TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Tunisia vs. Netherlands: 2nd Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,444
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,314

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,444 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under23c462.85$107 inLost-$106.742,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b6e…1647backed Over57c359.42$205 inWon+$154.83342.4%14 W · 19 L-4.8wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-27.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x71f5…1aecbacked Under43c254.71$109 inLost-$108.831637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over57c189.42$108 inWon+$81.453,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under32c178.32$57 inLost-$57.362,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under36c96.03$35 inLost-$34.782,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1994…f824backed Over76c67.29$51 inWon+$16.282138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Under29c63$18 inLost-$18.271,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8149…f490backed Over59c50.58$30 inWon+$20.581060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over59c49.06$29 inWon+$19.958,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over71c38$27 inWon+$11.021,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad6e…0713backed Over60c37.95$23 inWon+$15.18333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under41c35$14 inLost-$14.352,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Under40c34.72$14 inLost-$13.8919545.6%89 W · 106 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Under41c32.68$13 inLost-$13.4587837.2%327 W · 551 L-41.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa05c…a57bbacked Over59c25.42$15 inWon+$10.423650%18 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38c7…5a76backed Over65c22.97$15 inWon+$7.976068.3%41 W · 19 L+5.9wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+15.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2e61…19bdbacked Over57c21.39$12 inWon+$9.215149.7%75 W · 76 L+13.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+10.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Over57c21.13$12 inWon+$9.021,15158.5%673 W · 478 L+0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce74…e6ecbacked Over71c21.13$15 inWon+$6.1328055%154 W · 126 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.