Spread: Netherlands (-3.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1c20951d3e2748c9a4a653d829495f557e6e101319714d6afea4d80eeee3880

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Tunisiaof Netherlands, Tunisia
Resolved: Jun 25, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $790,359
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $775,389

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $790,359 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 385 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Tunisia	64c	256,146$164,801 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91,344.49	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Netherlands	34c	154,892$53,029 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53,028.97	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Netherlands	29c	77,823$22,576 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22,576.29	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Tunisia	73c	41,353$30,188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,165.33	41	61%25 W · 16 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Netherlands	44c	37,163$16,453 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,453.37	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Netherlands	27c	32,874$8,847 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,846.65	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Netherlands	31c	30,028$9,166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,165.52	263	20.5%54 W · 209 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Tunisia	70c	28,021$19,701 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,320.04	510	32.5%166 W · 344 L	-9.1wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Tunisia	69c	16,895$11,714 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,180.53	771	52.8%407 W · 364 L	+17.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc41d…74fdbacked Netherlands	26c	15,600$4,056 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,055.99	141	39%55 W · 86 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf93c…7ab3backed Netherlands	26c	15,167$4,006 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,006.28	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+1.4wins	+0.28per pick	32cpaid	+285.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc6e…fa6fbacked Netherlands	26c	15,015$3,904 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,903.99	32	40.6%13 W · 19 L	-2.0wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb72b…989abacked Netherlands	59c	15,005$8,903 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,903.12	104	56.7%59 W · 45 L	+6.8wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Tunisia	71c	14,600$10,296 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,304	1,536	49.1%754 W · 782 L	+32.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Tunisia	71c	11,569$8,186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,383.72	1,262	47.5%600 W · 662 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Tunisia	66c	11,136$7,345 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,791.4	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5faf…1183backed Netherlands	29c	10,000$2,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,900	98	23.5%23 W · 75 L	-5.0wins	-0.05per pick	29cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Netherlands	28c	10,000$2,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,800	380	26.6%101 W · 279 L	-10.0wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Tunisia	42c	8,888$3,755 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,133.6	190	38.9%74 W · 116 L	-5.6wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30e1…8be4backed Netherlands	29c	8,092$2,347 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,346.59	42	33.3%14 W · 28 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0520…e4e0backed Netherlands	33c	7,638$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	253	36.8%93 W · 160 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Tunisia	70c	7,500$5,235 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,265	476	43.3%206 W · 270 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Tunisia	51c	7,173$3,668 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,504.96	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Tunisia	70c	7,063$4,970 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,092.9	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Tunisia	70c	6,500$4,550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,950	864	52.7%455 W · 409 L	+26.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8709…7d3dbacked Netherlands	30c	6,468$1,916 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,916.35	148	52.7%78 W · 70 L	+10.7wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x13d0…593dbacked Netherlands	31c	6,454$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	123	29.3%36 W · 87 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Tunisia	61c	6,391$3,869 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,522.06	534	48.5%259 W · 275 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Tunisia	72c	6,276$4,520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,755.83	258	48.4%125 W · 133 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Tunisia	69c	6,000$4,170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,830	484	41.9%203 W · 281 L	-16.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Tunisia	71c	6,000$4,260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,740	162	58.6%95 W · 67 L	+9.5wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe214…c5cebacked Netherlands	29c	6,000$1,740 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,739.96	224	37.1%83 W · 141 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Netherlands	30c	5,765$1,739 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,739.43	229	43.7%100 W · 129 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Tunisia	72c	5,451$3,926 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,524.84	847	51%432 W · 415 L	+10.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Tunisia	72c	5,155$3,729 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,426.07	1,390	46.3%644 W · 746 L	+20.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Netherlands	29c	5,051$1,484 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,483.88	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Netherlands	2c	4,999$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.49	413	31%128 W · 285 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Tunisia	70c	4,713$3,301 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,411.33	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Netherlands	30c	4,540$1,384 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,384.33	1,044	43.7%456 W · 588 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Netherlands	42c	4,223$1,774 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,773.5	536	29.9%160 W · 376 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Tunisia	70c	4,206$2,944 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,261.99	1,873	48.4%906 W · 967 L	+14.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Tunisia	70c	4,000$2,790 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,209.99	502	43.4%218 W · 284 L	-9.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe512…43d1backed Netherlands	26c	3,846$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Tunisia	70c	3,500$2,445 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,055	471	44.8%211 W · 260 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde45…8597backed Netherlands	30c	3,333$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	95	38.9%37 W · 58 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Netherlands	29c	3,000$870 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$869.99	223	42.6%95 W · 128 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+53.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Tunisia	55c	3,000$1,650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,349.99	188	37.2%70 W · 118 L	-6.6wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Netherlands	28c	2,803$782 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$781.95	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Netherlands	56c	2,747$1,544 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,543.68	1,438	40.1%576 W · 862 L	-40.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Netherlands	56c	2,734$1,544 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,544.29	872	37.8%330 W · 542 L	-39.9wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed Tunisia	70c	2,719$1,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$818.96	441	44%194 W · 247 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Tunisia	68c	2,377$1,616 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$761.14	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Tunisia	70c	2,222$1,555 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$666.6	318	51.9%165 W · 153 L	+16.3wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e39…77f3backed Tunisia	46c	2,174$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,173.91	84	31%26 W · 58 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc645…e8bbbacked Netherlands	33c	2,109$696 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$695.97	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb1f…6a93backed Netherlands	29c	2,000$580 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$580	38	42.1%16 W · 22 L	+5.7wins	+0.15per pick	27cpaid	+44.9%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Tunisia	70c	2,000$1,392 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$608	474	42.8%203 W · 271 L	-14.1wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7516…8bebbacked Tunisia	67c	2,000$1,340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$659.99	116	57.8%67 W · 49 L	+6.1wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Netherlands	41c	1,868$771 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$771.23	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Tunisia	70c	1,773$1,241 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$531.79	378	50.5%191 W · 187 L	-7.5wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Tunisia	71c	1,756$1,246 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$509.11	702	44.6%313 W · 389 L	+13.