MLB · resolved market
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x418f8c093ae191c0d6556ac3820f067d108ad2eb70e36ad94f884ea43e1ed0a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atlanta Bravesof Atlanta Braves, Washington Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,182
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,357
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,182 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 24,811$10,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,888.79 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a6…c8d3backed Washington Nationals | 56c | 23,853$13,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,357.79 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Washington Nationals | 56c | 9,981$5,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,593.57 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 9,375$4,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,249.74 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb416…4588backed Atlanta Braves | 32c | 2,999$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,039.31 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Washington Nationals | 68c | 2,209$1,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,501.89 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 2,196$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.6 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Washington Nationals | 56c | 1,821$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.55 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Atlanta Braves | 38c | 1,381$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.46 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Washington Nationals | 64c | 1,210$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.41 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Washington Nationals | 63c | 1,063$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.58 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c93…8967backed Washington Nationals | 56c | 1,010$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.6 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Washington Nationals | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…bb62backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 915.74$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.46 | 165 | 43%71 W · 94 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Atlanta Braves | 44c | 657.6$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.18 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Washington Nationals | 67c | 626.16$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.53 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfddc…931abacked Washington Nationals | 55c | 540.02$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.01 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Atlanta Braves | 36c | 531.07$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.43 | 140 | 34.3%48 W · 92 L | -13.7wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Washington Nationals | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 455$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.25 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Washington Nationals | 56c | 432.98$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.43 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 420.16$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.48 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Washington Nationals | 63c | 258.14$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.66 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Atlanta Braves | 44c | 245.32$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.38 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 216.64$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.96 | 569 | 46.9%267 W · 302 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Washington Nationals | 56c | 215.89$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.9 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Atlanta Braves | 45c | 214.89$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.19 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2513…91fbbacked Atlanta Braves | 46c | 214.81$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x672f…d638backed Washington Nationals | 54c | 209.68$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.23 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 206.58$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.56 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Atlanta Braves | 48c | 160.67$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.85 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Washington Nationals | 57c | 158.83$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.85 | 515 | 55%283 W · 232 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc766…1533backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 153.75$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.1 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Atlanta Braves | 46c | 147.24$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.51 | 664 | 48.2%320 W · 344 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Atlanta Braves | 78c | 142.43$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5db…b42dbacked Washington Nationals | 70c | 139.92$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.21 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 68cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Washington Nationals | 74c | 137.03$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.21 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 125.1$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.06 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Washington Nationals | 55c | 122.59$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.43 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 113$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.28 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Washington Nationals | 56c | 109.3$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.84 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…7fafbacked Atlanta Braves | 45c | 107.44$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.09 | 478 | 49%234 W · 244 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c1…be67backed Washington Nationals | 70c | 107.18$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.06 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Atlanta Braves | 38c | 102.62$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.02 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45dd…7b56backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fd…b476backed Atlanta Braves | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Atlanta Braves | 65c | 87.56$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.47 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Washington Nationals | 56c | 86.93$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d43…86e7backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 83.03$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.67 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Washington Nationals | 19c | 80.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Atlanta Braves | 43c | 79.33$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.35 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Washington Nationals | 57c | 71.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Washington Nationals | 71c | 71.31$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.56 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 67.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.23 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc45a…5a3ebacked Atlanta Braves | 44c | 65.89$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 85 | 42.4%36 W · 49 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed Washington Nationals | 64c | 59.79$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.35 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -7.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Washington Nationals | 66c | 59.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.51 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…bea0backed Washington Nationals | 62c | 58.56$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.31 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x362d…0c58backed Washington Nationals | 57c | 55.61$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.83 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked Atlanta Braves | 44c | 54.89$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.74 | 197 | 52.3%103 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5a…59b9backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 54.16$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.33 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe67…dd7ebacked Atlanta Braves | 45c | 53.72$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Washington Nationals | 67c | 50.25$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.86 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5495…fc8cbacked Washington Nationals | 59c | 49.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Washington Nationals | 56c | 49.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.63 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Atlanta Braves | 48c | 48.79$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.37 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…c9a8backed Washington Nationals | 63c | 47.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.71 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 42.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 465 | 57.2%266 W · 199 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2e…d2abbacked Atlanta Braves | 45c | 42.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2068…d19bbacked Washington Nationals | 56c | 42.79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Washington Nationals | 69c | 39.64$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Washington Nationals | 68c | 39.48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Washington Nationals | 68c | 39.48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0764…41d1backed Washington Nationals | 68c | 39.23$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9487backed Atlanta Braves | 39c | 39.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.05 | 270 | 53.7%145 W · 125 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c59…7052backed Washington Nationals | 64c | 36.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.26 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Atlanta Braves | 38c | 35.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…f4a0backed Washington Nationals | 56c | 34.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Atlanta Braves | 37c | 34.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.82 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Atlanta Braves | 71c | 33.85$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 422 | 41%173 W · 249 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Washington Nationals | 54c | 33.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 186 | 48.4%90 W · 96 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 32.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 443 | 47.9%212 W · 231 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Washington Nationals | 56c | 32.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Atlanta Braves | 46c | 32.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 104 | 49%51 W · 53 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32eb…f531backed Washington Nationals | 71c | 29.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 28.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 153 | 51.6%79 W · 74 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d19…a694backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 27.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 107 | 35.5%38 W · 69 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Washington Nationals | 67c | 26.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee6…f017backed Washington Nationals | 57c | 25.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Washington Nationals | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.7wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…8568backed Washington Nationals | 63c | 23.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Washington Nationals | 55c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6123…8b33backed Washington Nationals | 67c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Washington Nationals | 69c | 15.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 667 | 49.3%329 W · 338 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Atlanta Braves | 69c | 15.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95e7…0e98backed Washington Nationals | 73c | 14.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)this page
- Atlanta Braves vs. Washington NationalsAtlanta Braves won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-4.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. Washington NationalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.