NBA · resolved market
Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 28.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4990965a0c5c3aaf4855fc32efa5525ed853c3107d2799249a3830cf0fbbb305
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,473
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,302
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,473 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6c55…98ffbacked Yes | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,059.94 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked No | 49c | 4,931$2,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,508.08 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Yes | 52c | 999.99$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.99 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked No | 49c | 989.18$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.48 | 277 | 46.6%129 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 46c | 499.97$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.98 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1764…cf64backed Yes | 54c | 468.4$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.93 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed No | 48c | 399.97$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.98 | 560 | 50.4%282 W · 278 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked No | 49c | 375.89$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.7 | 931 | 45.8%426 W · 505 L | -25.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Yes | 52c | 372.92$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.92 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 258 | 40.7%105 W · 153 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed No | 49c | 296.76$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.35 | 238 | 50.4%120 W · 118 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed No | 45c | 276.4$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.75 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1de9…9499backed Yes | 55c | 245.9$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.25 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | -14.9wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6808…899bbacked No | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.9 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed No | 48c | 195.7$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.76 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd11d…5656backed Yes | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.2 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | -10.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed No | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed No | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.5 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeefb…d11fbacked Yes | 64c | 97.81$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.11 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Yes | 47c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed No | 48c | 75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 367 | 49.6%182 W · 185 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f6…604ebacked Yes | 52c | 62.59$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.54 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed No | 49c | 59.35$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.27 | 202 | 47.5%96 W · 106 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed No | 57c | 51.13$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 256 | 57%146 W · 110 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x409b…bbffbacked No | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed No | 49c | 49.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6a…8bbcbacked Yes | 54c | 44.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…bd04backed No | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3008…ca48backed Yes | 60c | 38.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 48c | 32.69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 908 | 63.9%580 W · 328 L | +80.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed No | 49c | 30.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.42 | 405 | 46.9%190 W · 215 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…8023backed Yes | 54c | 29.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 437 | 52.6%230 W · 207 L | +18.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…f5f4backed No | 49c | 29.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 146 | 49.3%72 W · 74 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Yes | 63c | 28.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 205 | 58.5%120 W · 85 L | +19.6wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed No | 48c | 26.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf842…7182backed Yes | 52c | 26.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07cf…7436backed Yes | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72a9…44d3backed Yes | 52c | 22.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 284 | 55.3%157 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 28.5this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Magic won
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Magic won
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Magic won
- Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Desmond Bane: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Desmond Bane: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Franz Wagner: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
- Magic vs. PistonsPistons won
- Magic vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 193.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 194.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 196.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 198.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 200.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 207.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 212.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 214.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 218.5Under won
- Paolo Banchero: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Spread: Pistons (-11.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-21.5)Magic won
- Spread: Pistons (-25.5)Magic won
- Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-7.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-8.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-9.5)Pistons won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.