TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 214.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$32,884
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$31,954

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,884 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4bf8…2f4abacked Over17c5,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.981020%2 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick16cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under67c4,257$2,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,416.088,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under40c3,998$1,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,398.761,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Over49c3,631$1,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,762.0761747.8%295 W · 322 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under48c3,560$1,712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,848.251,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over51c2,853$1,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,447.521,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac25…433fbacked Under39c1,616$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985.868038.8%31 W · 49 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over32c1,497$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.551,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Under50c1,141$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.3656646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Over58c1,111$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.377549.3%37 W · 38 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over61c1,030$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.496,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50089853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Over50c963.24$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.2417047.6%81 W · 89 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x115f…e217backed Over53c900$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4772245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Over60c867.34$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.426131%81 W · 180 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf58c…0b79backed Under50c776$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3887150.7%36 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Under42c616.39$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.0111437.7%43 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Under39c567.21$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3461,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74a9…0dc7backed Over61c504.31$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.639455.3%52 W · 42 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under39c487.2$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.191,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under49c484.7$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.21,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Over25c399.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10052951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x322e…308ebacked Over61c320.2$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.323240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed Over48c302.75$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.3212851.6%66 W · 62 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked Over60c292.8$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.6810457.7%60 W · 44 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Over52c279.05$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.78826.1%23 W · 65 L-12.5wins-0.14per pick40cpaid-36.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2b2b…e5e7backed Over61c259.36$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.216347.6%30 W · 33 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-15.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under74c241.63$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.6837647.3%178 W · 198 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Over61c240.15$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.4928949.1%142 W · 147 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under58c238.1$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51f4…3e21backed Over49c237.74$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.361435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-24.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xecd5…a3a2backed Under42c230.15$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.633831.6%12 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb74f…d843backed Over50c188.08$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.046250%31 W · 31 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over50c176$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdffd…924fbacked Over60c162.67$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.613949.6%69 W · 70 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe720…0f1cbacked Over60c162.67$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.66844.1%30 W · 38 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under41c161.59$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.342,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ec3…2815backed Over60c160$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under66c147.59$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.5661151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x303a…7c84backed Over10c139.06$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.911369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe45…a3e9backed Over61c129.68$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.14146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under40c126$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.656843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce27…8a7dbacked Under41c107.3$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.3113441%55 W · 79 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcde4…aa62backed Over10c104.06$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.412231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-46%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb143…cadebacked Over49c99.99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-46.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Over55c99.99$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e25…569cbacked Over61c96.06$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.6933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-48.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Under49c92.57$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.2155751.9%289 W · 268 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under62c85.02$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.5644347.2%209 W · 234 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28a5…a850backed Over59c82.66$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.774652.2%24 W · 22 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under45c81.5$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8249247.2%232 W · 260 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc322…a836backed Over60c81.33$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.83528.6%10 W · 25 L-8.4wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-43.9%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xbeaf…baefbacked Over51c80$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.83751.4%19 W · 18 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab2a…30edbacked Over61c74.06$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.026737.3%25 W · 42 L-9.5wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-27.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under73c69.1$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5323445.7%107 W · 127 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Under40c66.32$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.7913047.7%62 W · 68 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92ad…2940backed Under50c58.2$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1850%4 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26e8…1c01backed Over60c51.36$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.617451.4%38 W · 36 L-6.8wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-14.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under39c50.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.8866352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbac4…86dbbacked Under56c50.38$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1711648.3%56 W · 60 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under56c50.38$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1759250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1be…6471backed Over61c49.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.276639.4%26 W · 40 L-11.8wins-0.18per pick57cpaid-31.3%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Under49c49.46$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2246959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9dfd…aadebacked Under70c49.09$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.738755.2%48 W · 39 L+6.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6e30…5629backed Over50c48.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.252138.1%8 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+27.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Under41c48.23$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.4659650.3%300 W · 296 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7df…7f82backed Over61c48.03$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.32222.7%5 W · 17 L-6.5wins-0.29per pick52cpaid-57.8%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Under50c46.56$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2871752%373 W · 344 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc10c…9bb3backed Over59c45.98$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.131172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+40%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x46be…9ce1backed Over59c45.07$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.591080%8 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+53.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5081…e5acbacked Over62c45$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.920055.5%111 W · 89 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under40c42.17$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.411,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x666f…2be2backed Under41c40.47$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under48c40.12$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.0687049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7123…ac86backed Over61c38.36$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x712d…28a1backed Under43c38.16$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.823100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+86.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x390e…4fb7backed Over59c36.31$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.43742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd281…d824backed Under44c35.87$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.925560%33 W · 22 L+5.9wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6231…c97ebacked Over59c35$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.65666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+30.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under40c33.81$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1639041%160 W · 230 L-32.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x533d…b579backed Under45c33.58$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.582334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-26.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under39c33$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.0527354.9%150 W · 123 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6769…f8b9backed Over61c32.02$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.536454.7%35 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97cf…ad38backed Over59c26.95$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9f7…5ae3backed Over59c26.51$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.64633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-30.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2120…50c4backed Over59c26.22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.47771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+55.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x080f…d201backed Over59c26.07$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.38850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x38f9…0bffbacked Over59c26.07$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.38650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66c0…5fc2backed Over60c26.03$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6214349.7%71 W · 72 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd875…ad68backed Over60c26.03$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.628167.9%55 W · 26 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Under39c25.99$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8552240%209 W · 313 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbcd6…df55backed Over59c25.63$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.121450%7 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d83…3ceabacked Over59c25.63$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.121070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+37.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x32c5…436cbacked Over59c25.19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.86425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-50%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x86c2…594cbacked Over59c25.19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.86933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over50c24.81$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.419,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b0d…1f81backed Over59c24.76$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.611361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+27.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd44c…a5f9backed Over59c24.76$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.61633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-30.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e77…09b8backed Over59c24.5$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.46757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.