TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$730,892
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$809,431

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $730,892 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 460 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under1c157,645$1,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,532.1841331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23d8…0288backed Under31c75,000$23,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,249.9717949.2%88 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Under30c70,486$21,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,443.5133538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under31c65,554$20,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,425.24,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over69c64,381$44,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,958.1277152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over70c41,761$29,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,611.731,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over69c27,221$18,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,374.032,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over76c12,948$9,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,107.722,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Under1c10,083$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.525125.1%63 W · 188 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under30c10,028$3,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,008.2870244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Under30c10,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,999.9538026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f14…29d1backed Under3c9,101$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.9715929.6%47 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick30cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over68c8,603$5,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,753.041,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Over70c8,193$5,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,457.9751032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09dd…7e13backed Over69c8,100$5,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,51137944.1%167 W · 212 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc289…ab37backed Over70c7,143$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,142.8616947.3%80 W · 89 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9786…4c55backed Over70c7,143$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,142.869549.5%47 W · 48 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked Over70c6,900$4,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0708158%47 W · 34 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over70c6,309$4,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,893.148,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0108…0d26backed Over70c5,000$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5002045%9 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Over68c5,000$3,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,599.9924144.8%108 W · 133 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61d3…fd3bbacked Over70c5,000$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,499.983348.5%16 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3bf…762dbacked Over69c4,840$3,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,500.43056.7%17 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Under30c4,750$1,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,424.9450243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under31c4,729$1,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,454.331,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under30c4,718$1,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,438.52,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over69c4,715$3,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,460.881,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under4c4,244$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.6430626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over68c4,237$2,881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,355.731,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Under10c3,930$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.2998134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under30c3,906$1,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,168.562,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed Under39c3,817$1,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,488.5414342.7%61 W · 82 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbace…3429backed Over66c3,800$2,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,279.994944.9%22 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Under30c3,756$1,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,114.1848441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e1c…b3abbacked Over70c3,374$2,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,012.0627520.4%56 W · 219 L+1.2wins0.00per pick20cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23b0…13a3backed Under32c3,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.9715128.5%43 W · 108 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7997…5e4bbacked Over69c2,788$1,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.2822452.2%117 W · 107 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Under5c2,500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12026534%90 W · 175 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2220…1a0fbacked Under4c2,500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019218.8%36 W · 156 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd51…1041backed Over70c2,329$1,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.1911963.9%76 W · 43 L+8.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe270…eab5backed Under15c2,151$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.0624136.9%89 W · 152 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Over70c2,009$1,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.729351.6%48 W · 45 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under14c1,640$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.7243737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over70c1,627$1,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.0533544.5%149 W · 186 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e2…1327backed Under31c1,613$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004820.8%10 W · 38 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-31.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under31c1,613$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50067447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Over70c1,530$1,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45938734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfe6…6049backed Under3c1,471$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011316.8%19 W · 94 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4c1…6b32backed Over69c1,449$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.2820448.5%99 W · 105 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x23fa…140bbacked Over69c1,449$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.2816750.3%84 W · 83 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb500…1cdebacked Over71c1,408$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.4517453.4%93 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Over69c1,400$966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43433149.5%164 W · 167 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under31c1,378$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.953,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over69c1,300$897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4031,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Over70c1,286$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.711,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf4…ac20backed Under2c1,286$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9834533.6%116 W · 229 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfbf3…70e3backed Under30c1,207$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.0113952.5%73 W · 66 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Under30c1,200$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.9947442.8%203 W · 271 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed Under30c1,200$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.9944144%194 W · 247 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Under17c1,100$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.6923440.2%94 W · 140 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under5c1,100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5544130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under44c1,093$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.8936250%181 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4a8…5604backed Over69c1,029$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.994637%17 W · 29 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629b…995abacked Under30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c3…ebfabacked Under4c994.25$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.81428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick25cpaid-25.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2536…5d91backed Under31c967.74$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002619.2%5 W · 21 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick29cpaid-30.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d3d…0299backed Over67c949.91$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.474153.7%22 W · 19 L+5.2wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbec0…9bddbacked Under26c930.52$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.5962633.9%212 W · 414 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb91…a3f4backed Over69c869.57$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.577839.7%31 W · 47 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under7c867.62$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.552,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under31c864.09$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.831,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x186a…559dbacked Over59c841.07$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.0714659.6%87 W · 59 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Under30c809.31$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.7947144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under31c757.34$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.941,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under31c742.89$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.321,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa084…7cabbacked Over70c740$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2228552.9%45 W · 40 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x830b…32fdbacked Over70c731.42$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.4323747.3%112 W · 125 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c6…6562backed Over70c719.6$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.882100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick67cpaid+50.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9df3…ddfcbacked Over70c714.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.2922851.8%118 W · 110 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb87…8326backed Over71c704.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.236668.2%45 W · 21 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+20.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xac25…147abacked Over71c704.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.2318043.9%79 W · 101 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9315…afc1backed Over69c670.96$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2086272.6%45 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed Under31c651.68$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.3852744.4%234 W · 293 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bd3…88f5backed Under31c645.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009028.9%26 W · 64 L-10.0wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under6c629.02$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.521722.1%48 W · 169 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba57…1e84backed Over70c628.57$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.577560%45 W · 30 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Under5c609.68$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6466846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under35c607.3$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.761,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Under30c600$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18045038.2%172 W · 278 L-28.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7e52…287bbacked Over71c598.37$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.5310741.1%44 W · 63 L-6.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-27.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x89e6…5501backed Under13c581.99$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.8223036.1%83 W · 147 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6ff…005dbacked Over69c579.71$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.716245.2%28 W · 34 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x36a3…5b2dbacked Over70c571.43$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.4310657.5%61 W · 45 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2c0…a68dbacked Over70c571.43$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.436648.5%32 W · 34 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0194…e3c5backed Over69c550.72$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.7210942.2%46 W · 63 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under43c550.06$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.531,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under31c548.39$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1705538.2%21 W · 34 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x62bc…5053backed Over58c537.51$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.1320149.3%99 W · 102 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under31c510.43$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.083,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under41c500$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20595739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.