TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5c59…7052

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
59
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
0

Best Category: NBA, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 62 out of 100; worst Weather at 51.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT3354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankeesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.25
Detroit Tigers vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.66
Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+89.2%+$12.91
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.69
Seattle Mariners vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+76.8%+$20.97
Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.65
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.35
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.95
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$9.87
Chicago White Sox vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.63
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.26
Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.9
San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+82%+$11.87
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)backed Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+63.2%+$7.34
Minnesota Twins vs. New York Mets: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.3
Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.15
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+58.4%+$8.2
Cincinnati Reds vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$3.96
Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+123.6%+$15.29
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.06
Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+46.4%+$13.36
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlinsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+80.4%+$13.97
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+63.8%+$9.26
Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+218.2%+$40.67
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+76.5%+$11.07
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT2373.9%17 W · 6 L+5.4wins+0.23per pick51cpaid+67.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
NBA — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 211.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+172%+$25.54
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+89.3%+$10.61
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.04
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+123.2%+$12.92
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+57%+$7.4
Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+132.3%+$13.37
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$3.17
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+51.1%+$6.99
Spread: Thunder (-19.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.11
Spread: Thunder (-17.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.35
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+82.6%+$14.2
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+30%+$3.52
Spread: Pistons (-9.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+94.7%+$10.92
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+80.8%+$11.76
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+155.5%+$26.71
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+680.4%+$96.05
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+52.7%+$10.72
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+168.5%+$52.13
Spread: Celtics (-13.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+70.4%+$10.19
Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.54
Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.47
Spread: Nuggets (-12.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.82
Spread: Hornets (-2.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$10.97
All 23 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+112.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win on 2026-03-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$25.29
Spread: England (-1.5)backed Uruguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$5.53
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+39.6%+$4.66
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.