TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Netherlands (-5.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Tunisiaof Netherlands, Tunisia
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$19,635
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$18,156

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,635 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf93f…f94bbacked Netherlands8c4,440$350 inLost-$35025019.6%49 W · 201 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-38.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Netherlands7c1,941$136 inLost-$135.878,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Netherlands5c1,603$85 inLost-$84.582,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7e8…7953backed Netherlands22c1,366$300 inLost-$30030142.5%128 W · 173 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Netherlands10c1,299$135 inLost-$135.051,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Netherlands7c699.96$50 inLost-$49.747127.8%131 W · 340 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb69d…7678backed Netherlands9c561.8$50 inLost-$5012138.8%47 W · 74 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick31cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Netherlands7c499.98$34 inLost-$34.528337.1%105 W · 178 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb172…7862backed Netherlands13c400$50 inLost-$5027837.8%105 W · 173 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9c…913bbacked Netherlands8c345.95$29 inLost-$28.957412.2%9 W · 65 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Tunisia78c257.29$202 inWon+$55.752,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2c0…b876backed Netherlands8c238.1$20 inLost-$2010532.4%34 W · 71 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0b…5720backed Netherlands15c220$33 inLost-$32.9522052.3%115 W · 105 L+0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Netherlands6c210$13 inLost-$12.618028.3%51 W · 129 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x92a6…2678backed Netherlands27c110.75$30 inLost-$301353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72bd…d37abacked Netherlands10c106.1$11 inLost-$1118139.2%71 W · 110 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cdd…58c2backed Netherlands19c69.23$13 inLost-$13.51816.7%3 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-56.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.