TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,207
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$64,152

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,207 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1b4d…e246backed Over48c13,589$6,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,093.995862.1%36 W · 22 L+7.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+24.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Under52c12,000$6,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,24028350.9%144 W · 139 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6498…8910backed Under65c5,975$3,864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,864.3151756.5%292 W · 225 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over48c3,346$1,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,728.656,12355.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L+346.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x55d8…b384backed Under51c2,980$1,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,519.7757744.7%258 W · 319 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3df…82fabacked Under50c1,499$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.2148850.2%245 W · 243 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Over49c1,454$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741.592,37547.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over61c1,057$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.611,19429%346 W · 848 L-0.9wins0.00per pick29cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over35c1,022$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6641,72850.4%871 W · 857 L+57.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over35c999.44$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.644,40544.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L+80.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e4a…eee7backed Under51c980.38$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9930844.2%136 W · 172 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xacbe…85d4backed Over49c969.4$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.3922849.1%112 W · 116 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over49c902$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.665,47150.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L+21.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Over41c577.9$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.066,30548.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L+181.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Over48c529.91$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.5565749.2%323 W · 334 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over49c449.8$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.492554.1%500 W · 425 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under37c440$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.792,54645.9%1,168 W · 1,378 L-74.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under41c408.8$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.62,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under40c330.97$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.391,04150.1%522 W · 519 L+17.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Over40c300$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.416132.3%52 W · 109 L-10.9wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-24.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f0…b3f1backed Over54c300$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ac4…a601backed Over49c296.76$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.355341.5%22 W · 31 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under52c273.65$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.26,99950.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under52c245.08$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.291,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Under52c232.95$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.141,35850.8%690 W · 668 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Over48c209.98$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.191,44550%723 W · 722 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Over49c207.73$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.9444348.5%215 W · 228 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Under39c197.19$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.3755847.7%266 W · 292 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under36c178.64$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.1867742.2%286 W · 391 L-36.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8811…627cbacked Over62c175.82$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.5155464.1%355 W · 199 L+63.1wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+19.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Under53c170.07$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.1378550.2%394 W · 391 L+2.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Over35c153.76$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.9448343.3%209 W · 274 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Over35c150.29$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.6951555%283 W · 232 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Under62c140.74$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.2582551.6%426 W · 399 L+3.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over49c135.57$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.141,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under52c130.03$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.382,40748.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L-62.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Under51c119.61$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618360.2%50 W · 33 L+8.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over58c116.42$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.661,13357.2%648 W · 485 L+35.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over35c109.77$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.351,84343.6%804 W · 1,039 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x938e…9b66backed Over49c108.81$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.4948150.7%244 W · 237 L-19.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over60c105.65$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.262,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Over48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5221748.4%105 W · 112 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under55c95.41$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.241,26947.4%602 W · 667 L-31.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cb7…d613backed Under44c95.1$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.852152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under40c92.91$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.029,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c69…e671backed Over63c84.77$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.375865.5%38 W · 20 L+6.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Over58c84.03$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.296434.4%22 W · 42 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over35c83.6$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.524,08757.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L+66.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under41c83.54$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4766749.3%329 W · 338 L-22.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Over48c75$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391,75350.8%890 W · 863 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c76…2632backed Under42c73.4$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4824554.7%134 W · 111 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30a5…ae72backed Under40c72.6$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.331942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under51c71.43$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.431,35549.8%675 W · 680 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa21b…9e94backed Over49c69.24$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.3148651%248 W · 238 L-18.0wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed Over48c62.99$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7649649.8%247 W · 249 L+11.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under51c57$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.071,43550%717 W · 718 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7048…282dbacked Under52c56.03$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.141546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Under52c56.03$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1470455%387 W · 317 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8702…6304backed Under52c56.03$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.141442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Under45c52.39$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.825,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Over49c52.35$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.763454.3%344 W · 290 L+24.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1df6…cba0backed Under61c50$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.51,44550.3%727 W · 718 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Under45c48.81$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2229047.6%138 W · 152 L-11.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd2d…d7f8backed Under52c48.49$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.223234.4%11 W · 21 L-5.8wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-31.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x66ec…5891backed Over48c48.44$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.199043.3%39 W · 51 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x959b…64edbacked Under53c45.84$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.33253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9825…9ffcbacked Over43c45.36$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0518444%81 W · 103 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked Over60c44.89$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.171,14948.9%562 W · 587 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8911…5ffabacked Over46c42.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2c8…d506backed Over49c39.57$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.185442.6%23 W · 31 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a0c…3d4dbacked Over49c39.57$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1817450.6%88 W · 86 L-9.0wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa20d…eadebacked Over49c39.57$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1820446.6%95 W · 109 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9752…57a9backed Over48c38.32$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.932254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fe5…7936backed Under52c37.35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4219248.4%93 W · 99 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over57c34.08$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.542,58861.5%1,591 W · 997 L+72.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b45…db25backed Under42c30.66$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.731631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.18per pick50cpaid-49.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under52c30.1$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6525249.6%125 W · 127 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Over60c29.65$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7638352.2%200 W · 183 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36aa…a683backed Under51c28.55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5644347.9%212 W · 231 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ee6…f017backed Under52c27.9$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.515442.6%23 W · 31 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-16.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0bbd…98f2backed Over49c24.24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3618751.3%96 W · 91 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c59…7052backed Over61c23.77$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.263354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed Over53c21.49$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.13461.8%21 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Over65c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753261.8%329 W · 203 L+20.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x33eb…b07ebacked Under53c19.44$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.34148.8%20 W · 21 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdded…13a2backed Over60c16.98$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.8620258.4%118 W · 84 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.