TailMyPicks
Menu
Market

Fifa International · resolved market

Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$858,436
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$901,121

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $858,436 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 688 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under44c116,344$51,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,175.694,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6754…e3bcbacked Over58c72,400$41,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,407.9615456.5%87 W · 67 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over47c60,712$28,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,301.2377152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Under53c57,010$30,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,126.6242345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6d1…286abacked Under52c57,000$29,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,79017447.1%82 W · 92 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf751…fec8backed Over49c50,980$24,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,999.89747.4%46 W · 51 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under53c42,023$22,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,335.164446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23d8…0288backed Under51c26,344$13,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,435.2217949.2%88 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over48c22,073$10,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,575.352,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7a4…e371backed Over47c20,118$9,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,662.344235.7%15 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over56c19,429$10,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,622.223,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe653…c4a7backed Over48c15,000$7,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,799.99451.1%48 W · 46 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over57c14,956$8,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,375.262,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Over48c12,162$5,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,324.2438734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over61c11,066$6,727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,338.981,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed Under52c10,864$5,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,649.511647.4%55 W · 61 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Under51c10,000$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,10038026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…a96fbacked Under51c10,000$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,099.964344.2%19 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe214…c5cebacked Over47c10,000$4,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,299.9322437.1%83 W · 141 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Under54c9,356$5,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,052.4851032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under17c8,849$1,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500.943737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf16e…43afbacked Under34c8,826$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000.389525.3%24 W · 71 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked Over48c8,500$4,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,444.958158%47 W · 34 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x24c7…77c4backed Under42c8,400$3,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5288931.5%28 W · 61 L-9.0wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-17.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x82ba…afeabacked Over49c8,190$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,190.3115337.3%57 W · 96 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Under52c8,147$4,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,218.0650243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under51c8,015$4,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,088.681,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x072f…ffddbacked Over48c7,500$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,9008450%42 W · 42 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Under52c7,078$3,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,650.7547643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Under52c6,764$3,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,497.0647144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Under51c6,590$3,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,388.421849.5%108 W · 110 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed Under52c6,436$3,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,330.6944144%194 W · 247 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Under52c6,000$3,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,09048441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over60c5,792$3,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,322.91,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8228…b2fbbacked Under52c5,769$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0008251.2%42 W · 40 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74b6…9823backed Under53c5,558$2,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,945.57754.5%42 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under53c5,283$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,799.9236250.8%184 W · 178 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under49c5,102$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50020262.4%126 W · 76 L-0.3wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9caf…94dcbacked Over49c5,102$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,602.049440.4%38 W · 56 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13b8…d1afbacked Over48c5,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,60012655.6%70 W · 56 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under52c5,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,60023949.4%118 W · 121 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Under52c4,800$2,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,479.9447442.8%203 W · 271 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x502e…5442backed Over49c4,082$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,081.6316746.7%78 W · 89 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x979f…4032backed Over49c4,000$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0402882.1%23 W · 5 L+6.5wins+0.23per pick59cpaid+46.5%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over60c3,891$2,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,557.22,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under51c3,844$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,960.447452.7%39 W · 35 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1509…3eb7backed Over49c3,448$1,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,758.665147.1%24 W · 27 L-5.0wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-20.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over49c3,298$1,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,666.448,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e3f…6deebacked Over47c3,191$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,691.083754.1%20 W · 17 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+44.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e3b…c850backed Over48c3,110$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,610.4730140.5%122 W · 179 L+1.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Under22c3,062$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.7222933.6%77 W · 152 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbec0…9bddbacked Over69c3,058$2,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961.6862633.9%212 W · 414 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Over74c3,017$2,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.7358926.8%158 W · 431 L-30.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-44.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Under51c3,000$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,53023255.2%128 W · 104 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over54c2,909$1,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,331.22,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over60c2,717$1,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,089.492,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c12…748fbacked Over75c2,707$2,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.8532422.5%73 W · 251 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick25cpaid+8.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x434a…1578backed Under39c2,625$1,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,018.3113035.4%46 W · 84 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under52c2,593$1,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,342.942,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf03…3f1dbacked Over47c2,479$1,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,313.822040%8 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x278f…ef30backed Under52c2,435$1,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,266.234250%21 W · 21 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd408…e85cbacked Under24c2,358$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56611149.5%55 W · 56 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbf3…70e3backed Under51c2,331$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.9713952.5%73 W · 66 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf531…121cbacked Over48c2,292$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,191.6717944.1%79 W · 100 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under53c2,260$1,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,197.7137850.5%191 W · 187 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Under52c2,242$1,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,165.989647.9%46 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d8a…4d5fbacked Over49c2,204$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,124.081050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under26c2,112$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.1258942.6%251 W · 338 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5dff…bdfdbacked Under48c2,051$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981.342860.7%17 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe00…e985backed Over49c2,041$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.8217950.3%90 W · 89 L+12.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+10.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x753d…2ce0backed Under18c2,019$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.234740.4%19 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+29.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under18c2,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36030626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5faf…1183backed Over47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0609823.5%23 W · 75 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-33.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Over71c1,999$1,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.0423857.6%137 W · 101 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over49c1,984$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.6289443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf29a…3122backed Under52c1,925$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00116637.3%62 W · 104 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56c8…7cc8backed Under42c1,900$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79812241%50 W · 72 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6e54…2ed4backed Under53c1,886$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.584447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over48c1,875$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9759845.9%45 W · 53 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x23f7…cb68backed Over49c1,807$881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925.915735.1%20 W · 37 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Over57c1,700$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72413447.8%64 W · 70 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d3d…0299backed Over44c1,690$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.74153.7%22 W · 19 L+5.2wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x476d…0c42backed Under59c1,674$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987.857346.6%34 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa487…9439backed Under53c1,610$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853.536640.9%27 W · 39 L-8.4wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-13.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Over47c1,595$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842.7895037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under53c1,558$826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825.8638351.4%197 W · 186 L-1.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Under21c1,527$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.7298134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d8…100dbacked Under53c1,509$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80032739.1%128 W · 199 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Over65c1,500$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52528526.3%75 W · 210 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Over47c1,500$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79533149.5%164 W · 167 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02af…aaa9backed Under53c1,498$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.9413448.5%65 W · 69 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8f7…b542backed Under42c1,448$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6082450%12 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over50c1,416$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.071,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5425…d3e8backed Under42c1,350$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56715127.8%42 W · 109 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-32.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Over43c1,340$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.426940.9%110 W · 159 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe025…102fbacked Under42c1,331$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.825846.6%27 W · 31 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c36…89ffbacked Over48c1,314$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.429017.6%51 W · 239 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc29…383bbacked Under18c1,300$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23424626%64 W · 182 L+1.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid+12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaaa0…e78abacked Over78c1,274$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.948950.6%45 W · 44 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Over65c1,263$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.3175335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.