TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 12.5 Total Corners

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$51,186
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$61,052

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,186 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6b79…b1bebacked Over58c7,446$4,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,094.6720245.5%92 W · 110 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Over68c3,781$2,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,198.8822943.7%100 W · 129 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe459…737dbacked Under53c3,758$1,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,987.7225445.3%115 W · 139 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e69…54b0backed Under1c2,500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251275%9 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+19.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Under1c2,192$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8665737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf348…e543backed Over67c2,023$1,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.5240163.3%254 W · 147 L+57.7wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+25.7%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Under42c1,620$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.3251859.8%310 W · 208 L+26.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+21.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under30c1,400$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.461,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over19c1,387$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,128.442,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x097c…5cdebacked Over74c1,351$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.351782.4%14 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick68cpaid+22.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over18c1,324$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,084.563,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over19c1,315$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,067.12,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Under33c1,196$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.7115459.7%92 W · 62 L+20.0wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+32.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4154…e7a8backed Over71c1,050$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.7829633.4%99 W · 197 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61ac…4781backed Over65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35052522.5%118 W · 407 L+0.5wins0.00per pick22cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c18…a04cbacked Over61c901.93$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.054944.9%22 W · 27 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Under2c899.98$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15952.1%2 W · 93 L+0.3wins0.00per pick2cpaid+11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x581f…9d8ebacked Under34c893.52$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.055364.2%34 W · 19 L+7.6wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+30%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3a90…7bf8backed Under72c649.96$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.975651.8%29 W · 27 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Over66c517.62$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.9920031%62 W · 138 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Under32c444.4$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.3877051.3%395 W · 375 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under21c436.28$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.6221846.8%102 W · 116 L+19.9wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+61.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9868…e82bbacked Under33c393.87$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.986443.8%28 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over67c375.07$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.52,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1510…fe91backed Over71c315.79$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.798367.5%56 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Over19c301.23$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24434125.8%88 W · 253 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Under39c294.74$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.6679149.2%389 W · 402 L+28.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under53c284.77$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.268,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb408…e303backed Over74c270.41$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.414351.2%22 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x502c…728fbacked Over75c266.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.7110250%51 W · 51 L-9.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under42c257.92$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.1123046.5%107 W · 123 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d7e…6be6backed Under29c249.98$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.4917736.7%65 W · 112 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24ae…4c80backed Under39c246.47$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8714856.8%84 W · 64 L+20.7wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+59.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x5fe0…83c7backed Under44c228.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005717.5%10 W · 47 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6b0…8547backed Over76c227.58$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.01540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x24ae…d35bbacked Over44c224.11$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12616427.4%45 W · 119 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9532…f57ebacked Over78c200$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451764.7%11 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7b9…9772backed Under69c199.98$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.995855.2%32 W · 26 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+33.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed Under25c199.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9922447.3%106 W · 118 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66d5…9e9fbacked Under80c174.25$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.43748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Over28c164.32$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.3115143%65 W · 86 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x189e…5aaebacked Under24c162$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2141551.8%215 W · 200 L+21.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc14e…3315backed Over78c156.51$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.695541.8%23 W · 32 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbff7…554fbacked Over61c151.98$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.820968.4%143 W · 66 L+21.5wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+14.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed Over77c151.13$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7646939.4%185 W · 284 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Under25c149.97$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5730547.2%144 W · 161 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x660c…7f7abacked Under40c148.03$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.2119047.4%90 W · 100 L-9.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under40c145$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef1d…3080backed Over75c143.29$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.877047.1%33 W · 37 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-19.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd131…eb1abacked Over72c138.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.034353.5%23 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a32…4a41backed Over69c137.83$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.736100%6 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+49.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6522…5ab3backed Over59c135.25$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.613945.3%63 W · 76 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid+9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61d3…189abacked Under55c135.18$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.352040%8 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ec6…d9edbacked Over70c133.44$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.0321631%67 W · 149 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-37.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Over20c129.95$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.9640355.3%223 W · 180 L-0.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4cf…2770backed Under40c125.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508447.6%40 W · 44 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc593…ea8cbacked Under32c123$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0637352.5%196 W · 177 L+16.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9991…36b8backed Under42c117.74$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4519257.8%111 W · 81 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeef9…8731backed Over58c117.58$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2211963%75 W · 44 L+10.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x05ae…5a4bbacked Over17c117.53$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.3836024.4%88 W · 272 L-0.7wins0.00per pick25cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd23…e31fbacked Under80c105.75$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.613261.4%81 W · 51 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8138…80acbacked Over15c101.73$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.7313528.1%38 W · 97 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid+27%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Over20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8021525.1%54 W · 161 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x387a…8eaebacked Over20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8032928%92 W · 237 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f0e…d3b2backed Under37c99.99$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375657.1%32 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe267…eb96backed Over74c94.59$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.596352.4%33 W · 30 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-11.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0bc2…077bbacked Over69c90$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.917845.5%81 W · 97 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Under30c84.97$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4932444.1%143 W · 181 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56f6…cda7backed Under33c80.16$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.459956.6%56 W · 43 L+8.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+22.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc165…61a9backed Under30c80$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248348.2%40 W · 43 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7921…bbc3backed Over70c79$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2424140.2%97 W · 144 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Under29c78.66$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9845548.6%221 W · 234 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x225f…5978backed Under51c77.66$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.844544.4%20 W · 25 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-26.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe20a…a130backed Over65c77.09$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.097343.8%32 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Under54c75.64$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.7823658.1%137 W · 99 L+20.4wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+17.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6511…5f44backed Over29c73.56$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.555534.5%19 W · 36 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-24.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8056…9507backed Over40c71.43$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8610940.4%44 W · 65 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c9c…37b9backed Over70c70$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215048%24 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb24…d79fbacked Over71c69.66$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.29561.1%58 W · 37 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd614…0fc0backed Under31c61.61$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1932145.5%146 W · 175 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00fd…32a0backed Under25c56.8$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.27236.1%26 W · 46 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+152%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca4d…5b1dbacked Under33c56.62$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.858116%13 W · 68 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed Under31c56.18$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5729556.6%167 W · 128 L+19.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over32c56.17$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2163745.4%289 W · 348 L-2.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over54c54.01$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.92,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Over67c51.85$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.854961.2%30 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc85…aa54backed Under33c51.46$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.989359.1%55 W · 38 L+9.3wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+26.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xad70…4ccfbacked Over58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.94443.2%19 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ca9…0c3fbacked Over20c50$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401225%3 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick9cpaid+40.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcdb8…e969backed Over71c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.58053.8%43 W · 37 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe50e…45c5backed Under40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8332959.6%196 W · 133 L+21.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d08…6e9bbacked Over26c48.33$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.735137.3%19 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54e1…9de8backed Under31c45.49$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148955.1%49 W · 40 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked Under41c44.64$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1837747.7%180 W · 197 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83a…8355backed Under45c41.54$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6231853.1%169 W · 149 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70b2…5805backed Over72c40$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3115635.9%56 W · 100 L-12.8wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-36.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed Under37c38.72$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2220561%125 W · 80 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over73c38.66$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5425455.9%142 W · 112 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x508b…9c09backed Over55c36.38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.383961.5%24 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa6a…6d41backed Over65c30.72$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.72728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-34.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.