NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46a46b76c58758458811266b0b1564dbe97f1241247e1d784535f88c09a11cea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,394
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,241
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,394 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac25…433fbacked Under | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,399.99 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 48c | 11,904$5,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,190.11 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x639c…31e2backed Over | 52c | 11,750$6,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,109.82 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5d…191dbacked Over | 53c | 8,971$4,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,754.03 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Under | 46c | 7,741$3,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,180.03 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Over | 54c | 4,796$2,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,590.09 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 4,143$1,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,215.2 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,119.99 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…236dbacked Over | 53c | 3,715$1,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,968.96 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…abcebacked Over | 52c | 3,112$1,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,618.02 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Over | 52c | 3,052$1,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,586.94 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Over | 54c | 2,910$1,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,569.83 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d22…4b50backed Over | 54c | 2,569$1,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,387.51 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Over | 52c | 2,482$1,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,291.24 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 46c | 1,955$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.21 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Over | 52c | 1,942$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.05 | 310 | 46.8%145 W · 165 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf3…4918backed Under | 47c | 1,842$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.07 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf29…834cbacked Over | 52c | 1,750$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.77 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 53c | 1,701$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.34 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad41…2bb4backed Over | 53c | 1,331$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.09 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Under | 47c | 1,217$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.73 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Over | 45c | 1,150$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.4 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…2d13backed Over | 55c | 1,091$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.21 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09d3…3128backed Under | 47c | 1,040$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.91 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 53c | 941.64$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.06 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 11c | 907.21$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.98 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Over | 52c | 752.68$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.39 | 170 | 52.4%89 W · 81 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…813ebacked Under | 45c | 636.63$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.73 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 52c | 537.39$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.44 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Under | 47c | 481$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.08 | 258 | 40.7%105 W · 153 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Under | 56c | 436.32$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.95 | 400 | 41.5%166 W · 234 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 46c | 416.55$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.58 | 170 | 47.6%81 W · 89 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…dd8fbacked Under | 49c | 399.59$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d10…24bebacked Over | 52c | 392.22$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cad…0758backed Over | 53c | 311.82$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.26 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb307…be4abacked Under | 47c | 309$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.77 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 53c | 307.08$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.52 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Under | 48c | 302.75$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.43 | 290 | 40.3%117 W · 173 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 51c | 284.86$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.28 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 47c | 281.27$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.45 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Over | 52c | 274.25$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.61 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc816…7a20backed Over | 7c | 236.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Under | 46c | 208.17$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.38 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Under | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb74f…d843backed Over | 54c | 199.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.99 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Under | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.9 | 298 | 48%143 W · 155 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a94…8860backed Over | 52c | 176.56$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.81 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4b…c865backed Under | 46c | 161.97$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.46 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbb…5503backed Under | 48c | 160.46$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.94 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…f5f4backed Over | 55c | 157.56$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.66 | 146 | 49.3%72 W · 74 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e4…4a19backed Under | 63c | 141.46$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.8 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | +5.1wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba28…fa8fbacked Over | 54c | 137.04$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.52 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed Under | 46c | 133.53$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.11 | 295 | 56.6%167 W · 128 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9f…1390backed Over | 24c | 133.43$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 54c | 114.3$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.72 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…bbb2backed Over | 53c | 110.02$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.31 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7239…4389backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.5 | 437 | 50.1%219 W · 218 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 47c | 96.01$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.85 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Over | 53c | 91.68$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 368 | 52.2%192 W · 176 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Over | 44c | 86.36$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 199 | 37.2%74 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…ab23backed Under | 46c | 84.14$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.44 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67c9…1798backed Over | 55c | 83.57$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.96 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9d…0553backed Under | 46c | 77.41$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab2a…30edbacked Over | 52c | 74.71$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -9.5wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…ba10backed Over | 26c | 70.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 52c | 66.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.83 | 620 | 49%304 W · 316 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Under | 46c | 62.41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 130 | 47.7%62 W · 68 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…e45ebacked Under | 48c | 60.55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | +13.2wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…8665backed Under | 65c | 59.87$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…5fc2backed Over | 53c | 55.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 143 | 49.7%71 W · 72 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 53c | 54.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Under | 70c | 48$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 717 | 52%373 W · 344 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e30…5629backed Over | 52c | 46.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfddc…931abacked Over | 52c | 43.86$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x363e…aa77backed Over | 53c | 43.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x310b…19ccbacked Over | 34c | 41.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6b…1afbbacked Under | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb27b…5d6ebacked Over | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 48c | 36.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef2…5584backed Under | 46c | 35.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 47c | 30.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Over | 53c | 27.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 176 | 50%88 W · 88 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 41c | 26.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 24.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x932d…8c8bbacked Under | 46c | 22.55$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…4632backed Over | 55c | 21.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -8.1wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 76c | 16.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.97 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Magic won
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Magic won
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Magic won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Desmond Bane: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Desmond Bane: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Franz Wagner: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
- Magic vs. PistonsPistons won
- Magic vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 193.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 194.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 196.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 198.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 200.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 207.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 212.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 214.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 218.5Under won
- Paolo Banchero: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Spread: Pistons (-11.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-21.5)Magic won
- Spread: Pistons (-25.5)Magic won
- Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-7.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-8.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-9.5)Pistons won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.