TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 20.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,767
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,708

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,767 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x09ad…819ebacked Yes55c884.98$486 inLost-$486.4914254.9%78 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed No45c850.77$379 inWon+$471.315,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed No47c777.85$364 inWon+$413.941,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed No46c552.71$252 inWon+$300.7425840.7%105 W · 153 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No44c502.65$221 inWon+$281.482,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4980…57febacked Yes55c441.39$242 inLost-$242.0110245.1%46 W · 56 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeea8…0412backed Yes56c352.64$198 inLost-$197.6116251.9%84 W · 78 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3f9…2aa8backed Yes57c343.65$195 inLost-$194.88644.2%38 W · 48 L-13.7wins-0.16per pick60cpaid-29%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x556c…93cebacked No46c299.67$138 inWon+$161.8224949%122 W · 127 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fd3…fed4backed Yes53c276.86$146 inLost-$145.7424861.7%153 W · 95 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb408…e303backed Yes56c262.77$146 inLost-$14613852.2%72 W · 66 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked No41c244.85$101 inWon+$144.2776054.6%415 W · 345 L+56.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+33.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1de9…9499backed Yes55c212.29$117 inLost-$116.7610636.8%39 W · 67 L-14.9wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-30.4%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No44c185.49$82 inWon+$103.8790863.9%580 W · 328 L+80.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+20.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked No44c173.75$76 inWon+$97.595049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2696…c031backed Yes52c164.58$86 inLost-$85.586149.2%30 W · 31 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb781…9ba9backed Yes80c158.13$126 inLost-$126.412047.5%57 W · 63 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4fbc…ccc1backed Yes55c133.02$73 inLost-$72.979048.9%44 W · 46 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x30bb…f258backed Yes52c130.74$68 inLost-$67.982748.1%13 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+49.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x87ed…b497backed No45c123.99$56 inWon+$68.29947.5%47 W · 52 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9caf…e8bdbacked Yes16c105$16 inLost-$16.4633049.1%162 W · 168 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed No46c99.98$46 inWon+$53.9941050.7%208 W · 202 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x191b…824abacked Yes55c88.45$49 inLost-$48.655253.8%28 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed No47c75$35 inWon+$39.7536749.6%182 W · 185 L+1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No44c74.87$33 inWon+$41.6152150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed No45c65.37$30 inWon+$35.896956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ff8…8a76backed No42c52.04$22 inWon+$30.1813751.1%70 W · 67 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked No45c44.37$20 inWon+$24.5226957.2%154 W · 115 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6795…4a4cbacked Yes55c41.93$23 inLost-$23.063964.1%25 W · 14 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+20.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2e3d…b56cbacked Yes54c36.01$19 inLost-$19.4537344.2%165 W · 208 L-19.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b1f…9ff2backed Yes53c33$17 inLost-$17.4910844.4%48 W · 60 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5345…666abacked Yes56c32.86$18 inLost-$18.46942%29 W · 40 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+30.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6683…f5f4backed No47c30.86$15 inWon+$16.3514649.3%72 W · 74 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed No45c29.93$13 inWon+$16.5533556.7%190 W · 145 L+26.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b5f…eed5backed Yes52c28.02$15 inLost-$14.57837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac5f…202dbacked Yes52c28.02$15 inLost-$14.573727%10 W · 27 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-27.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f6e…6a74backed Yes52c27.93$15 inLost-$14.5721651.4%111 W · 105 L-12.5wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8295…f68bbacked Yes53c27.5$15 inLost-$14.584422.7%10 W · 34 L-6.4wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-43.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x43f5…40d0backed Yes55c26.36$14 inLost-$14.51338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-33.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x72a9…44d3backed Yes56c20.86$12 inLost-$11.6828455.3%157 W · 127 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdabb…8cc4backed Yes56c20.64$12 inLost-$11.567655.3%42 W · 34 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x987d…dc15backed Yes55c19.46$11 inLost-$10.730%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.