NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8474b581c4b70bfd1c319136f4f2b704aea61327fe5973f381782af720c9861f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Pistons, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,024,038
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,093,419
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,024,038 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 607 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Magic | 48c | 187,460$90,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90,387.65 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Magic | 50c | 153,066$75,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75,972.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Pistons | 51c | 147,762$75,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72,403.43 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6211…b89ebacked Pistons | 51c | 117,704$60,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,674.85 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Magic | 49c | 70,000$34,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,299.81 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Pistons | 50c | 69,615$34,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,711.58 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…76adbacked Pistons | 52c | 48,365$25,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,214.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac25…433fbacked Magic | 49c | 40,000$19,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,600 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Pistons | 52c | 31,751$16,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,240.37 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfc…bf06backed Magic | 49c | 30,051$14,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,725.19 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Magic | 48c | 25,152$12,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,072.78 | 160 | 39.4%63 W · 97 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Magic | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,599.98 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf721…ecf5backed Pistons | 51c | 19,985$10,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,792.57 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x844e…4efdbacked Magic | 49c | 19,967$9,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,702.87 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Pistons | 69c | 17,880$12,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,629.22 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad2b…f091backed Magic | 12c | 17,260$2,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,071.15 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde7b…5f4bbacked Pistons | 52c | 16,967$8,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,144.12 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x269c…9017backed Pistons | 55c | 14,697$8,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,556.02 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cde…b97dbacked Pistons | 52c | 14,568$7,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,992.64 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Pistons | 51c | 14,094$7,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,860.31 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Pistons | 51c | 13,588$6,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,658.32 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Pistons | 52c | 11,825$6,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,675.84 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Pistons | 54c | 11,299$6,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,150.16 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Magic | 49c | 10,663$5,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,225.07 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Magic | 48c | 10,529$5,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,053.94 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa136…ea3cbacked Magic | 48c | 10,495$5,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,037.76 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Magic | 21c | 10,154$2,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,091.99 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Pistons | 52c | 9,712$5,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,661.76 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe187…d4e7backed Magic | 49c | 9,023$4,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,421.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Pistons | 53c | 8,653$4,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,066.89 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Pistons | 50c | 8,021$4,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,010.59 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Pistons | 52c | 7,964$4,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,822.64 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d2…f38bbacked Magic | 49c | 7,937$3,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,889.28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Pistons | 53c | 7,920$4,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,729.15 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba1…1ce4backed Pistons | 51c | 7,910$4,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,876.09 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Pistons | 54c | 7,571$4,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,493.4 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Pistons | 53c | 7,431$3,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,521.36 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Pistons | 51c | 6,963$3,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,410.51 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe802…e465backed Pistons | 52c | 6,798$3,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,263.23 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Magic | 49c | 6,475$3,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,172.75 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…236dbacked Pistons | 52c | 6,213$3,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,982.96 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Pistons | 52c | 6,071$3,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,932.8 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Magic | 48c | 5,836$2,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,826 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb0…ca79backed Pistons | 52c | 5,603$2,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,689.48 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Pistons | 52c | 5,546$2,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,661.87 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Pistons | 51c | 5,528$2,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,692.66 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Magic | 48c | 5,210$2,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500.79 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Pistons | 60c | 5,027$3,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,988.42 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…fec6backed Magic | 49c | 4,946$2,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,423.5 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Magic | 56c | 4,772$2,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,687.02 | 203 | 52.7%107 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdd…1378backed Pistons | 57c | 4,394$2,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,887.96 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Magic | 27c | 4,186$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.55 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe169…4653backed Magic | 48c | 4,146$1,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,990.31 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Magic | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Magic | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Magic | 49c | 3,957$1,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,938.8 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Pistons | 51c | 3,882$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,902.38 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Magic | 54c | 3,806$2,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,069.43 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Magic | 48c | 3,716$1,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,787.46 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…e288backed Pistons | 53c | 3,709$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,758.82 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Pistons | 52c | 3,693$1,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,767.54 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Pistons | 51c | 3,341$1,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,632.83 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Pistons | 58c | 3,249$1,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,364.58 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Magic | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Pistons | 52c | 2,914$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,398.53 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Pistons | 51c | 2,855$1,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,398.81 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6323…9feebacked Magic | 48c | 2,651$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.92 | 144 | 41%59 W · 85 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Pistons | 50c | 2,539$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.71 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Magic | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.99 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfe…2ac7backed Magic | 49c | 2,374$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.28 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Magic | 67c | 2,156$1,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,444.52 | 295 | 54.6%161 W · 134 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5b…5443backed Magic | 46c | 2,118$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.6 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cc…0b39backed Magic | 48c | 2,100$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.99 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Magic | 49c | 2,036$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.51 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Magic | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c85…94a4backed Pistons | 52c | 1,999$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.7 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Magic | 49c | 1,978$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.4 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x208a…441ebacked Magic | 49c | 1,964$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.62 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Pistons | 52c | 1,961$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.32 | 219 | 57.1%125 W · 94 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Pistons | 53c | 1,944$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.49 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa936…f3d0backed Pistons | 51c | 1,941$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.19 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Magic | 49c | 1,939$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.01 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Pistons | 51c | 1,903$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.64 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Pistons | 52c | 1,709$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.97 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…43d0backed Pistons | 52c | 1,701$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.29 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e84…768ebacked Pistons | 51c | 1,690$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.09 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Magic | 48c | 1,457$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.34 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14fe…e0fdbacked Pistons | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf29…834cbacked Magic | 48c | 1,377$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.12 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb267…5f55backed Magic | 67c | 1,321$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.28 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c9…1ec6backed Magic | 49c | 1,311$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.42 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Magic | 48c | 1,307$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.49 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Pistons | 52c | 1,303$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.27 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…923fbacked Pistons | 56c | 1,268$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.86 | 174 | 58%101 W · 73 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3349…c0b8backed Magic | 49c | 1,267$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.9 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Magic | 48c | 1,266$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.26 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x058e…a2acbacked Magic | 50c | 1,213$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.25 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c7…2e93backed Magic | 50c | 1,164$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Magic | 47c | 1,100$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6733…acb9backed Magic | 49c | 1,081$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.4 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-8.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Magic won
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Magic won
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Magic won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Desmond Bane: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Desmond Bane: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Franz Wagner: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
- Magic vs. PistonsPistons won
- Magic vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 193.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 194.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 196.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 198.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 200.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 207.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 212.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 214.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 218.5Under won
- Paolo Banchero: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Spread: Pistons (-11.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-21.5)Magic won
- Spread: Pistons (-25.5)Magic won
- Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-7.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-9.5)Pistons won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.