MLB · resolved market
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac2c206235e6f6d1fa9ee56a35e68d0e0d014d79bd37dce7bed7ac7ce5b751c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miami Marlinsof St. Louis Cardinals, Miami Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $274,838
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $267,984
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $274,838 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 292 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Miami Marlins | 55c | 29,279$16,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,068.57 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbba9…f183backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 13,569$5,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,645.64 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 12,328$5,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,671.03 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Miami Marlins | 56c | 11,832$6,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,206.15 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed St. Louis Cardinals | 16c | 11,005$1,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,735.85 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 10,892$4,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,606.8 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 9,463$4,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,781.26 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Miami Marlins | 54c | 7,964$4,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,634.85 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 7,780$3,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,438.84 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 7,514$4,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,433.08 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 7,054$3,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,539.31 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 6,310$2,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,902.8 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 5,085$2,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,318.31 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed St. Louis Cardinals | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…fe85backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 4,868$2,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,141.92 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 3,706$1,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,667.71 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 3,529$1,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,684.53 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 25c | 3,492$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.66 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 3,263$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.77 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 29c | 3,124$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.12 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 3,059$1,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,406.95 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 3,003$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.89 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc689…5250backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Miami Marlins | 60c | 2,684$1,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.16 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Miami Marlins | 60c | 2,611$1,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.91 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 2,540$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.33 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 2,531$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.52 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 2,309$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.42 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 2,218$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.7 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 2,086$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.92 | 1,140 | 43%490 W · 650 L | -37.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 2,062$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.14 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e45…9e45backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Miami Marlins | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.99 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb9…d37ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 1,969$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 7c | 1,963$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.17 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Miami Marlins | 56c | 1,960$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.23 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 1,795$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.56 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +7.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…f97ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 1,628$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.49 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 1,536$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.24 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44aa…d1d5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Miami Marlins | 56c | 1,428$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.73 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 1,391$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.98 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…2e27backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 1,378$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.92 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 1,378$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.58 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 1,372$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.56 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 1,275$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.97 | 228 | 51.3%117 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Miami Marlins | 59c | 1,230$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.3 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 1,178$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.9 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Miami Marlins | 74c | 1,110$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.8 | 851 | 35.8%305 W · 546 L | -23.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…b46abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 1,074$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.5 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9116…f76abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 1,030$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.1 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Miami Marlins | 54c | 1,028$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.67 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62de…39fbbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -5.0wins | -0.36per pick | 50cpaid | -74%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 999$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.36 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 988.76$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.27 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 974.86$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.84 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 948.32$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.74 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 946.57$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.42 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec30…f1aabacked Miami Marlins | 57c | 943.44$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.68 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed St. Louis Cardinals | 23c | 930.83$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.2 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed St. Louis Cardinals | 33c | 840.98$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.55 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 831.45$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.28 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…36b0backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 801.74$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.82 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee4c…8572backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 747.63$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.97 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Miami Marlins | 78c | 747.01$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.34 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 33c | 678.99$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.48 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 674.42$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.23 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 640.28$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.74 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fd…90c0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 635.15$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.82 | 282 | 44.7%126 W · 156 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 38c | 616.41$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.44 | 401 | 46.1%185 W · 216 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 613.08$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.89 | 283 | 47.3%134 W · 149 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Miami Marlins | 60c | 608.4$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.48 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed St. Louis Cardinals | 31c | 608.14$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.48 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 598.19$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.22 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Miami Marlins | 54c | 574.06$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.75 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 552.6$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.75 | 120 | 37.5%45 W · 75 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a13…db82backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 535.05$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.07 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 513.15$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.18 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 486.5$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.92 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea9…0924backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 486.45$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.9 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 464.42$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.99 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 9c | 462.92$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.96 | 1,911 | 53.1%1,014 W · 897 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 459.61$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.42 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 455.95$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.73 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 455.22$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.12 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…add6backed St. Louis Cardinals | 3c | 451.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 332 | 28.3%94 W · 238 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 450.19$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.09 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 425.74$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.84 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…b1b9backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 424.58$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6061…cbcebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 416.17$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 387.28$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.02 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Miami Marlins | 50c | 384.72$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.36 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 384.59$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.6 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 20c | 380.8$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.16 | 119 | 42.9%51 W · 68 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 380$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 262 | 55.7%146 W · 116 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 371.26$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.92 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58b6…c324backed Miami Marlins | 77c | 370.14$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.13 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45e8…5169backed St. Louis Cardinals | 40c | 361.26$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.5 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +10.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlinsthis page
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 5.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 6.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami MarlinsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.