MLB · resolved market
Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7ca725c50d417f5b0f831c1a557b364935cd6b225c5096d2686ed23a57b2a65
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $566,373
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $615,601
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $566,373 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x63a5…8e33backed Under | 57c | 336,964$190,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190,802.9 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over | 43c | 175,618$75,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100,102.4 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x709e…66f5backed Over | 44c | 105,503$46,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,081.93 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Over | 43c | 63,711$27,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,315.42 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2f…aaf8backed Over | 44c | 45,321$19,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,342.19 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 56c | 29,491$16,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,510.59 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 44c | 27,712$12,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,625.21 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 57c | 17,213$9,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,739.51 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…fc82backed Under | 53c | 16,550$8,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,771.72 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Under | 57c | 12,818$7,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,306.5 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Over | 46c | 9,676$4,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,225.04 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +7.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 47c | 7,446$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,946.42 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 48c | 5,308$2,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750.92 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Under | 34c | 5,090$1,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,717.19 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd961…35debacked Over | 44c | 4,296$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,405.48 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a6…c8d3backed Under | 56c | 3,894$2,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,180.86 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 56c | 3,408$1,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,908.26 | 191 | 43.5%83 W · 108 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 45c | 2,941$1,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,614.16 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa945…110fbacked Under | 0c | 2,687$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6e…271bbacked Under | 56c | 2,372$1,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,337.5 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d84…4b14backed Under | 57c | 2,145$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.51 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 46c | 1,677$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.77 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Under | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 46c | 1,395$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.41 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bbd…c1fabacked Under | 1c | 1,231$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 44c | 1,164$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.77 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Over | 46c | 1,052$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.94 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6447…8075backed Under | 42c | 1,022$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.27 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Under | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 53c | 999.99$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 44c | 912$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.28 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Over | 46c | 866.1$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.69 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Over | 45c | 822.65$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.74 | 111 | 38.7%43 W · 68 L | -11.0wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 55c | 752.19$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.85 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…8eabbacked Over | 45c | 752.11$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.66 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 44c | 683.14$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.56 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x055a…12ddbacked Over | 45c | 675.65$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.61 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 42c | 660.31$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.27 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…8a9bbacked Over | 45c | 644.67$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.57 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 43c | 596.24$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.39 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 47c | 515.5$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.46 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Under | 50c | 500.54$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.26 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 56c | 472.44$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.57 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 47c | 450$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.25 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Over | 46c | 405.19$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.87 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…b6a4backed Under | 56c | 347.71$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.72 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Over | 58c | 339.68$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.66 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfad4…f817backed Under | 4c | 325.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Under | 3c | 320.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d76…90a0backed Under | 5c | 309.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d16…821abacked Under | 4c | 304.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c59…7052backed Under | 5c | 298.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Under | 47c | 290.46$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.52 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 56c | 282.58$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.31 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cf…424bbacked Over | 45c | 270.76$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.92 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0e…a1fabacked Over | 53c | 242.86$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.31 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85ad…d3fbbacked Under | 57c | 241.98$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.8 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbde…b7f5backed Under | 7c | 230.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 47c | 214.86$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.98 | 674 | 44.1%297 W · 377 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Under | 7c | 210.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0570…5200backed Under | 7c | 198.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Under | 50c | 189.15$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.58 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 44c | 188.96$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.53 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 55c | 185$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.75 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d1…0501backed Over | 62c | 176.26$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.98 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x172b…e2cdbacked Over | 53c | 175.6$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.53 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…edaabacked Under | 56c | 170.38$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.41 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Under | 63c | 169.08$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.52 | 211 | 53.6%113 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 44c | 168.12$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.82 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 54c | 168.06$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.74 | 297 | 52.5%156 W · 141 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7630…bf84backed Under | 11c | 153.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 56c | 107.62$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.27 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fc…5da8backed Under | 55c | 99.27$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.93 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 45c | 98.32$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.08 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e4…4a19backed Over | 68c | 94.79$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.74 | 66 | 84.8%56 W · 10 L | +15.1wins | +0.23per pick | 62cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed Under | 17c | 94.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Over | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe86f…91f1backed Under | 60c | 80.96$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 38c | 76.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3d…58f5backed Under | 56c | 67.47$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.78 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.25per pick | 56cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1036…6c9fbacked Over | 60c | 65.07$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.03 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36e1…f0b6backed Over | 45c | 64.47$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.46 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Over | 45c | 64.47$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.46 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb6…3965backed Under | 45c | 63.95$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.02 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 36c | 63.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 44c | 63.64$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 49c | 62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2e…d2abbacked Over | 37c | 59.53$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1c…35c6backed Over | 51c | 57.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.98 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Under | 45c | 54.7$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x088d…3516backed Over | 45c | 52.22$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.72 | 19 | 84.2%16 W · 3 L | +6.6wins | +0.35per pick | 49cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2255…39a9backed Under | 56c | 51.74$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.97 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 46c | 50.48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaea…4bbfbacked Over | 37c | 48.66$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7307…b257backed Under | 44c | 44.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Under | 25c | 43.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 52 | 7.7%4 W · 48 L | -10.3wins | -0.20per pick | 28cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…bbf6backed Over | 45c | 43.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.93 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Over | 46c | 42.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.78 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over | 45c | 42.28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5this page
- Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore OriolesBoston Red Sox won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-3.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-6.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore OriolesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.