Fifa International · resolved market
Germany vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b9b19ff6501c0b55fd37a4d89d69241b39061485ab4ce21561a584d241b61eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,292
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,952
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,292 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 49c | 4,025$1,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,972.09 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1a…ba1ebacked Under | 50c | 3,816$1,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,907.78 | 343 | 57.7%198 W · 145 L | +26.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4154…e7a8backed Over | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 296 | 33.4%99 W · 197 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd86e…45cebacked Over | 47c | 2,483$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.08 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 42c | 1,395$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.5 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed Under | 50c | 1,035$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.5 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 50c | 967$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.5 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…9805backed Under | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb014…a357backed Over | 46c | 787.82$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.42 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d9…5442backed Over | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 314 | 35.7%112 W · 202 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x760b…6dc8backed Over | 51c | 424.27$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.94 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 47c | 408.51$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.51 | 340 | 56.5%192 W · 148 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a0…6702backed Under | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 48c | 353.12$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.32 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 51c | 350.6$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.78 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 47c | 348.76$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.84 | 374 | 58.8%220 W · 154 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 53c | 302.58$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.99 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Under | 50c | 296$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 93 | 28%26 W · 67 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e8…fafcbacked Over | 46c | 238.99$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.05 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849b…a5fdbacked Over | 51c | 170.59$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.59 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e0…708fbacked Under | 51c | 165$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.15 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9605…a2c4backed Over | 50c | 154$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 212 | 26.9%57 W · 155 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…76b9backed Under | 55c | 145.45$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Over | 47c | 122.85$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.11 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaae4…0dadbacked Over | 51c | 119.61$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.61 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9152…abfbbacked Under | 53c | 113.4$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -7.3wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9dff…7fecbacked Under | 51c | 113.28$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.85 | 139 | 56.8%79 W · 60 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Under | 49c | 111$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.39 | 119 | 63%75 W · 44 L | +10.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…be9dbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…a0f3backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…2770backed Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe267…eb96backed Under | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Under | 51c | 80.42$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.09 | 377 | 47.7%180 W · 197 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 53c | 65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.45 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d44…1d7cbacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd925…f36fbacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Under | 49c | 43.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 660 | 56.8%375 W · 285 L | +34.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b57…263ebacked Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x636c…8827backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a3…baf7backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89ab…14e7backed Under | 51c | 39.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ab…faadbacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 104 | 65.4%68 W · 36 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1506…e79ebacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 200 | 49%98 W · 102 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x912b…bc67backed Over | 51c | 33.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…8294backed Under | 55c | 30.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49a1…1c02backed Over | 47c | 28.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fed…2e5cbacked Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under | 52c | 25.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94e4…c3e8backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe15…c560backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Germany vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Germany vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 6.5 CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 7.5 CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 10.5 Total CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 11.5 Total CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 12.5 Total CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 1.5 CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Take First CornerParaguay won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Total Corners Odd or Even?Even won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.