TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

1H Spread: Pistons (-6.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Magicof Pistons, Magic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,040
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,026

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,040 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Pistons47c2,252$1,058 inLost-$1,058.2317052.4%89 W · 81 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Magic53c1,749$927 inWon+$821.8532846.6%153 W · 175 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Magic53c628.15$333 inWon+$295.231,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Pistons46c162.44$74 inLost-$74.3387049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Pistons27c147.39$39 inLost-$39.4623741.4%98 W · 139 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Magic48c118.09$57 inWon+$61.2479650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3f0c…51dbbacked Pistons46c105.17$48 inLost-$48.384928.6%14 W · 35 L-8.7wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-32.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Pistons20c102.21$21 inLost-$20.7931238.5%120 W · 192 L+15.3wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x01de…f177backed Pistons47c91.6$43 inLost-$43.051741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f64…ba01backed Magic54c91.12$49 inWon+$41.9242740.3%172 W · 255 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Magic54c88.7$48 inWon+$40.81,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4fc…d401backed Magic54c86.5$47 inWon+$39.376068.3%41 W · 19 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+14.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3eef…8a22backed Magic56c83.26$47 inWon+$36.63560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Pistons44c82.39$36 inLost-$36.252,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b53…7f26backed Pistons51c76.13$39 inLost-$38.82250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc376…a8e7backed Magic54c63.03$34 inWon+$28.9931748.9%155 W · 162 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x69b9…a5d5backed Magic39c56.08$22 inWon+$34.293256.3%18 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x36fb…ce54backed Magic56c50.82$28 inWon+$22.34633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-48.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Pistons54c50.01$27 inLost-$27.2562047.3%293 W · 327 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Pistons46c41.12$19 inLost-$18.921,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Magic54c40$22 inWon+$18.496956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Magic52c34.63$18 inWon+$16.6213047.7%62 W · 68 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe727…f6e1backed Magic37c31.97$12 inWon+$20.061866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+39.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x230f…bb8cbacked Pistons46c29.03$13 inLost-$13.352236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-24.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8006…0cd3backed Pistons51c28.55$15 inLost-$14.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbcf…20aebacked Pistons47c27.25$13 inLost-$12.8128943.3%125 W · 164 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb684…343cbacked Magic54c20.92$11 inWon+$9.621056.7%119 W · 91 L-0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8052…cd55backed Pistons56c19.73$11 inLost-$11.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.