Fifa International · resolved market
Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 5.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x516accf6246f7a598ce9a8bb2d65287daa97479555717ff104a213e293d605c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,372
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,603
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,372 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 43c | 801.39$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.22 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 41c | 749.56$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.32 | 465 | 50.3%234 W · 231 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 36c | 693.33$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.02 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c5…ac56backed Over | 67c | 658.78$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.36 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 35c | 572.52$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.73 | 695 | 34.8%242 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 41c | 519.32$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.33 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 60c | 513.65$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.47 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1a…ba1ebacked Over | 58c | 455.23$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.2 | 343 | 57.7%198 W · 145 L | +26.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 65c | 433.07$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.65 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd220…fc0bbacked Over | 58c | 431.03$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.03 | 104 | 32.7%34 W · 70 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 36c | 378.43$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.09 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 59c | 375.87$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.11 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…91a0backed Under | 40c | 334.01$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.98 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x912c…aa92backed Over | 60c | 331.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.8 | 73 | 74%54 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 58c | 329.14$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.24 | 362 | 50%181 W · 181 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4580…ad11backed Over | 68c | 328.97$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.49 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Over | 65c | 306.48$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.48 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 40c | 253.51$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ade…9951backed Over | 58c | 224.14$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.14 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d3…71cfbacked Over | 59c | 199.99$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 119 | 39.5%47 W · 72 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 224 | 66.1%148 W · 76 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9516…0bcbbacked Over | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 562 | 40.6%228 W · 334 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5668…eababacked Over | 66c | 166.67$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.67 | 121 | 43.8%53 W · 68 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 38c | 154$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.87 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x306d…d9c8backed Under | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 41c | 129.98$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.29 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe459…737dbacked Over | 60c | 125.11$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.04 | 254 | 45.3%115 W · 139 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed Under | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 96 | 22.9%22 W · 74 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ee…6917backed Over | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 133 | 65.4%87 W · 46 L | +13.8wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 34c | 50.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Over | 66c | 45.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 96 | 69.8%67 W · 29 L | +10.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under | 40c | 44.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 60c | 44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 218 | 40.8%89 W · 129 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce74…e6ecbacked Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…6163backed Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0297…e67fbacked Over | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 48 | 70.8%34 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…328cbacked Over | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdec4…046fbacked Over | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 345 | 26.1%90 W · 255 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dff…7fecbacked Over | 59c | 22.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 139 | 56.8%79 W · 60 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x284a…017ebacked Over | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -8.4wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 5.5 Cornersthis page
- Germany vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 6.5 CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 7.5 CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 10.5 Total CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 11.5 Total CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 12.5 Total CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 1.5 CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Take First CornerParaguay won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Total Corners Odd or Even?Even won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.