TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Tunisia vs. Netherlands: 2nd Half O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,810
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,547

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,810 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Under70c1,942$1,359 inWon+$582.518,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over32c578$184 inLost-$183.732,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over35c406.08$142 inLost-$142.131,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x71f5…1aecbacked Under68c361.86$246 inWon+$115.81637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7d8…a577backed Over35c350$123 inLost-$122.512753.5%68 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x153a…af29backed Over30c333.77$100 inLost-$100.139862.2%61 W · 37 L+20.5wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+56.8%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x03c9…d8c1backed Over30c333.77$100 inLost-$100.1313158.8%77 W · 54 L+26.4wins+0.20per pick39cpaid+82.8%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x09b0…a3b6backed Over30c333.77$100 inLost-$100.1314260.6%86 W · 56 L+25.7wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+49.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over30c224.23$67 inLost-$67.271,11449.4%550 W · 564 L+57.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over30c132.01$40 inLost-$39.61,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa05c…a57bbacked Over32c125$40 inLost-$403650%18 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over32c91.57$29 inLost-$29.33,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over31c81.46$25 inLost-$25.252,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over71c79.77$57 inLost-$56.642,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked Over30c70.84$21 inLost-$21.2537747.7%180 W · 197 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x189e…5aaebacked Over35c49.8$18 inLost-$17.6241551.8%215 W · 200 L+21.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over48c45.22$22 inLost-$21.561,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over44c36.26$16 inLost-$15.862,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa23f…7f29backed Over38c33$13 inLost-$12.5915745.9%72 W · 85 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over38c26.38$10 inLost-$10.062,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under67c16.21$11 inWon+$5.352,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.