TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$814,354
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$817,805

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $814,354 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 466 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under64c129,136$83,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,073.624,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over30c59,200$17,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,490.2349441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over43c33,960$14,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,440.953,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Over37c32,749$11,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,997.3624533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Over33c31,144$10,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,321.8664446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over11c26,851$3,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,030.673,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf81…6e25backed Under44c22,463$9,878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,585.8728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over57c20,154$11,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,496.721,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf16e…43afbacked Under30c17,371$5,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,078.569525.3%24 W · 71 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Under40c16,156$6,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,765.7842345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7992…1fc1backed Under50c15,069$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,569.011435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-32.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over47c10,999$5,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,169.6511042.7%47 W · 63 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under50c10,941$5,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,496.872,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Under77c10,331$7,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,349.1831545.4%143 W · 172 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Under40c10,205$4,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,072.7166846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd1da…27bdbacked Under41c9,643$3,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,691.574472.7%32 W · 12 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over60c7,310$4,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,419.9774752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Over25c7,254$1,795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,795.2442541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under52c7,093$3,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,404.6837650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6219…aa6fbacked Under72c6,944$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,944.4410057%57 W · 43 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over40c5,834$2,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,308.742,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under54c5,743$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,642.7320262.4%126 W · 76 L-0.3wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under63c5,644$3,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,069.541,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0189…5861backed Over63c5,100$3,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,21317636.4%64 W · 112 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x753d…2ce0backed Under27c4,965$1,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,629.94740.4%19 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+29.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Over63c4,765$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00036539.7%145 W · 220 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under71c4,531$3,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,313.871,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x426d…6885backed Over29c4,505$1,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,306.347844.9%35 W · 43 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-11.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Over41c4,250$1,742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,742.522943.7%100 W · 129 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9689…df62backed Over14c4,141$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.8823427.8%65 W · 169 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+42.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over27c4,085$1,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,102.871,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe214…c5cebacked Over27c4,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08022437.1%83 W · 141 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over33c3,938$1,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,297.564,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over31c3,829$1,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,198.731,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over45c3,719$1,679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,679.022,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under45c3,692$1,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,025.3543737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Over46c3,151$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,439.744539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d74…a37fbacked Under69c3,087$2,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963.8120839.4%82 W · 126 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+33%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e49…d3d8backed Over64c3,055$1,953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,952.9340%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc41e…e2e9backed Over1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30362.8%1 W · 35 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick1cpaid+177.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Over36c2,761$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.8841331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e6…9b21backed Over34c2,730$921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921.4225339.5%100 W · 153 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2f3…37f9backed Over42c2,640$1,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,114.615543.6%24 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over29c2,275$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.751,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under64c2,196$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795.5465948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf4…ac20backed Over35c2,155$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.8234533.6%116 W · 229 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Over71c2,091$1,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,477.7323857.6%137 W · 101 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x15e9…26bebacked Over50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008052.5%42 W · 38 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x02c6…b27bbacked Under53c1,907$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$898.8119649.5%97 W · 99 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under44c1,789$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,010.228,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1016…b09bbacked Over57c1,754$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00024341.2%100 W · 143 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6fa…aeecbacked Over38c1,718$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.884027.5%11 W · 29 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-40.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x33d3…bf38backed Over46c1,710$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786.64254.8%23 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+22.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under71c1,620$1,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.892,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over27c1,570$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.0643826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Over34c1,518$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.3536234%123 W · 239 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9cb…5f9fbacked Over60c1,500$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900944.4%4 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.24per pick69cpaid-36.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x10bd…270bbacked Under65c1,500$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5259036.7%33 W · 57 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e9b…a0ecbacked Over69c1,449$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003754.1%20 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-21.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4f6f…d024backed Under71c1,381$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.477433.1%256 W · 518 L-0.9wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x293b…7a58backed Under32c1,378$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$938.14637%17 W · 29 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+39.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under55c1,354$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.781,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over40c1,335$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.5651250.4%258 W · 254 L+31.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+16.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x69a5…14afbacked Over44c1,195$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Under33c1,180$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.8323440.2%94 W · 140 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over43c1,174$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.242,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under43c1,136$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.5733740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Over69c1,096$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753.0125942.1%109 W · 150 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00fd…32a0backed Over36c1,081$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.197236.1%26 W · 46 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+152%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over44c1,070$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.1783153.3%443 W · 388 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under43c1,066$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.331,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd753…6053backed Over29c1,034$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30030219.9%60 W · 242 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb126…f338backed Over29c1,026$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.488630.2%26 W · 60 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52030626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Under72c999.99$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28032254%174 W · 148 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under61c999.07$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.412,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under71c991.72$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.3614564.1%93 W · 52 L+10.1wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Under47c981.06$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.7587237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe72e…c780backed Under42c952.38$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.3814539.3%57 W · 88 L+0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaaa0…e78abacked Over72c944.42$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.778950.6%45 W · 44 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63f3…ebc0backed Over53c943.4$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50026424.6%65 W · 199 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Under55c937.49$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.421,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x145a…5e86backed Over65c923.94$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.9921641.7%90 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba57…1e84backed Over68c918.58$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.227560%45 W · 30 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3baf…7d44backed Over33c903.52$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.1827032.2%87 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe270…eab5backed Under46c870$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.924136.9%89 W · 152 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb964…033ebacked Over45c867.23$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.2217442%73 W · 101 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under71c866.02$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.821,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefa7…b25bbacked Over29c865.52$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2514341.9%18 W · 25 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x96ef…b406backed Under62c856$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.283464.7%22 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x191e…dd9ebacked Over40c828.15$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.88831.8%28 W · 60 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ede…4284backed Under44c810$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.618738%71 W · 116 L+0.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over43c794.42$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.1485550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Over35c789.28$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.0125125.1%63 W · 188 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb414…e95fbacked Over29c755.17$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219728.6%2 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid+36.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under71c704.19$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.2267447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under71c704$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.162,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5782…766bbacked Over71c690$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.9250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under38c656.5$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.9558942.6%251 W · 338 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x490f…a02dbacked Over29c655.17$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19025737%95 W · 162 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+34.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.