MLB · resolved market
Cincinnati Reds vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe7e6f7ed8efc28d31e08993612f47df5ab7e4898d5e97b291822a2c86dab171
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,667
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,979
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,667 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 48c | 15,106$7,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,247.68 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fea1backed Under | 52c | 12,222$6,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,866.56 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 4,711$2,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,238 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 51c | 3,098$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580.2 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Under | 51c | 2,953$1,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,451 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 53c | 2,907$1,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,366.52 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 51c | 2,208$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.93 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 49c | 1,342$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.14 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 49c | 1,256$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.34 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x927b…4be5backed Under | 51c | 1,131$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacb…baf7backed Over | 52c | 1,121$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Under | 53c | 1,095$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.67 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +237.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 52c | 981$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.88 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Under | 52c | 933.85$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.25 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 39c | 723.09$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.19 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 49c | 692.15$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353 | 272 | 49.3%134 W · 138 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 49c | 574.77$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.32 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 56c | 571.4$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.7 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 53c | 563.7$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.94 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 52c | 501.99$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.24 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 51c | 499.91$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.96 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Under | 52c | 472.84$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.61 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 53c | 423.01$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.81 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Under | 51c | 413.48$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.6 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +7.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 48c | 393.68$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.96 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 32c | 380.36$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.01 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under | 36c | 309.07$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.29 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Over | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Under | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 228 | 49.1%112 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…8eabbacked Over | 34c | 286.37$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.01 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 61c | 272.76$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.22 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 54c | 260.6$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.88 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf36a…25abbacked Over | 49c | 254.98$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.94 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Over | 46c | 248.21$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.18 | 222 | 48.6%108 W · 114 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 51c | 233.12$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.61 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 53c | 227.4$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.88 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 50c | 224.02$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.81 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Under | 54c | 208.31$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.82 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 48c | 208.06$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.57 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7e…eb2cbacked Over | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 50c | 183$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 53c | 179.78$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.5 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 62c | 130.62$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.28 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 50c | 129.37$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.87 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 50c | 118.25$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.65 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Under | 53c | 115$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.05 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Over | 48c | 110.64$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.23 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Over | 48c | 110.64$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.23 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked Under | 53c | 106.77$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.3 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Under | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.45 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe67…dd7ebacked Under | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.45 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Over | 48c | 98.41$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.24 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 48c | 98.41$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.24 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Over | 48c | 98.41$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.24 | 238 | 51.3%122 W · 116 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f6…bab8backed Under | 51c | 97.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.56 | 139 | 51.8%72 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Over | 47c | 96.82$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.51 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Under | 53c | 91.66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.08 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1852…76ccbacked Over | 49c | 89.03$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.62 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +10.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c09…990bbacked Over | 56c | 84.53$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 50c | 79.48$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.74 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 49c | 79.13$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.36 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d3…c653backed Under | 51c | 75.02$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3851…e908backed Over | 52c | 74.71$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x251b…678ebacked Over | 52c | 74.3$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 50c | 70.68$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.52 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea9…0924backed Over | 50c | 70.34$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.17 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…f5f4backed Under | 40c | 69.25$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.36 | 247 | 48.2%119 W · 128 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Under | 49c | 67.86$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.61 | 200 | 44.5%89 W · 111 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 57c | 64.69$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6733…acb9backed Over | 49c | 56.58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 58c | 55.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.12 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 53c | 52$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Over | 52c | 51.13$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.59 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 32c | 51.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.61 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Over | 48c | 50.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 294 | 50.7%149 W · 145 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 49c | 49.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked Under | 50c | 49.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -13.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed Over | 57c | 42.74$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfac5…6b03backed Over | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac24…576ebacked Over | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 229 | 48%110 W · 119 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2798…a9c7backed Over | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Over | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 99 | 33.3%33 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 48c | 38.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4cbabacked Over | 50c | 38.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 42c | 33.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 667 | 49.3%329 W · 338 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 53c | 31.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf933…5bc6backed Over | 46c | 30.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Under | 51c | 30.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 1,057 | 50.2%531 W · 526 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 46c | 29.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32eb…f531backed Over | 49c | 29.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee6…f017backed Under | 52c | 27.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa360…cb58backed Over | 50c | 26.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…98f2backed Over | 49c | 23.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc987…123abacked Over | 51c | 20.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -5.9wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Over | 59c | 19.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 371 | 43.9%163 W · 208 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf87…4bc5backed Over | 52c | 19.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…e671backed Over | 56c | 18.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5this page
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Tampa Bay RaysTampa Bay Rays won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. Tampa Bay RaysNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.