TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$566,373
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$615,601

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $566,373 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x63a5…8e33backed Under57c336,964$190,803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190,802.96445.3%29 W · 35 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over43c175,618$75,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100,102.431039%121 W · 189 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed Over44c105,503$46,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59,081.931533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-34.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Over43c63,711$27,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,315.425248.1%25 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e2f…aaf8backed Over44c45,321$19,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,342.194940.8%20 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under56c29,491$16,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,510.5910,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over44c27,712$12,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,625.212,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under57c17,213$9,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,739.511,21547.6%578 W · 637 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99a7…fc82backed Under53c16,550$8,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,771.7214248.6%69 W · 73 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Under57c12,818$7,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,306.554152.1%282 W · 259 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Over46c9,676$4,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,225.045862.1%36 W · 22 L+7.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+24.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Over47c7,446$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,946.428464.3%54 W · 30 L+8.7wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over48c5,308$2,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,750.922,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31b0…8c4cbacked Under34c5,090$1,717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,717.1911554.8%63 W · 52 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked Over44c4,296$1,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,405.481258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x18a6…c8d3backed Under56c3,894$2,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,180.869350.5%47 W · 46 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under56c3,408$1,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,908.2619143.5%83 W · 108 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over45c2,941$1,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,614.165,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa945…110fbacked Under0c2,687$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c6e…271bbacked Under56c2,372$1,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,337.56051.7%31 W · 29 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d84…4b14backed Under57c2,145$1,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,212.511850%9 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over46c1,677$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.774,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Under63c1,587$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00011540%46 W · 69 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over46c1,395$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.416,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8bbd…c1fabacked Under1c1,231$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.311118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick15cpaid-29%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Over44c1,164$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.7720350.7%103 W · 100 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09af…9728backed Over46c1,052$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.9489153.5%477 W · 414 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6447…8075backed Under42c1,022$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.271030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-34.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed Under55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55014938.3%57 W · 92 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over53c999.99$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4702,40748.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L-62.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over44c912$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.282,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Over46c866.1$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.6965549.3%323 W · 332 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb47b…c6b1backed Over45c822.65$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.7411138.7%43 W · 68 L-11.0wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under55c752.19$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.854,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb7c…8eabbacked Over45c752.11$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.665945.8%27 W · 32 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over44c683.14$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.566,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x055a…12ddbacked Over45c675.65$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.614548.9%22 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Under42c660.31$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.271,52234.7%528 W · 994 L+27.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x768f…8a9bbacked Over45c644.67$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.5712253.3%65 W · 57 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under43c596.24$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.3912,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over47c515.5$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.461,70849.9%852 W · 856 L-17.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x992b…5053backed Under50c500.54$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.2622753.3%121 W · 106 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under56c472.44$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.5741847.6%199 W · 219 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over47c450$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.251,43550%717 W · 718 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5aa…4464backed Over46c405.19$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.8728850.3%145 W · 143 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c10…b6a4backed Under56c347.71$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.7211446.5%53 W · 61 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Over58c339.68$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.663461.8%21 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfad4…f817backed Under4c325.82$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.251338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-22.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked Under3c320.02$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.971,14948.9%562 W · 587 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d76…90a0backed Under5c309.84$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.984845.8%22 W · 26 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d16…821abacked Under4c304.69$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.022356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c59…7052backed Under5c298.62$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.653354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x58b9…ee8bbacked Under47c290.46$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.5275248.8%367 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over56c282.58$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.3111,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4cf…424bbacked Over45c270.76$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.92771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+52.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc0e…a1fabacked Over53c242.86$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.31560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+21.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85ad…d3fbbacked Under57c241.98$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.84050%20 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbde…b7f5backed Under7c230.01$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Under47c214.86$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.9867444.1%297 W · 377 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Under7c210.11$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.541,13357.2%648 W · 485 L+35.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0570…5200backed Under7c198.21$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139152.7%48 W · 43 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Under50c189.15$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.5824350.2%122 W · 121 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over44c188.96$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.5325249.6%125 W · 127 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under55c185$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.751,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94d1…0501backed Over62c176.26$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.981250%6 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x172b…e2cdbacked Over53c175.6$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.533262.5%20 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x17cb…edaabacked Under56c170.38$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.412433.3%8 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-32.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Under63c169.08$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.5221153.6%113 W · 98 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over44c168.12$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.824,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under54c168.06$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.7429752.5%156 W · 141 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7630…bf84backed Under11c153.9$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.84425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-43.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under56c107.62$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.2752449%257 W · 267 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1fc…5da8backed Under55c99.27$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.935341.5%22 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over45c98.32$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.0861948.6%301 W · 318 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4e4…4a19backed Over68c94.79$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.746684.8%56 W · 10 L+15.1wins+0.23per pick62cpaid+34.5%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0x1643…6ec8backed Under17c94.61$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.141668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed Over50c90$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4549649.8%247 W · 249 L+11.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe86f…91f1backed Under60c80.96$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under38c76.09$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.941,06249.2%523 W · 539 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb3d…58f5backed Under56c67.47$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.781631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.9wins-0.25per pick56cpaid-44.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1036…6c9fbacked Over60c65.07$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.034862.5%30 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x36e1…f0b6backed Over45c64.47$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.46850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x985c…e5d2backed Over45c64.47$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4654455.1%300 W · 244 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cb6…3965backed Under45c63.95$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.02944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under36c63.71$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.91,84343.6%804 W · 1,039 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Over44c63.64$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.66956.5%39 W · 30 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Under49c62$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3872247.6%344 W · 378 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b2e…d2abbacked Over37c59.53$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.412548%60 W · 65 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e1c…35c6backed Over51c57.09$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.983053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Under45c54.7$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.482,24357.6%1,293 W · 950 L+37.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x088d…3516backed Over45c52.22$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.721984.2%16 W · 3 L+6.6wins+0.35per pick49cpaid+73.8%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x2255…39a9backed Under56c51.74$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.97616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.29per pick46cpaid-69.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Over46c50.48$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.261,49845.3%678 W · 820 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5f5…bb11backed Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2555953.1%297 W · 262 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbaea…4bbfbacked Over37c48.66$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.658652.3%45 W · 41 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+29.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7307…b257backed Under44c44.33$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.328158%47 W · 34 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3085…7568backed Under25c43.96$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.09527.7%4 W · 48 L-10.3wins-0.20per pick28cpaid-81.9%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x7b9d…bbf6backed Over45c43.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.93728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Over46c42.37$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.7831052.6%163 W · 147 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over45c42.28$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2550751.7%262 W · 245 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.