MLB · resolved market
Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd3b433df2055e2838437c6f4719c96dcd089b388f5709fcf03bacb4cf131fd4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,326
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,273
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,326 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Under | 53c | 12,953$6,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,083.77 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x861a…1f15backed Over | 45c | 8,701$3,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,915.32 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Under | 55c | 4,379$2,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,970.33 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 49c | 3,902$1,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,911.9 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 53c | 3,869$2,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,826.12 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.99 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 55c | 2,919$1,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,313.55 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6447…8075backed Over | 47c | 2,914$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369.74 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 48c | 2,865$1,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,361.56 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…f61ebacked Over | 47c | 2,129$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.52 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 51c | 2,000$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.31 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 45c | 1,792$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.21 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Over | 48c | 1,513$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.17 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 47c | 1,446$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.67 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Over | 42c | 1,375$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.82 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 67c | 1,311$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.98 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 44c | 1,129$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.22 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Over | 47c | 1,097$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.37 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3237…5658backed Over | 47c | 1,031$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.54 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Under | 53c | 1,010$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.47 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…bc54backed Over | 48c | 1,009$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.4 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80f8…5dedbacked Over | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 52c | 980.22$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.44 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 52c | 934.29$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.46 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 53c | 824.58$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.63 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 48c | 784.4$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.45 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 42c | 738.67$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.03 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Over | 45c | 738.19$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.18 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x055a…12ddbacked Over | 45c | 721.05$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.35 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 53c | 699.99$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.99 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 76c | 639.6$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.87 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 54c | 630.26$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.92 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Over | 47c | 617.74$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.47 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 55c | 600.94$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.98 | 1,722 | 50.3%867 W · 855 L | +55.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Over | 49c | 593.51$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.82 | 407 | 53.6%218 W · 189 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 41c | 585.73$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.95 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 47c | 569.65$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.29 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 55c | 542.38$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.07 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 23c | 476.9$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.69 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 57c | 459.1$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.6 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 56c | 430.53$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.97 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 46c | 423$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.58 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 53c | 397.2$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.33 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2567…2371backed Under | 52c | 376.63$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.78 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 46c | 354.9$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.98 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 80c | 333.07$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.86 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Over | 47c | 330.7$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.43 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b55…1167backed Under | 66c | 301.27$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.73 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 54c | 266.8$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.91 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 240.12$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.2 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Over | 45c | 231.61$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.45 | 515 | 55%283 W · 232 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 38c | 217.59$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.14 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb549…c2b6backed Over | 46c | 210.35$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.76 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 59c | 204.44$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.83 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Under | 57c | 201.27$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.55 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Over | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.94 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1332…2b23backed Over | 49c | 196.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.97 | 114 | 31.6%36 W · 78 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Over | 50c | 193.99$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.8 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17af…2a45backed Under | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.83 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…2504backed Under | 55c | 175.12$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.81 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198c…6a94backed Under | 55c | 175.12$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.81 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 55c | 160.55$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.25 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Over | 48c | 158.52$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.09 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…dac5backed Under | 59c | 155.97$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.19 | 60 | 70%42 W · 18 L | +8.6wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 53c | 150$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.25 | 272 | 48.5%132 W · 140 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 56c | 149.23$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.76 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Over | 49c | 148.38$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.71 | 486 | 51%248 W · 238 L | -18.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e4…4a19backed Under | 64c | 144.61$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.26 | 66 | 84.8%56 W · 10 L | +15.1wins | +0.23per pick | 62cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xfc46…a54bbacked Under | 63c | 116.4$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.07 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Under | 53c | 115$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.05 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Under | 46c | 113.7$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.05 | 422 | 41%173 W · 249 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Over | 46c | 113.59$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.25 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…96cbbacked Under | 55c | 110.17$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.58 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3464…8112backed Under | 55c | 110.17$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.58 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Under | 51c | 108.03$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.93 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1582…1396backed Over | 47c | 104.28$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Over | 23c | 103.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 184 | 44%81 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d99…7daabacked Under | 55c | 103.35$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +122.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0514…def7backed Over | 45c | 101$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.45 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Under | 62c | 99.28$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.13 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 47c | 96.82$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.51 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Over | 45c | 96.7$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.52 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 56c | 92.03$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.33 | 752 | 44%331 W · 421 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 64c | 91.2$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.05 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5d…adc4backed Under | 54c | 89.46$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.15 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 62c | 84$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 499 | 42.9%214 W · 285 L | -31.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 51c | 80.59$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.49 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00ea…4013backed Over | 49c | 79.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.77 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 64c | 76.32$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.47 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Under | 54c | 71.67$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.97 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed Under | 60c | 66.66$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -7.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x362d…0c58backed Over | 44c | 62.58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.39 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 20c | 61.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Over | 32c | 59.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 546 | 51.3%280 W · 266 L | +29.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Under | 57c | 57.93$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.9 | 273 | 54.6%149 W · 124 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 54c | 55.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc4…7ae7backed Under | 64c | 54.61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.47 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c8…d506backed Over | 32c | 53.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5this page
- Atlanta Braves vs. Washington NationalsAtlanta Braves won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-4.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. Washington NationalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.