TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 6.5 Corners

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$51,230
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$53,209

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,230 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x96f7…d6aebacked Under52c20,492$10,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,589.417346.6%34 W · 39 L+5.5wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+24%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over48c17,181$8,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,888.162,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Over49c6,009$2,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,064.3516546.1%76 W · 89 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Over68c3,327$2,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,061.4922943.7%100 W · 129 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb014…a357backed Over45c2,739$1,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,495.5315642.9%67 W · 89 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf1a…ba1ebacked Under47c2,082$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978.4434357.7%198 W · 145 L+26.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked Under53c2,000$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,069.9933555.5%186 W · 149 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under34c1,904$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.841,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under51c1,453$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.969534.8%242 W · 453 L-48.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under52c1,413$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.542,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Under47c1,275$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.3836247.2%171 W · 191 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed Over48c1,144$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.9324148.1%116 W · 125 L-1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over54c1,046$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.738,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over54c737.19$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.1989443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Over45c733.06$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.5139951.6%206 W · 193 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under46c703.23$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.5220638.8%80 W · 126 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6fa…546bbacked Over46c652.17$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.1713754.7%75 W · 62 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3cea…03d4backed Under47c612.77$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28819250%96 W · 96 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Under55c600$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33085851.2%439 W · 419 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over52c527.27$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.493,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d47…25c5backed Over50c517.88$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.55347.2%25 W · 28 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1fac…1feebacked Over47c509.99$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.597347.9%35 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Under37c508.99$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.5977051.3%395 W · 375 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x403c…7f06backed Under52c499.99$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26033154.4%180 W · 151 L+25.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under55c499.99$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.9970648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Under54c499.98$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.9923251.7%120 W · 112 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24ae…4c80backed Over67c469.54$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.5914856.8%84 W · 64 L+20.7wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+59.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under21c452.15$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.694,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20046550.3%234 W · 231 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d8…100dbacked Over49c410.2$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.232739.1%128 W · 199 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under47c406.46$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.0436250%181 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under31c370.5$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.922,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under51c351.96$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.8963745.4%289 W · 348 L-2.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over52c350.64$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.762,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Under19c335$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.11,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under52c312.71$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.623,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7200…9299backed Under47c293.99$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.1816946.2%78 W · 91 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed Under55c250$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.530241.4%125 W · 177 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe086…0450backed Under55c250$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.532044.1%141 W · 179 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over53c230.81$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.212,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e3d…85abbacked Under55c230.29$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.6636448.6%177 W · 187 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Over46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3947935.1%168 W · 311 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e10…5721backed Over46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3915148.3%73 W · 78 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbed9…9ad7backed Over47c213.09$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.092458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+17.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0f3…0fc5backed Over47c212.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.3110249%50 W · 52 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd842…775bbacked Over47c212$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.368550.6%43 W · 42 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd220…fc0bbacked Over48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3310432.7%34 W · 70 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under45c191.56$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.22,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7429…28b4backed Under56c176.79$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick62cpaid-41.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under50c169.85$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.332,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x140e…cf85backed Over62c161.61$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.6116153.4%86 W · 75 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Over53c160$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over50c156.57$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.511,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x189e…5aaebacked Under32c145.18$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5841551.8%215 W · 200 L+21.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc593…ea8cbacked Under38c116$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.6437352.5%196 W · 177 L+16.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over52c112$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05e0…e2cbbacked Under47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013247%62 W · 70 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf555…b36bbacked Over46c104.35$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.358846.6%41 W · 47 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbcbe…8ac8backed Over48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.174856.3%27 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6e2…2e0abacked Over48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1720451.5%105 W · 99 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x306d…d9c8backed Under48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under52c103.4$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.7726047.3%123 W · 137 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Under47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4748147.8%230 W · 251 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dff…7fecbacked Under48c97.27$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6913956.8%79 W · 60 L+9.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x47cd…5648backed Over53c95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.65933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-47.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under52c90$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.1986656.4%488 W · 378 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under27c89.82$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.852,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Under36c85.46$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0134551.9%179 W · 166 L+17.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb795…1a30backed Under47c85.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407749.4%38 W · 39 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-10.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0e9…2e39backed Over46c82.61$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.6110252%53 W · 49 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe83a…8355backed Under36c82.37$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3031853.1%169 W · 149 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Under51c79.11$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.7479149.2%389 W · 402 L+28.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Under49c74.37$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.6930547.2%144 W · 161 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3f6…bab8backed Under55c72.73$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404856.3%27 W · 21 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Under50c65.42$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9345548.6%221 W · 234 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under54c65$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.12,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc730…c568backed Under54c64.81$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3566056.8%375 W · 285 L+34.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x859f…0f26backed Over68c58.82$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.825538.2%21 W · 34 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xecbb…a8c2backed Over46c58.48$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.587759.7%46 W · 31 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a57…ac32backed Over53c56.15$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.3914148.2%68 W · 73 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe50e…45c5backed Over68c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1632959.6%196 W · 133 L+21.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xca86…3342backed Over69c45.52$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.14966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+31.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd87…0ed7backed Over68c44.24$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.251866.7%12 W · 6 L+4.2wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+67.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5923…49cdbacked Over48c43.91$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.83757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick36cpaid+39.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe1ab…faadbacked Over46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4810465.4%68 W · 36 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bbf…49c1backed Under31c39$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2322452.7%118 W · 106 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaffc…cddcbacked Over53c34.04$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166937.7%26 W · 43 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x38e9…736dbacked Over46c32.11$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3429766.7%198 W · 99 L+14.0wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1a2…63d5backed Over53c32.08$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.087946.8%37 W · 42 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6b2…fba9backed Over66c30.29$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.442941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa7b0…6a57backed Over47c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cfd…dfe7backed Under36c29.77$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.621858.7%128 W · 90 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Under55c26.37$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.581,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed Under53c25.92$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7448055.2%265 W · 215 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd13c…98a7backed Under54c25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.53943.6%17 W · 22 L-8.9wins-0.23per pick66cpaid-37.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xae76…de9dbacked Over68c23.56$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.644654.3%25 W · 21 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+19.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa0d8…0a00backed Over68c23.51$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.522751.9%14 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+21.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Over53c22.22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.441,29353.6%693 W · 600 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cf9…dde4backed Over79c21.46$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.519055.6%50 W · 40 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.