TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$54,105
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$55,394

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,105 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7430…3af2backed Over25c10,005$2,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,501.7320748.8%101 W · 106 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under74c9,322$6,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,380.76,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under58c8,233$4,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,450.341,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over30c4,969$1,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,467.732,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under52c4,483$2,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,145.3692054%497 W · 423 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x55d8…b384backed Over49c2,591$1,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,266.7657744.7%258 W · 319 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over40c2,250$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.8873748.4%357 W · 380 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over45c1,839$821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820.895,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3df…82fabacked Over42c1,582$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.0748850.2%245 W · 243 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over43c1,462$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.661,29250.2%648 W · 644 L+18.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over31c1,400$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.99,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over47c1,363$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.412,40748.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L-62.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Over47c987.6$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.713551.4%18 W · 17 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3449…abdfbacked Over41c964.6$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.498624.4%21 W · 65 L-7.7wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-23.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5e4a…eee7backed Over51c953.22$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.6530844.2%136 W · 172 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over25c617.72$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.265,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over23c608.2$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.4212,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x992b…5053backed Over51c571.08$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.1822753.3%121 W · 106 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Under76c549.75$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.953461.8%21 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dad…4855backed Over44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22021052.9%111 W · 99 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under49c491.8$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.821,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Under60c481.14$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.35,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over27c396.63$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.092,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Under52c381.89$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.311,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over45c356.44$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.41,28449.5%635 W · 649 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under49c340.95$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.886,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under75c322.71$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.4213461.9%83 W · 51 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over39c300$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11716135.4%57 W · 104 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Under51c296.88$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.636,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over42c286.22$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.511,05347.3%498 W · 555 L-14.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under51c273.34$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.9440341.4%167 W · 236 L-20.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x69cc…2e44backed Under74c265.73$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.872867.9%19 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over27c232.02$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.6545246.2%209 W · 243 L-18.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over40c224.15$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.6699624.6%245 W · 751 L-70.1wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-24.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over50c220.02$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.051,35549.8%675 W · 680 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over43c217.18$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.32,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under49c215.41$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.551,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Over11c207.57$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8667742.2%286 W · 391 L-36.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf5f2…bb1dbacked Under50c194$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$972347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Under53c179.78$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.511256.3%63 W · 49 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe203…1b53backed Over22c173.31$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.134136.6%15 W · 26 L-5.4wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-36.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfddc…931abacked Under50c164.69$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.342259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Over35c152$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.253261.8%329 W · 203 L+20.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x22f9…f814backed Over46c151.51$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.691050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over28c140.35$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.382551.6%426 W · 399 L+3.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Over11c133$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6349942.9%214 W · 285 L-31.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb743…c116backed Under75c132.46$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.284864.6%31 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe77…c8e7backed Over45c118.19$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.191764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+21.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa2d3…aafbbacked Over40c110.59$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.17044.3%31 W · 39 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Over12c106.3$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5347743%205 W · 272 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under64c103.77$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.361,91253%1,014 W · 898 L+42.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Over40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4021748.4%105 W · 112 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed Under50c99.26$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.6349649.8%247 W · 249 L+11.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3ff…ec82backed Under60c97.6$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.0421554.9%118 W · 97 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3f7…f325backed Under60c89.13$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.656264.5%40 W · 22 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb0b…62cdbacked Over45c85.53$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4979543%342 W · 453 L-3.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd738…eeeebacked Under70c84.37$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4510850.9%55 W · 53 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdded…13a2backed Under76c83.63$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8420258.4%118 W · 84 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under65c82.63$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9441847.6%199 W · 219 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed Under62c78.83$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8815858.2%92 W · 66 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1852…76ccbacked Under56c78.24$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.4210262.7%64 W · 38 L+10.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under65c75.66$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.7252449%257 W · 267 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x688c…2482backed Under66c74.21$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.232100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Over45c72.91$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.8120044.5%89 W · 111 L-8.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x85a9…30bcbacked Over41c69.64$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.55366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+17%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3092…c9a8backed Under66c67.71$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.087556%42 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Over45c64.58$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0623248.7%113 W · 119 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd80…5ef4backed Over51c62.71$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9812750.4%64 W · 63 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9752…57a9backed Over46c62.27$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.642254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under66c60.13$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.441,34547.7%642 W · 703 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over21c58.38$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.261,84343.6%804 W · 1,039 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over40c55$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1950…1bf4backed Under53c51.54$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.2329255.8%163 W · 129 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5f5…bb11backed Under55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.555953.1%297 W · 262 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0448…5a75backed Under60c48.8$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5230446.4%141 W · 163 L-25.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under59c48.51$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7566749.3%329 W · 338 L-22.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under64c45.97$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3894648.9%463 W · 483 L+4.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3322…7dc2backed Under65c44.44$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.517635.5%27 W · 49 L-7.9wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-29.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under67c44.12$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.41,72350.3%867 W · 856 L+55.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Over27c43.02$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.476434.4%22 W · 42 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over47c39.5$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.442,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe503…6d7bbacked Over50c38.8$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.42272.7%16 W · 6 L+5.2wins+0.24per pick49cpaid+45.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under67c38.67$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.733,20851.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L+146.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x961a…e91cbacked Under65c37.65$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.186956.5%39 W · 30 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa3b…8568backed Under66c34.07$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.583868.4%26 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over30c33.56$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.211,26947.4%602 W · 667 L-31.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Under50c32.64$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3490446.9%424 W · 480 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x29b0…3f3cbacked Over42c31.79$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3519248.4%93 W · 99 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6687…b9ddbacked Over51c31.34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.998752.9%46 W · 41 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over38c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.461948.6%301 W · 318 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ce1…2f49backed Under77c29.27$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.84136.6%15 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Over42c28.84$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.111,05750.2%531 W · 526 L+23.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6683…f5f4backed Under49c26.89$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7124748.2%119 W · 128 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe991…7421backed Over39c26.88$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bbd…98f2backed Over45c26.11$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7518751.3%96 W · 91 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f28…d173backed Under74c26$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.7619157.6%110 W · 81 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36aa…a683backed Under60c24.4$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7644347.9%212 W · 231 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5ad…5a42backed Under60c24.4$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.764153.7%22 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3711…7339backed Under67c23.51$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.762748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Under50c22.96$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.481,49845.3%678 W · 820 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.