78.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 71c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 74c | 67.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.59 | 631 | 52.9%334 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 30c | 64.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa03e…727abacked Under | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 231 | 45.9%106 W · 125 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 71c | 32.46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…0c75backed Over | 76c | 32.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 160 | 42.5%68 W · 92 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Over | 71c | 31.03$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 322 | 54%174 W · 148 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 72c | 28.53$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Over | 71c | 26.89$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 660 | 56.8%375 W · 285 L | +34.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3c…ca16backed Over | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…3323backed Over | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b57…263ebacked Over | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd13c…98a7backed Over | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -8.9wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x18fc…b534backed Over | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2422…800abacked Over | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7921…bbc3backed Over | 80c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.6 | 241 | 40.2%97 W · 144 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Germany vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 6.5 CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 7.5 CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 10.5 Total CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 11.5 Total CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 12.5 Total CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 1.5 CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Take First CornerParaguay won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Total Corners Odd or Even?Even won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.