MLB · resolved market
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2fff37782c4a96fbb31f8f95f49d347e78565d569beec5ee299c051370e20cf7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Milwaukee Brewersof Milwaukee Brewers, Detroit Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,563
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,508
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,563 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Detroit Tigers | 48c | 5,883$2,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,844.99 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 5,830$3,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,814.45 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Detroit Tigers | 50c | 1,580$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.55 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Milwaukee Brewers | 54c | 659.5$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.22 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 465.62$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.07 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 48c | 410$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.2 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Milwaukee Brewers | 49c | 410$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.1 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 40c | 318.08$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.27 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Detroit Tigers | 51c | 279.58$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.26 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Detroit Tigers | 42c | 259.61$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.65 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Milwaukee Brewers | 36c | 185.01$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.4 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3129…22edbacked Detroit Tigers | 57c | 170.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.42 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 48c | 134$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.2 | 558 | 47.7%266 W · 292 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 48c | 126$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.16 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45dd…7b56backed Milwaukee Brewers | 37c | 124.83$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.64 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Detroit Tigers | 64c | 122.3$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.27 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Detroit Tigers | 46c | 105.17$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Detroit Tigers | 37c | 93.87$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.53 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Detroit Tigers | 63c | 76.38$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.98 | 515 | 55%283 W · 232 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Detroit Tigers | 64c | 74.87$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.92 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Detroit Tigers | 18c | 72.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 64c | 70.37$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.31 | 238 | 54.2%129 W · 109 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed Detroit Tigers | 64c | 64$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.96 | 478 | 48.5%232 W · 246 L | -15.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 36c | 61.7$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.49 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Detroit Tigers | 39c | 60.02$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.34 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Detroit Tigers | 64c | 58.92$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.61 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Detroit Tigers | 37c | 53.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 667 | 49.3%329 W · 338 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Detroit Tigers | 47c | 51.61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 47c | 50.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.81 | 477 | 43%205 W · 272 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Milwaukee Brewers | 36c | 49.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Detroit Tigers | 53c | 49.12$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.03 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Detroit Tigers | 47c | 46.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 383 | 52.2%200 W · 183 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8702…6304backed Detroit Tigers | 65c | 45.18$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Milwaukee Brewers | 36c | 43.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.99 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Detroit Tigers | 35c | 41.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 161 | 32.3%52 W · 109 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Milwaukee Brewers | 70c | 41.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 221 | 54.3%120 W · 101 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5a…59b9backed Milwaukee Brewers | 37c | 39.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.58 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Detroit Tigers | 64c | 38.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.46 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf596…4b79backed Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 35.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…1e89backed Milwaukee Brewers | 46c | 31.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…ee77backed Detroit Tigers | 64c | 30.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 330 | 51.8%171 W · 159 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e3…ff82backed Milwaukee Brewers | 38c | 28.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.05 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ace…3afdbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 69c | 24.54$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Milwaukee Brewers | 66c | 23.87$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 304 | 54.3%165 W · 139 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Detroit Tigers | 64c | 22.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 443 | 47.9%212 W · 231 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Detroit Tigers | 64c | 21.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 899 | 50.6%455 W · 444 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Detroit Tigers | 64c | 21.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 316 | 50.6%160 W · 156 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x362d…0c58backed Detroit Tigers | 64c | 19.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb7…d613backed Milwaukee Brewers | 65c | 18.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Milwaukee Brewers | 67c | 16.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)this page
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Detroit TigersMilwaukee Brewers won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 13.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Detroit TigersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.