MLB · resolved market
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2aaf5e0d266d6a94824cd4ec3e9f8586b83c7567f5eca8f19599c6de6bafce9a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $161,309
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $160,474
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $161,309 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 197 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x777d…5143backed Under | 49c | 81,220$39,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,234.59 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 52c | 32,683$16,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,990.73 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3c…64b8backed Over | 50c | 7,500$3,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,750.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Over | 50c | 7,420$3,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,709.77 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Over | 49c | 7,074$3,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,466.41 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Over | 50c | 6,563$3,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,281.51 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Over | 46c | 6,000$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,759.92 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Under | 48c | 5,792$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,992.6 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 64c | 5,410$3,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,959.04 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Over | 50c | 4,850$2,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,425 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 3,747$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850.28 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb49…1fbebacked Over | 53c | 3,667$1,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,943.6 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +6.2wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 52c | 2,993$1,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,556.13 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 43c | 2,795$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,201.97 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Under | 49c | 2,294$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.46 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 52c | 2,137$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.05 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3c…af16backed Under | 52c | 1,750$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 50c | 1,608$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.13 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 48c | 1,590$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.5 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 51c | 1,374$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.71 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 48c | 1,326$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.78 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 35c | 1,283$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.92 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe757…c161backed Under | 50c | 1,220$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.82 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 50c | 1,198$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.15 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…e9f4backed Under | 76c | 1,084$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.2 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 53c | 1,043$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.69 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Over | 49c | 1,029$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.21 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…91d5backed Under | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 49c | 999.95$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.97 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe802…e465backed Over | 52c | 971.2$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.02 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x416e…3e3cbacked Under | 51c | 970.6$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 50c | 970$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 45c | 967$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.15 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 61c | 941.88$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.37 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 50c | 775.03$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.52 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Over | 48c | 729.98$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.39 | 272 | 49.3%134 W · 138 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 50c | 717.17$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.68 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 688.97$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.27 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Over | 50c | 632.86$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.23 | 185 | 53.5%99 W · 86 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Over | 52c | 560.31$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.36 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Under | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 210 | 52.9%111 W · 99 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Under | 53c | 460.28$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.33 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Over | 46c | 447.52$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.86 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 50c | 415.4$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.63 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad51…d76dbacked Under | 51c | 415.31$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.98 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 48c | 404.19$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.18 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Over | 50c | 388$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Over | 52c | 373.54$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.24 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 55c | 356.65$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.13 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…74d3backed Over | 52c | 353.41$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.14 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 49c | 327.62$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.76 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 47c | 319.14$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.14 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 46c | 312.39$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.7 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 38c | 310.83$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.55 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…beeebacked Over | 52c | 310.63$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.53 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf36a…25abbacked Over | 50c | 300.7$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.35 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 120 | 37.5%45 W · 75 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Under | 50c | 292.31$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.97 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac4…a601backed Over | 52c | 280.15$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.68 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 52c | 280.15$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.68 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5760…40aabacked Under | 49c | 256.24$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.68 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -7.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Under | 51c | 252.41$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.3 | 222 | 48.6%108 W · 114 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 50c | 248.71$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.35 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Under | 47c | 248$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.44 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 48c | 242.17$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.28 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Over | 50c | 232.26$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.13 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa382…d301backed Over | 45c | 225.42$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.44 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Under | 52c | 225.4$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.87 | 395 | 53.7%212 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Over | 44c | 214.63$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.33 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Over | 44c | 203.54$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.56 | 186 | 48.4%90 W · 96 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 51c | 201.1$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.54 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78ae…29e3backed Under | 49c | 198.03$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Under | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.9 | 249 | 50.6%126 W · 123 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +5.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2814…d27cbacked Over | 52c | 190.52$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Over | 52c | 187.44$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.47 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 51c | 180.8$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.21 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…04e4backed Under | 54c | 180.06$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.83 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 48c | 157.08$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.8 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 50c | 156.44$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.22 | 674 | 44.1%297 W · 377 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 52c | 155.39$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.8 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Under | 67c | 152.97$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.09 | 515 | 55%283 W · 232 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 50c | 145.55$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.77 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Under | 50c | 144.58$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.81 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33fc…dc88backed Under | 51c | 140.75$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.97 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 49c | 138.75$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.25 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 54c | 136.6$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.71 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0275…596dbacked Over | 52c | 132.61$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.96 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Under | 53c | 128.35$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.32 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 61c | 125.04$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.77 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Under | 49c | 119.53$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.96 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 49c | 115.73$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.49 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8001…c76fbacked Under | 51c | 114.53$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.12 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 45c | 107.34$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…99a1backed Over | 46c | 105.17$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +228%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5this page
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami MarlinsMiami Marlins won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 5.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 6.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami MarlinsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.