Fifa International · resolved market
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79fef33caa6e757f599ec31992ef1af9761dcf82526e84f9ef59636f3a231f26
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $105,366
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $108,125
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,366 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 8c | 14,163$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.25 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 8c | 10,134$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.05 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Over | 7c | 3,150$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.56 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 4c | 2,602$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.07 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 11c | 2,338$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.97 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked Over | 16c | 2,006$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.4 | 668 | 46.7%312 W · 356 L | +45.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 7c | 1,452$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.61 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf36e…f91cbacked Over | 19c | 1,100$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.4 | 154 | 18.8%29 W · 125 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 4c | 764.03$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.41 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x221d…7207backed Over | 7c | 755.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…44bebacked Over | 7c | 712.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…d3d8backed Over | 21c | 700$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…2240backed Over | 7c | 582.83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.13 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…528ebacked Over | 11c | 545.01$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7544…ea2dbacked Over | 20c | 508$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 116 | 34.5%40 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Over | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91d8…9e8dbacked Over | 8c | 455.83$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x786d…b89bbacked Over | 7c | 430.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 522 | 17.4%91 W · 431 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d5…87cfbacked Over | 11c | 419$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 372 | 37.4%139 W · 233 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd384…61b9backed Over | 21c | 403.68$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.37 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6b…3e58backed Over | 8c | 380.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 109 | 11%12 W · 97 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…4aa9backed Over | 6c | 365.34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x517b…be02backed Over | 6c | 355.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d91…96debacked Over | 7c | 288.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe059…daaebacked Over | 7c | 286.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 117 | 20.5%24 W · 93 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19a5…40abbacked Over | 21c | 229.81$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.8 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd58a…5448backed Over | 7c | 215.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 25cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 23c | 215.13$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.05 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b48…1d20backed Over | 6c | 210$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06be…8a46backed Over | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 99 | 19.2%19 W · 80 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a58…b808backed Over | 12c | 199.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 228 | 35.5%81 W · 147 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7a…751abacked Over | 7c | 168.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 732 | 34.6%253 W · 479 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Over | 12c | 163.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 594 | 53.4%317 W · 277 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb147…beedbacked Under | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 263 | 43%113 W · 150 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…eea7backed Over | 22c | 90.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…03f9backed Over | 26c | 77.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 191 | 52.4%100 W · 91 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…ea5abacked Over | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked Over | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…acb7backed Over | 21c | 47.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9915…eae1backed Under | 80c | 37.59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 76c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 589 | 42.6%251 W · 338 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 6.5this page
- Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)Netherlands won
- Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)Tunisia won
- Spread: Netherlands (-3.5)Tunisia won
- Spread: Netherlands (-4.5)Tunisia won
- Spread: Netherlands (-5.5)Tunisia won
- Spread: Tunisia (-1.5)Netherlands won
- Tunisia vs. Netherlands: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Tunisia vs. Netherlands: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Tunisia vs. Netherlands: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Tunisia vs. Netherlands: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Tunisia vs. Netherlands: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Tunisia vs. Netherlands: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Netherlands 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Netherlands 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Netherlands 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Netherlands 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Netherlands O/U 0.5Over won
- Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Netherlands O/U 1.5Over won
- Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Netherlands O/U 2.5Over won
- Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 0.5Over won
- Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 1.5Over won
- Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 2.5Over won
- Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 3.5Over won
- Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 4.5Under won
- Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 5.5Under won
- Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 7.5Under won
- Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 8.5Under won
- Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Tunisia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Tunisia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Tunisia O/U 0.5Over won
- Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Tunisia O/U 1.5Under won
- Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Tunisia O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.