MLB · resolved market
Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7430b6797df0f2f19e4ba428e169ace3111648d17dc01e38920b0c7a5bece447
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Boston Red Soxof Boston Red Sox, Baltimore Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $398,193
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $417,583
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $398,193 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 253 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Baltimore Orioles | 37c | 112,236$41,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,305.39 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 37,444$19,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,501.26 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Baltimore Orioles | 25c | 25,434$6,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,449.5 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Baltimore Orioles | 20c | 24,260$4,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,847.17 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Boston Red Sox | 49c | 19,998$9,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,199.01 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Boston Red Sox | 80c | 19,420$15,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,895.23 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Boston Red Sox | 74c | 16,200$11,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,249.43 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a6…c8d3backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 9,627$5,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,089.56 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Boston Red Sox | 70c | 9,216$6,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,773.88 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 8,736$4,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,628.01 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1c…b3abbacked Boston Red Sox | 73c | 8,603$6,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,290.72 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 7,978$4,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,199.22 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 2c | 7,124$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.32 | 263 | 15.6%41 W · 222 L | -11.9wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Boston Red Sox | 66c | 6,272$4,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,143.34 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Boston Red Sox | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,119.91 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Baltimore Orioles | 0c | 5,822$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 5,709$2,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,911.8 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 27c | 4,360$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.93 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…e11cbacked Boston Red Sox | 50c | 4,166$2,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,083.83 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 3,358$1,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,748.23 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 3,333$1,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,766.49 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Boston Red Sox | 46c | 3,123$1,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,670.86 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Baltimore Orioles | 19c | 2,962$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.3 | 85 | 15.3%13 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3234…8b1abacked Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 2,917$1,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,588.1 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -8.1wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x62c0…db73backed Boston Red Sox | 78c | 2,793$2,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.1 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed Baltimore Orioles | 19c | 2,764$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.4 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Boston Red Sox | 66c | 2,716$1,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.92 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…b250backed Baltimore Orioles | 20c | 2,666$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.33 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 2,650$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400.67 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 2,454$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.65 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e52…b713backed Boston Red Sox | 46c | 2,107$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 2,089$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.22 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Boston Red Sox | 78c | 2,076$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.34 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Boston Red Sox | 75c | 2,073$1,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.7 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Boston Red Sox | 78c | 2,006$1,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.54 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Baltimore Orioles | 38c | 2,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.99 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Boston Red Sox | 49c | 1,898$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.77 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Boston Red Sox | 48c | 1,665$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.79 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17be…a73abacked Boston Red Sox | 49c | 1,657$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.59 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Boston Red Sox | 70c | 1,589$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.47 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 1,520$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.18 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +7.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0e…35f8backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 1,485$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 1,369$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.07 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 1,307$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.84 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a9…5e9ebacked Boston Red Sox | 49c | 1,297$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.78 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Boston Red Sox | 76c | 1,277$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.92 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 1,236$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.75 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Boston Red Sox | 46c | 1,140$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.1 | 168 | 45.8%77 W · 91 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 1,069$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3188…870bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 19c | 1,054$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.59 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc105…c1b0backed Baltimore Orioles | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Boston Red Sox | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 8c | 999.97$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Boston Red Sox | 45c | 967$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.85 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Boston Red Sox | 48c | 919.99$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.8 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 903.31$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.75 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6447…8075backed Baltimore Orioles | 20c | 871.44$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.15 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 846.34$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.88 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…bb62backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 708.71$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.84 | 165 | 43%71 W · 94 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed Boston Red Sox | 43c | 700$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc883…d5d8backed Baltimore Orioles | 2c | 689.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Boston Red Sox | 49c | 591.33$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.58 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf1…09b7backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 584.54$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…56ffbacked Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 547.23$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.56 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Boston Red Sox | 62c | 507.8$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.96 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Boston Red Sox | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…a268backed Baltimore Orioles | 20c | 476$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…1075backed Baltimore Orioles | 19c | 450.01$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Boston Red Sox | 48c | 449.96$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.98 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2b…e828backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 434.98$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.32 | 168 | 44%74 W · 94 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…ed5fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 414.34$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.68 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 413.31$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.85 | 321 | 57%183 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd0…2222backed Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 387.91$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.57 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…cf70backed Baltimore Orioles | 17c | 384.87$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.58 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.43per pick | 40cpaid | +96.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 380.63$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.12 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 379.99$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.39 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 379.32$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.04 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8c…20e4backed Boston Red Sox | 48c | 355$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.6 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08c4…e6a5backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 353.82$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.6 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8c…5e69backed Baltimore Orioles | 3c | 349.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 29cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e3…8c11backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 348.36$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.15 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d63…c8b9backed Baltimore Orioles | 32c | 344.22$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.11 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2527…f09cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 330.33$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa325…27cabacked Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 318.58$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Boston Red Sox | 61c | 309.65$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.56 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 308.24$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.25 | 506 | 47%238 W · 268 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 294.94$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.32 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Boston Red Sox | 46c | 294$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.76 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 285.47$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.59 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 278$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.34 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 27c | 258.97$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.66 | 138 | 18.8%26 W · 112 L | -17.2wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xafc0…a15bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 19c | 250.37$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.57 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ce…316ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 6c | 249.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Boston Red Sox | 80c | 247$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -5.3wins | -0.19per pick | 64cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbe67…dd7ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 14c | 246.36$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.28 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed Boston Red Sox | 49c | 245.98$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.45 | 406 | 45.1%183 W · 223 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 229.98$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.49 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Boston Red Sox | 47c | 228.66$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.19 | 314 | 49.4%155 W · 159 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…faeabacked Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 224.61$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.54 | 404 | 49.3%199 W · 205 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Oriolesthis page
- Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-3.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-6.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore OriolesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.