MLB · resolved market
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a5c98e43ffc276a6b77d3dd8b593fb7994cd8191cc595957a036f86993641f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,105
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,394
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,105 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Over | 25c | 10,005$2,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,501.73 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 74c | 9,322$6,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,380.7 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 58c | 8,233$4,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,450.34 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 30c | 4,969$1,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,467.73 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 52c | 4,483$2,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,145.36 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Over | 49c | 2,591$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.76 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 40c | 2,250$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.88 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 45c | 1,839$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.89 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Over | 42c | 1,582$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.07 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 43c | 1,462$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.66 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 31c | 1,400$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.9 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 47c | 1,363$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.41 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Over | 47c | 987.6$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.71 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…abdfbacked Over | 41c | 964.6$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.49 | 86 | 24.4%21 W · 65 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Over | 51c | 953.22$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.65 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 25c | 617.72$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.26 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 23c | 608.2$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.42 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Over | 51c | 571.08$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.18 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Under | 76c | 549.75$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.95 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Over | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 210 | 52.9%111 W · 99 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 49c | 491.8$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.82 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 60c | 481.14$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.3 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 27c | 396.63$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.09 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 52c | 381.89$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.31 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 45c | 356.44$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.4 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 49c | 340.95$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.88 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 75c | 322.71$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.42 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 51c | 296.88$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.63 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 42c | 286.22$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.51 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 51c | 273.34$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.94 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69cc…2e44backed Under | 74c | 265.73$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.87 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 27c | 232.02$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.65 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 40c | 224.15$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.66 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 220.02$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.05 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 43c | 217.18$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.3 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 49c | 215.41$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.55 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 11c | 207.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…bb1dbacked Under | 50c | 194$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 53c | 179.78$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.5 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe203…1b53backed Over | 22c | 173.31$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.13 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfddc…931abacked Under | 50c | 164.69$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.34 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Over | 35c | 152$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22f9…f814backed Over | 46c | 151.51$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.69 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 28c | 140.35$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 11c | 133$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 499 | 42.9%214 W · 285 L | -31.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb743…c116backed Under | 75c | 132.46$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe77…c8e7backed Over | 45c | 118.19$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.19 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d3…aafbbacked Over | 40c | 110.59$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Over | 12c | 106.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 477 | 43%205 W · 272 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 64c | 103.77$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.36 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Under | 50c | 99.26$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.63 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ff…ec82backed Under | 60c | 97.6$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.04 | 215 | 54.9%118 W · 97 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f7…f325backed Under | 60c | 89.13$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.65 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Over | 45c | 85.53$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.49 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd738…eeeebacked Under | 70c | 84.37$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed Under | 76c | 83.63$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 202 | 58.4%118 W · 84 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 65c | 82.63$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.94 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Under | 62c | 78.83$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.88 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1852…76ccbacked Under | 56c | 78.24$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.42 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +10.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 65c | 75.66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.72 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x688c…2482backed Under | 66c | 74.21$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Over | 45c | 72.91$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.81 | 200 | 44.5%89 W · 111 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85a9…30bcbacked Over | 41c | 69.64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…c9a8backed Under | 66c | 67.71$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 45c | 64.58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Over | 51c | 62.71$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9752…57a9backed Over | 46c | 62.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 66c | 60.13$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 21c | 58.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 40c | 55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Under | 53c | 51.54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 292 | 55.8%163 W · 129 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Under | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…5a75backed Under | 60c | 48.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 304 | 46.4%141 W · 163 L | -25.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 59c | 48.51$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 667 | 49.3%329 W · 338 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 64c | 45.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed Under | 65c | 44.44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -7.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 67c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Over | 27c | 43.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 47c | 39.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe503…6d7bbacked Over | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +5.2wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 67c | 38.67$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…e91cbacked Under | 65c | 37.65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…8568backed Under | 66c | 34.07$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 30c | 33.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under | 50c | 32.64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked Over | 42c | 31.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…b9ddbacked Over | 51c | 31.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce1…2f49backed Under | 77c | 29.27$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Over | 42c | 28.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 1,057 | 50.2%531 W · 526 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…f5f4backed Under | 49c | 26.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 247 | 48.2%119 W · 128 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe991…7421backed Over | 39c | 26.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…98f2backed Over | 45c | 26.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Under | 74c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 191 | 57.6%110 W · 81 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Under | 60c | 24.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 443 | 47.9%212 W · 231 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ad…5a42backed Under | 60c | 24.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3711…7339backed Under | 67c | 23.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 50c | 22.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5this page
- New York Yankees vs. Boston Red SoxNew York Yankees won
- New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 5.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 6.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Boston Red SoxNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.