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb40…94afbacked Netherlands	33c	1,732$577 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$577	23	17.4%4 W · 19 L	-2.4wins	-0.11per pick	28cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa4c…7bfdbacked Netherlands	29c	1,724$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	144	28.5%41 W · 103 L	+6.4wins	+0.04per pick	24cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7e8…7953backed Netherlands	29c	1,724$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	301	42.5%128 W · 173 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Netherlands	40c	1,576$630 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$630.4	94	50%47 W · 47 L	+4.6wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x41a8…ff67backed Netherlands	29c	1,570$455 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$455.18	74	48.6%36 W · 38 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0823…ec6abacked Netherlands	26c	1,505$391 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$391.31	431	39%168 W · 263 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Tunisia	71c	1,408$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$408.45	674	47.6%321 W · 353 L	+7.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Tunisia	74c	1,390$1,029 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$360.88	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x75f0…2b66backed Tunisia	41c	1,383$565 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$817.38	290	30.7%89 W · 201 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd760…f7f5backed Netherlands	29c	1,379$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	102	34.3%35 W · 67 L	+5.2wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Tunisia	75c	1,322$997 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$324.81	668	46.7%312 W · 356 L	+45.9wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf055…02b5backed Netherlands	32c	1,251$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	266	44%117 W · 149 L	+9.8wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e98…1583backed Netherlands	33c	1,212$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	83	49.4%41 W · 42 L	+6.0wins	+0.07per pick	42cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Netherlands	59c	1,209$713 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$712.5	1,252	39.2%491 W · 761 L	+6.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x9d3a…d724backed Netherlands	30c	1,167$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	212	27.8%59 W · 153 L	+8.6wins	+0.04per pick	24cpaid	+37.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Tunisia	46c	1,160$534 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$626.59	617	50.6%312 W · 305 L	+4.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Tunisia	49c	1,119$548 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$570.56	437	37.8%165 W · 272 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Tunisia	73c	1,097$804 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$293	1,313	48.9%642 W · 671 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd08…04fabacked Netherlands	27c	1,093$295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$295	58	20.7%12 W · 46 L	-5.0wins	-0.09per pick	29cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Netherlands	29c	1,075$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310.16	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x860d…2cd9backed Netherlands	55c	1,073$590 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$590	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-2.5wins	-0.63per pick	63cpaid	-100%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed Netherlands	30c	1,033$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310	137	36.5%50 W · 87 L	+9.6wins	+0.07per pick	29cpaid	+17%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Netherlands	29c	1,000$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290	170	30%51 W · 119 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Tunisia	70c	1,000$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300	309	50.8%157 W · 152 L	-10.6wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xabf3…4807backed Netherlands	4c	1,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	34	38.2%13 W · 21 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fb2…f24cbacked Netherlands	47c	1,000$467 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$467.18	58	32.8%19 W · 39 L	+3.1wins	+0.05per pick	27cpaid	-10%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Tunisia	55c	999.99$550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$450	285	26.3%75 W · 210 L	-8.7wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Tunisia	73c	995.01$725 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$269.82	1,945	42.7%831 W · 1,114 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x942c…9746backed Netherlands	30c	975.2$293 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$292.56	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Tunisia	73c	949.89$692 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$258.2	2,411	53%1,278 W · 1,133 L	+75.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67a5…3516backed Netherlands	58c	861.8$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.85	224	41.5%93 W · 131 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Tunisia	70c	857.14$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$257.14	150	48%72 W · 78 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98b8…4ab2backed Netherlands	57c	839.91$481 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480.78	101	33.7%34 W · 67 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8985…f540backed Netherlands	60c	836.67$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	70	42.9%30 W · 40 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Netherlands	60c	833.33$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	93	58.1%54 W · 39 L	+7.6wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+16%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf763…a0aabacked Tunisia	46c	807.94$369 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$439.25	187	65.2%122 W · 65 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	63cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Tunisia	50c	800$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$400	659	48.6%320 W · 339 L	-4.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Tunisia	70c	800$560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$240	370	51.4%190 W · 180 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5829…5a3abacked Tunisia	65c	770.86$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$270.86	151	41.1%62 W · 89 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Netherlands (-3.5)this page
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)Netherlands won
Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)Tunisia won
Spread: Netherlands (-4.5)Tunisia won
Spread: Netherlands (-5.5)Tunisia won
Spread: Tunisia (-1.5)Netherlands won
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Netherlands 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Netherlands 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Netherlands 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Netherlands 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Netherlands O/U 0.5Over won
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Netherlands O/U 1.5Over won
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Netherlands O/U 2.5Over won
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 0.5Over won
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 1.5Over won
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 2.5Over won
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 3.5Over won
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 4.5Under won
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 5.5Under won
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 6.5Under won
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 7.5Under won
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 8.5Under won
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Tunisia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Tunisia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Tunisia O/U 0.5Over won
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Tunisia O/U 1.5Under won
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Tunisia O/U 2.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Netherlands (-3.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event