MLB · resolved market
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x071fbbd137407359b06bfff558fc39aaf4d42842bc09f63e6435d6e939e3aa31
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Yankeesof New York Yankees, Boston Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,355
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,282
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,355 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed New York Yankees | 50c | 4,305$2,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,145.77 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed New York Yankees | 69c | 4,168$2,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,284.39 | 250 | 66.4%166 W · 84 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 2,268$1,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.38 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…bb62backed New York Yankees | 45c | 2,149$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,181.89 | 165 | 43%71 W · 94 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.99 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked New York Yankees | 47c | 1,892$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.47 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Boston Red Sox | 31c | 1,545$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.41 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 1,424$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.31 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked New York Yankees | 39c | 1,421$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.25 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Boston Red Sox | 53c | 1,395$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.71 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 1,389$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.32 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 1,207$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.73 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 1,191$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.06 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed New York Yankees | 46c | 1,060$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.37 | 293 | 44.7%131 W · 162 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed New York Yankees | 46c | 1,052$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.94 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed New York Yankees | 46c | 967.6$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.5 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Boston Red Sox | 55c | 892.09$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.65 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Boston Red Sox | 59c | 844.05$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.34 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked New York Yankees | 73c | 823.37$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.57 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 720.36$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.2 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed New York Yankees | 41c | 689.01$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.27 | 140 | 34.3%48 W · 92 L | -13.7wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 649.51$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.79 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 583.9$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.15 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Boston Red Sox | 55c | 523.99$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.77 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed New York Yankees | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2513…91fbbacked New York Yankees | 45c | 483.5$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.93 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Boston Red Sox | 53c | 460.79$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.99 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Boston Red Sox | 16c | 459.74$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.32 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed New York Yankees | 45c | 429.78$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.38 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Boston Red Sox | 56c | 417.18$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.58 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 389.66$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.87 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Boston Red Sox | 30c | 376.23$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.89 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 352.44$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.82 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Boston Red Sox | 58c | 345.93$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.64 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked New York Yankees | 56c | 305.31$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.96 | 119 | 42.9%51 W · 68 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Boston Red Sox | 58c | 302.42$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.03 | 667 | 49.3%329 W · 338 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d14…ff3ebacked New York Yankees | 46c | 273.45$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.66 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 239.93$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.67 | 515 | 55%283 W · 232 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c7…5cecbacked New York Yankees | 45c | 214.89$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.19 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed New York Yankees | 45c | 214.89$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.19 | 569 | 46.9%267 W · 302 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc45a…5a3ebacked New York Yankees | 45c | 214.89$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.19 | 85 | 42.4%36 W · 49 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed New York Yankees | 45c | 196.26$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.94 | 302 | 42.4%128 W · 174 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Boston Red Sox | 55c | 187.95$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.37 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Boston Red Sox | 53c | 173.01$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.09 | 477 | 43%205 W · 272 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked New York Yankees | 36c | 168.45$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.48 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Boston Red Sox | 62c | 158.2$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.71 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Boston Red Sox | 30c | 152.48$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed New York Yankees | 48c | 148.73$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.34 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked New York Yankees | 34c | 135.13$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.67 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Boston Red Sox | 41c | 133.13$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.01 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 132.35$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.79 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 131.75$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.92 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 129.96$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.86 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked New York Yankees | 40c | 120.5$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.3 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed New York Yankees | 40c | 120.5$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.3 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…f067backed New York Yankees | 45c | 118.97$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…7fafbacked New York Yankees | 45c | 107.44$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.09 | 478 | 49%234 W · 244 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc766…1533backed New York Yankees | 45c | 106.46$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.09 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa928…bbaabacked New York Yankees | 45c | 106.37$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce1…2f49backed Boston Red Sox | 67c | 97.33$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.14 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Boston Red Sox | 64c | 93.84$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.11 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked New York Yankees | 41c | 92.3$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.47 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c12…b8f3backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 86.93$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 85.76$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.33 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed New York Yankees | 55c | 85.17$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…f5f4backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 80.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.91 | 247 | 48.2%119 W · 128 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44e4…f624backed New York Yankees | 46c | 80.31$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.37 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed New York Yankees | 45c | 78.97$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.43 | 664 | 48.2%320 W · 344 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 70.69$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.26 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 66.84$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.65 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2e…d2abbacked New York Yankees | 45c | 64.13$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.11 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed New York Yankees | 40c | 62.63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.58 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…b9ddbacked New York Yankees | 40c | 60.25$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.15 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed New York Yankees | 40c | 60.25$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.15 | 217 | 46.5%101 W · 116 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x362d…0c58backed Boston Red Sox | 59c | 56.37$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.09 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacff…3872backed New York Yankees | 43c | 56.15$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.01 | 183 | 44.8%82 W · 101 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab4…5c9cbacked New York Yankees | 79c | 55.05$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 84 | 84.5%71 W · 13 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 76cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed New York Yankees | 55c | 54.01$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5a…59b9backed New York Yankees | 45c | 53.72$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed New York Yankees | 47c | 53.11$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.15 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a5…ae72backed New York Yankees | 36c | 51.04$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.78 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9487backed Boston Red Sox | 49c | 50.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.09 | 270 | 53.7%145 W · 125 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed New York Yankees | 45c | 49.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed New York Yankees | 46c | 48.38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.13 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed New York Yankees | 67c | 47.71$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 383 | 52.2%200 W · 183 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb39b…14c9backed New York Yankees | 41c | 47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.73 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c8…d506backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 44.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Boston Red Sox | 55c | 44.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 184 | 44%81 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 43.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 225 | 54.7%123 W · 102 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb743…c116backed Boston Red Sox | 68c | 42.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.43 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb69b…9ce7backed New York Yankees | 45c | 42.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed New York Yankees | 45c | 42.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 465 | 57.2%266 W · 199 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0138…8451backed New York Yankees | 45c | 42.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d19…a694backed New York Yankees | 25c | 42.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 107 | 35.5%38 W · 69 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed New York Yankees | 45c | 41.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.66 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -10.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 40.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Boston Red Sox | 31c | 39.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Boston Red Sox | 56c | 35.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e53…922dbacked Boston Red Sox | 55c | 35.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 32.93$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 202 | 58.4%118 W · 84 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)this page
- New York Yankees vs. Boston Red SoxNew York Yankees won
- New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 5.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 6.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Boston Red SoxNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.