MLB · resolved market
Cincinnati Reds vs. Tampa Bay Rays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc52a56f26128646bcbb63fa98bcfca5ed73d8286987f9a48087967406f8bf234
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tampa Bay Raysof Cincinnati Reds, Tampa Bay Rays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $286,692
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $297,772
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $286,692 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 228 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x861a…1f15backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 67,669$37,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,774.4 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 27,059$11,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,906.05 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +7.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 21,964$9,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,664 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 16,933$7,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,789.18 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f0…2768backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 15,647$8,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,884.74 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 68c | 14,831$10,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,728.95 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf209…15b9backed Tampa Bay Rays | 80c | 14,193$11,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,887.5 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Tampa Bay Rays | 60c | 13,618$8,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,459.9 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 12,990$5,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,715.59 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 11,826$5,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,133.79 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Cincinnati Reds | 16c | 10,978$1,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,756.4 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 9,742$5,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,189.06 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 9,205$3,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,960.92 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Cincinnati Reds | 27c | 7,224$1,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,986.66 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 7,054$3,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,069.02 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 6,447$2,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,901 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd21…a494backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfc…bf06backed Cincinnati Reds | 16c | 4,748$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.68 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 4,744$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.96 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Cincinnati Reds | 17c | 3,613$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.21 | 529 | 55.6%294 W · 235 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cincinnati Reds | 30c | 3,112$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.61 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 59c | 2,948$1,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,211.97 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 2,927$1,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.3 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 1,933$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.43 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 1,765$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.95 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb5…b009backed Cincinnati Reds | 24c | 1,630$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.12 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9116…f76abacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 1,612$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.25 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…bb62backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 1,537$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.48 | 165 | 43%71 W · 94 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cincinnati Reds | 19c | 1,498$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.54 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Tampa Bay Rays | 77c | 1,450$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.86 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 1,310$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.16 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5c…e5aabacked Cincinnati Reds | 8c | 1,181$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.48 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 16c | 1,178$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.09 | 138 | 18.8%26 W · 112 L | -17.2wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Cincinnati Reds | 30c | 1,112$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.6 | 1,140 | 43%490 W · 650 L | -37.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 1,100$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2430…4527backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 1,098$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.2 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cincinnati Reds | 10c | 1,054$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.47 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 1,020$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7f…12d5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 1,005$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.13 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…2a39backed Cincinnati Reds | 26c | 953.29$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.44 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -6.9wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -44%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Cincinnati Reds | 10c | 946.29$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.12 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Cincinnati Reds | 6c | 943.6$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.62 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff8…8a76backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 939.27$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.28 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 878.55$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.56 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 827.29$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.28 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 732$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.76 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 710.22$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.43 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 698.04$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.12 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 672.61$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.95 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 29c | 669.01$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.95 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 665.5$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.82 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 629.1$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.8 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 2c | 620.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Cincinnati Reds | 18c | 612.31$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.43 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Cincinnati Reds | 27c | 600$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 580$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 206 | 47.1%97 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Cincinnati Reds | 13c | 554.08$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.85 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Cincinnati Reds | 19c | 549.46$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.12 | 157 | 40.1%63 W · 94 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 549.09$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.6 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 537.22$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.75 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 532.99$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.69 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Cincinnati Reds | 9c | 500.39$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.94 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 79c | 499.99$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 495.13$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.71 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 493.49$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.07 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe611…b0b4backed Cincinnati Reds | 22c | 493.24$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed Cincinnati Reds | 9c | 472.7$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.54 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…858cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 21c | 458.26$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.25 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 450$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.5 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 434.88$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.35 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 425.91$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.66 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…db4bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 11c | 422.09$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.34 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 400.02$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.46 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Tampa Bay Rays | 75c | 383.43$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.64 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Cincinnati Reds | 6c | 369.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 335 | 15.5%52 W · 283 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf55f…8e92backed Cincinnati Reds | 9c | 363.85$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.85 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +107.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf36a…25abbacked Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 349.98$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.99 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4cbabacked Cincinnati Reds | 6c | 330.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 327.99$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.04 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…add6backed Cincinnati Reds | 13c | 327.13$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.97 | 332 | 28.3%94 W · 238 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 322.33$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.05 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 307.32$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.22 | 319 | 49.5%158 W · 161 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 299.97$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.99 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…7adebacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 272.69$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.71 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…3106backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 265.03$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.96 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 263.56$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.97 | 415 | 49.2%204 W · 211 L | +22.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 260$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.9 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 256.87$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.8 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x190f…01f3backed Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 247.52$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.32 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…4c79backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 246.43$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.43 | 267 | 51.7%138 W · 129 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 16c | 243.62$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.48 | 704 | 50.1%353 W · 351 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2513…91fbbacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 237.88$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.05 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 233$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.52 | 406 | 45.1%183 W · 223 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32de…ce27backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 230$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 226.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.83 | 210 | 33.3%70 W · 140 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 222.55$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.37 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 215.51$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.82 | 406 | 48.5%197 W · 209 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Cincinnati Reds | 21c | 214.06$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.04 | 1,911 | 53.1%1,014 W · 897 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a2…3c41backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 213.81$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.22 | 158 | 57%90 W · 68 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Tampa Bay Raysthis page
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. Tampa Bay RaysNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.