TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Netherlands 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$108,264
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$155,880

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,264 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over40c38,233$15,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,939.7342345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under60c35,705$21,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,272.794,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under59c4,692$2,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,768.2437959.1%224 W · 155 L+20.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Over41c3,666$1,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,162.9422943.7%100 W · 129 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf4…ac20backed Under1c1,884$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4434533.6%116 W · 229 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under57c1,196$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.344,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x845b…5c2dbacked Over45c1,120$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.35735.1%20 W · 37 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under60c1,092$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.551,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under60c1,080$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.071,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75fc…0a4cbacked Over41c878.05$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.0512223%28 W · 94 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Over42c749.99$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.9931046.5%144 W · 166 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under57c674.02$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.8846550.3%234 W · 231 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over40c595.98$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.592,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27528337.1%105 W · 178 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under62c500$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31095739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa681…8b89backed Over42c499.98$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.9927028.9%78 W · 192 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under60c438$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.859752.1%311 W · 286 L-2.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Over48c407.5$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.955651.8%29 W · 27 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb54…8c93backed Over44c403.34$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.875545.5%25 W · 30 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-24.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Under54c400$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21645038.2%172 W · 278 L-28.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe85d…0d61backed Over46c400$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2162931%9 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Under58c349.98$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.9919545.6%89 W · 106 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over43c316.15$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.533,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under55c300$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.561,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under54c278.13$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.1986452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe512…43d1backed Over38c261.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.821833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over45c251.11$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.418,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Over42c250$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1455547.3%26 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9516…0bcbbacked Over42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.156240.6%228 W · 334 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under59c230.98$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.133,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under61c230.2$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.12,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under58c230.18$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.522,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a55…fd0dbacked Over47c214.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.857850%39 W · 39 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Over45c211.56$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3142640.1%171 W · 255 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7656…fd8fbacked Under55c209.09$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1152070%14 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe33d…c1febacked Over46c207.65$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.135238.5%20 W · 32 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x701e…6137backed Over43c199.97$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.494420.5%9 W · 35 L-5.4wins-0.12per pick33cpaid-37.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed Under56c176.32$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.744250%21 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under60c175$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10588852.7%468 W · 420 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecd9…ebc3backed Over45c172$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.8814638.4%56 W · 90 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+24.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked Under60c165.55$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.3342853.3%228 W · 200 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under58c164.93$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.23,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3900…fb4ebacked Over42c157.14$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.1423729.5%70 W · 167 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e2d…fb60backed Over44c140$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.411846.6%55 W · 63 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5514…2f61backed Over46c135.43$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.132347.8%11 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb059…c72ebacked Over40c125.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.381050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8156…d978backed Over41c121.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.9516442.1%69 W · 95 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f71…9b87backed Over46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.73540%14 W · 21 L-3.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9916…54dcbacked Over47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3810028%28 W · 72 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe70c…17c5backed Under59c104.49$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.6533438.6%129 W · 205 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8fd4…9cf7backed Over44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5615727.4%43 W · 114 L-8.0wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-25.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff9d…3a97backed Over41c97.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.5611136.9%41 W · 70 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under60c89.92$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.951,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under57c75.85$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.952,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x703e…9828backed Over45c75.33$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.432045%9 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb09a…d6a8backed Over44c75$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429168.1%62 W · 29 L+17.8wins+0.20per pick49cpaid+42.8%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xd19e…2fc9backed Over45c66.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.671050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over38c66.2$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.0532855.8%183 W · 145 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83ca…5168backed Over46c65.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.229148.4%44 W · 47 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8255…cba9backed Under60c61.33$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.818453.8%99 W · 85 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe62c…97e1backed Over44c56.82$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8210138.6%39 W · 62 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f79…69cabacked Under57c52.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302045%9 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Over43c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.53652.8%19 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9238…b73ebacked Over44c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289450%47 W · 47 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under57c49.12$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2831149.5%154 W · 157 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x848c…2bf0backed Over46c45.3$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4622122.2%49 W · 172 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7b6…eb0dbacked Over46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.482958.6%17 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xde41…58bdbacked Under54c43.48$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.487047.1%33 W · 37 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over43c40.62$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.343,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c34…266dbacked Over42c40$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3325655.1%141 W · 115 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8278…ad93backed Over45c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2226344.5%117 W · 146 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe8b…5e62backed Over45c39.78$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.787142.3%30 W · 41 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c29…87edbacked Over46c39.13$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.135040%20 W · 30 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e39…fe16backed Over41c36.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.598429.8%25 W · 59 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe762…064bbacked Over44c35.58$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.925550.9%28 W · 27 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b6e…1647backed Over45c35.16$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.343342.4%14 W · 19 L-4.8wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-27.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9892…fd59backed Under57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2046243.5%201 W · 261 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe368…e9edbacked Over46c34$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3624935.3%88 W · 161 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5308…3221backed Under60c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1833059.1%195 W · 135 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under57c28.37$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.22,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f08…cbe8backed Over40c27.5$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.54143.9%18 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6be…f675backed Over41c25.73$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.182147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd78e…6421backed Under60c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1216157.8%93 W · 68 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.